Quantum-Inspired Portfolio Optimization In The QUBO Framework

A quantum-inspired optimization approach is proposed to study the portfolio optimization aimed at selecting an optimal mix of assets based on the risk-return trade-off to achieve the desired goal in investment. By integrating conventional approaches with quantum-inspired methods for penalty coeffici

October 8, 2024 · 2 min · thequant.space

Deep Learning Methods for S Shaped Utility Maximisation with a Random Reference Point

We consider the portfolio optimisation problem where the terminal function is an S-shaped utility applied at the difference between the wealth and a random benchmark process. We develop several numerical methods for solving the problem using deep learning and duality methods. We use deep learning me

October 7, 2024 · 2 min · thequant.space

Financial Performance and Economic Implications of COFCO's Strategic Acquisition of Mengniu

This paper examines the merger and acquisition (M&A) process between COFCO and Mengniu Dairy, exploring the motivations behind this strategic move and identifying its key aspects. By analyzing both the financial and non-financial contributions of Mengniu Dairy to COFCO, this study provides valuable

October 7, 2024 · 2 min · thequant.space

Functional Clustering of Discount Functions for Behavioral Investor Profiling

Classical finance models are based on the premise that investors act rationally and utilize all available information when making portfolio decisions. However, these models often fail to capture the anomalies observed in intertemporal choices and decision-making under uncertainty, particularly when

October 7, 2024 · 2 min · thequant.space

Hedging via Perpetual Derivatives: Trinomial Option Pricing and Implied Parameter Surface Analysis

We introduce a fairly general, recombining trinomial tree model in the natural world. Market-completeness is ensured by considering a market consisting of two risky assets, a riskless asset, and a European option. The two risky assets consist of a stock and a perpetual derivative of that stock. The

October 7, 2024 · 2 min · thequant.space

Numerical analysis of American option pricing in a two-asset jump-diffusion model

This paper addresses an important gap in rigorous numerical treatments for pricing American options under correlated two-asset jump-diffusion models using the viscosity solution framework, with a particular focus on the Merton model. The pricing of these options is governed by complex two-dimensiona

October 7, 2024 · 3 min · thequant.space

Optimal execution with deterministically time varying liquidity: well posedness and price manipulation

We investigate the well-posedness in the Hadamard sense and the absence of price manipulation in the optimal execution problem within the Almgren-Chriss framework, where the temporary and permanent impact parameters vary deterministically over time. We present sufficient conditions for the existence

October 7, 2024 · 2 min · thequant.space

Temporal Relational Reasoning of Large Language Models for Detecting Stock Portfolio Crashes

Stock portfolios are often exposed to rare consequential events (e.g., 2007 global financial crisis, 2020 COVID-19 stock market crash), as they do not have enough historical information to learn from. Large Language Models (LLMs) now present a possible tool to tackle this problem, as they can genera

October 7, 2024 · 2 min · thequant.space

Tourism destination events classifier based on artificial intelligence techniques

Identifying client needs to provide optimal services is crucial in tourist destination management. The events held in tourist destinations may help to meet those needs and thus contribute to tourist satisfaction. As with product management, the creation of hierarchical catalogs to classify those eve

October 7, 2024 · 2 min · thequant.space

Deviance Voronoi Residuals for Space-Time Point Process Models: An Application to Earthquake Insurance Risk

Insurance risk arising from catastrophes such as earthquakes a component of the Minimum Capital Test for federally regulated property and casualty insurance companies. Analyzing earthquake insurance risk requires well-fitted spatio-temporal point process models. Given the spatial heterogeneity of ea

October 6, 2024 · 2 min · thequant.space

The Fourier Cosine Method for Discrete Probability Distributions

We provide a rigorous convergence proof demonstrating that the well-known semi-analytical Fourier cosine (COS) formula for the inverse Fourier transform of continuous probability distributions can be extended to discrete probability distributions, with the help of spectral filters. We establish gene

October 6, 2024 · 2 min · thequant.space

Two-fund separation under hyperbolically distributed returns and concave utility functions

Portfolio selection problems that optimize expected utility are usually difficult to solve. If the number of assets in the portfolio is large, such expected utility maximization problems become even harder to solve numerically. Therefore, analytical expressions for optimal portfolios are always pref

October 6, 2024 · 2 min · thequant.space

Application of AI in Credit Risk Scoring for Small Business Loans: A case study on how AI-based random forest model improves a Delphi model outcome in the case of Azerbaijani SMEs

The research investigates how the application of a machine-learning random forest model improves the accuracy and precision of a Delphi model. The context of the research is Azerbaijani SMEs and the data for the study has been obtained from a financial institution which had gathered it from the ente

October 5, 2024 · 2 min · thequant.space

Compound V3 Economic Audit Report

Compound Finance is a decentralized lending protocol that enables the secure and efficient borrowing and lending of cryptocurrencies, utilizing smart contracts and dynamic interest rates based on supply and demand to facilitate transactions. The protocol enables users to supply different crypto asse

October 5, 2024 · 2 min · thequant.space

Improving Portfolio Optimization Results with Bandit Networks

In Reinforcement Learning (RL), multi-armed Bandit (MAB) problems have found applications across diverse domains such as recommender systems, healthcare, and finance. Traditional MAB algorithms typically assume stationary reward distributions, which limits their effectiveness in real-world scenarios

October 5, 2024 · 2 min · thequant.space

A Dynamic Approach to Stock Price Prediction: Comparing RNN and Mixture of Experts Models Across Different Volatility Profiles

This study evaluates the effectiveness of a Mixture of Experts (MoE) model for stock price prediction by comparing it to a Recurrent Neural Network (RNN) and a linear regression model. The MoE framework combines an RNN for volatile stocks and a linear model for stable stocks, dynamically adjusting t

October 4, 2024 · 2 min · thequant.space

Cyber Risk Taxonomies: Statistical Analysis of Cybersecurity Risk Classifications

Cyber risk classifications are widely used in the modeling of cyber event distributions, yet their effectiveness in out of sample forecasting performance remains underexplored. In this paper, we analyse the most commonly used classifications and argue in favour of switching the attention from goodne

October 4, 2024 · 2 min · thequant.space

Generative AI, Managerial Expectations, and Economic Activity

We use generative AI to extract managerial expectations about their economic outlook from 120,000+ corporate conference call transcripts. The resulting AI Economy Score predicts GDP growth, production, and employment up to 10 quarters ahead, beyond existing measures like survey forecasts. Moreover,

October 4, 2024 · 2 min · thequant.space

Leveraging Fundamental Analysis for Stock Trend Prediction for Profit

This paper investigates the application of machine learning models, Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM), one-dimensional Convolutional Neural Networks (1D CNN), and Logistic Regression (LR), for predicting stock trends based on fundamental analysis. Unlike most existing studies that predominantly utilize

October 4, 2024 · 2 min · thequant.space

A second order finite volume IMEX Runge-Kutta scheme for two dimensional PDEs in finance

In this article we present a novel and general methodology for building second order finite volume implicit-explicit (IMEX) numerical schemes for solving two dimensional financial parabolic PDEs with mixed derivatives. In particular, applications to basket and Heston models are presented. The obtain

October 3, 2024 · 2 min · thequant.space