Neuro-Symbolic Traders: Assessing the Wisdom of AI Crowds in Markets

Deep generative models are becoming increasingly used as tools for financial analysis. However, it is unclear how these models will influence financial markets, especially when they infer financial value in a semi-autonomous way. In this work, we explore the interplay between deep generative models

October 18, 2024 · 2 min · thequant.space

Reinforcement Learning in Non-Markov Market-Making

We develop a deep reinforcement learning (RL) framework for an optimal market-making (MM) trading problem, specifically focusing on price processes with semi-Markov and Hawkes Jump-Diffusion dynamics. We begin by discussing the basics of RL and the deep RL framework used, where we deployed the state

October 18, 2024 · 2 min · thequant.space

Simultaneously Solving FBSDEs and their Associated Semilinear Elliptic PDEs with Small Neural Operators

Forward-backwards stochastic differential equations (FBSDEs) play an important role in optimal control, game theory, economics, mathematical finance, and in reinforcement learning. Unfortunately, the available FBSDE solvers operate on \textit{“individual”} FBSDEs, meaning that they cannot provide a

October 18, 2024 · 2 min · thequant.space

Competitive equilibria in trading

This is the third paper in a series concerning the game-theoretic aspects of position-building while in competition. The first paper set forth foundations and laid out the essential goal, which is to minimize implementation costs in light of how other traders are likely to trade. The majority of res

October 17, 2024 · 2 min · thequant.space

Concentrated Superelliptical Market Maker

An automated market maker where the price can cross the zero bound into the negative price domain with applications in electricity, energy, and derivatives markets is presented. A unique feature involves the ability to swap both negatively and positively priced assets between one another, which unli

October 17, 2024 · 1 min · thequant.space

Delegated portfolio management with random default

We are considering the problem of optimal portfolio delegation between an investor and a portfolio manager under a random default time. We focus on a novel variation of the Principal-Agent problem adapted to this framework. We address the challenge of an uncertain investment horizon caused by an exo

October 17, 2024 · 2 min · thequant.space

Quantifying socio-temporal effects of loan delinquency drivers in microfinance

We develop and evaluate a family of discrete-time logit-link (LLink) models (including fixed-effects and frailty extensions) to capture latent heterogeneity in repayment behaviour and quantify the effects of socio-temporal factors in microfinance. Our findings highlight the importance of unobserved

October 17, 2024 · 2 min · thequant.space

UCFE: A User-Centric Financial Expertise Benchmark for Large Language Models

This paper introduces the UCFE: User-Centric Financial Expertise benchmark, an innovative framework designed to evaluate the ability of large language models (LLMs) to handle complex real-world financial tasks. UCFE benchmark adopts a hybrid approach that combines human expert evaluations with dynam

October 17, 2024 · 2 min · thequant.space

Price impact and long-term profitability of energy storage

We study the price impact of storage facilities in electricity markets and analyze the long-term profitability of these facilities in prospective scenarios of energy transition. To this end, we begin by characterizing the optimal operating strategy for a stylized storage system, assuming an arbitrar

October 16, 2024 · 2 min · thequant.space

TradExpert: Revolutionizing Trading with Mixture of Expert LLMs

The integration of Artificial Intelligence (AI) in the financial domain has opened new avenues for quantitative trading, particularly through the use of Large Language Models (LLMs). However, the challenge of effectively synthesizing insights from diverse data sources and integrating both structured

October 16, 2024 · 2 min · thequant.space

Clustering Digital Assets Using Path Signatures: Application to Portfolio Construction

We propose a new way of building portfolios of cryptocurrencies that provide good diversification properties to investors. First, we seek to filter these digital assets by creating some clusters based on their path signature. The goal is to identify similar patterns in the behavior of these highly v

October 15, 2024 · 2 min · thequant.space

Exploiting Risk-Aversion and Size-dependent fees in FX Trading with Fitted Natural Actor-Critic

In recent years, the popularity of artificial intelligence has surged due to its widespread application in various fields. The financial sector has harnessed its advantages for multiple purposes, including the development of automated trading systems designed to interact autonomously with markets to

October 15, 2024 · 2 min · thequant.space

Generalized Distribution Prediction for Asset Returns

We present a novel approach for predicting the distribution of asset returns using a quantile-based method with Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) networks. Our model is designed in two stages: the first focuses on predicting the quantiles of normalized asset returns using asset-specific features, while

October 15, 2024 · 2 min · thequant.space

Quantum Computing for Multi Period Asset Allocation

Portfolio construction has been a long-standing topic of research in finance. The computational complexity and the time taken both increase rapidly with the number of investments in the portfolio. It becomes difficult, even impossible for classic computers to solve. Quantum computing is a new way of

October 15, 2024 · 2 min · thequant.space

Solving The Dynamic Volatility Fitting Problem: A Deep Reinforcement Learning Approach

The volatility fitting is one of the core problems in the equity derivatives business. Through a set of deterministic rules, the degrees of freedom in the implied volatility surface encoding (parametrization, density, diffusion) are defined. Whilst very effective, this approach widespread in the ind

October 15, 2024 · 2 min · thequant.space

Time-Series Foundation AI Model for Value-at-Risk Forecasting

This study is the first to analyze the performance of a time-series foundation AI model for Value-at-Risk (VaR), which essentially forecasts the left-tail quantiles of returns. Foundation models, pre-trained on diverse datasets, can be applied in a zero-shot setting with minimal data or further impr

October 15, 2024 · 2 min · thequant.space

Aproximación práctica a los métodos de selección de portafolios de inversión

The paper employs advanced mathematical techniques including mean-variance and mean-semivariance optimization, genetic algorithms, and handles integer constraints and transaction costs. It also provides empirical analysis with simulated data, visualizations of efficient frontiers, and includes R cod

October 14, 2024 · 1 min · thequant.space

European Option Pricing in Regime Switching Framework via Physics-Informed Residual Learning

In this article, we employ physics-informed residual learning (PIRL) and propose a pricing method for European options under a regime-switching framework, where closed-form solutions are not available. We demonstrate that the proposed approach serves an efficient alternative to competing pricing tec

October 14, 2024 · 1 min · thequant.space

Modeling News Interactions and Influence for Financial Market Prediction

The diffusion of financial news into market prices is a complex process, making it challenging to evaluate the connections between news events and market movements. This paper introduces FININ (Financial Interconnected News Influence Network), a novel market prediction model that captures not only t

October 14, 2024 · 2 min · thequant.space

News-Driven Stock Price Forecasting in Indian Markets: A Comparative Study of Advanced Deep Learning Models

Forecasting stock market prices remains a complex challenge for traders, analysts, and engineers due to the multitude of factors that influence price movements. Recent advancements in artificial intelligence (AI) and natural language processing (NLP) have significantly enhanced stock price predictio

October 14, 2024 · 2 min · thequant.space