Market Making with Exogenous Competition

We study liquidity provision in the presence of exogenous competition. We consider a reference market maker' who monitors her inventory and the aggregated inventory of the competing market makers. We assume that the competing market makers use a rule of thumb’ to determine their posted depths, dep

July 24, 2024 · 2 min · thequant.space

Alleviating Non-identifiability: a High-fidelity Calibration Objective for Financial Market Simulation with Multivariate Time Series Data

The non-identifiability issue has been frequently reported in social simulation works, where different parameters of an agent-based simulation model yield indistinguishable simulated time series data under certain discrepancy metrics. This issue largely undermines the simulation fidelity yet lacks d

July 23, 2024 · 2 min · thequant.space

Automated Market Making and Decentralized Finance

Automated market makers (AMMs) are a new type of trading venues which are revolutionising the way market participants interact. At present, the majority of AMMs are constant function market makers (CFMMs) where a deterministic trading function determines how markets are cleared. Within CFMMs, we foc

July 23, 2024 · 2 min · thequant.space

Equilibrium control theory for Kihlstrom-Mirman preferences in continuous time

In intertemporal settings, the multiattribute utility theory of Kihlstrom and Mirman suggests the application of a concave transform of the lifetime utility index. This construction, while allowing time and risk attitudes to be separated, leads to dynamically inconsistent preferences. We address thi

July 23, 2024 · 2 min · thequant.space

Multi-Industry Simplex 2.0 : Temporally-Evolving Probabilistic Industry Classification

Accurate industry classification is critical for many areas of portfolio management, yet the traditional single-industry framework of the Global Industry Classification Standard (GICS) struggles to comprehensively represent risk for highly diversified multi-sector conglomerates like Amazon. Previous

July 23, 2024 · 2 min · thequant.space

On Deep Learning for computing the Dynamic Initial Margin and Margin Value Adjustment

The present work addresses the challenge of training neural networks for Dynamic Initial Margin (DIM) computation in counterparty credit risk, a task traditionally burdened by the high costs associated with generating training datasets through nested Monte Carlo (MC) simulations. By condensing the i

July 23, 2024 · 2 min · thequant.space

On the Separability of Vector-Valued Risk Measures

Risk measures for random vectors have been considered in multi-asset markets with transaction costs and financial networks in the literature. While the theory of set-valued risk measures provide an axiomatic framework for assigning to a random vector its set of all capital requirements or allocation

July 23, 2024 · 2 min · thequant.space

Reinforcement Learning Pair Trading: A Dynamic Scaling approach

Cryptocurrency is a cryptography-based digital asset with extremely volatile prices. Around USD 70 billion worth of cryptocurrency is traded daily on exchanges. Trading cryptocurrency is difficult due to the inherent volatility of the crypto market. This study investigates whether Reinforcement Lear

July 23, 2024 · 2 min · thequant.space

Stablecoin Runs and Disclosure Policy in the Presence of Large Sales

Stablecoins have historically depegged due from par to large sales, possibly of speculative nature, or poor reserve asset quality. Using a global game which addresses both concerns, we show that the selling pressure on stablecoin holders increases in the presence of a large sale. While precise publi

July 23, 2024 · 2 min · thequant.space

The Hybrid Forecast of S&P 500 Volatility ensembled from VIX, GARCH and LSTM models

Predicting the S&P 500 index volatility is crucial for investors and financial analysts as it helps assess market risk and make informed investment decisions. Volatility represents the level of uncertainty or risk related to the size of changes in a security’s value, making it an essential indicator

July 23, 2024 · 2 min · thequant.space

The Negative Drift of a Limit Order Fill

Market making refers to a form of trading in financial markets characterized by passive orders which add liquidity to limit order books. Market makers are important for the proper functioning of financial markets worldwide. Given the importance, financial mathematics has endeavored to derive optimal

July 23, 2024 · 2 min · thequant.space

A new paradigm of mortality modeling via individual vitality dynamics

The significance of mortality modeling extends across multiple research areas, ranging from life insurance valuation to optimal lifetime decision-making. Existing approaches, such as mortality laws and factor-based models, often fall short in capturing the complexity of individual mortality, hinderi

July 22, 2024 · 2 min · thequant.space

Analyzing selected cryptocurrencies spillover effects on global financial indices: Comparing risk measures using conventional and eGARCH-EVT-Copula approaches

This study examines the interdependence between cryptocurrencies and international financial indices, such as MSCI World and MSCI Emerging Markets. We compute the value at risk, expected shortfall (ES), and range value at risk (RVaR) and investigate the dynamics of risk spillover. We employ a hybrid

July 22, 2024 · 3 min · thequant.space

Calibrating the Heston model with deep differential networks

We propose a gradient-based deep learning framework to calibrate the Heston option pricing model (Heston, 1993). Our neural network, henceforth deep differential network (DDN), learns both the Heston pricing formula for plain-vanilla options and the partial derivatives with respect to the model para

July 22, 2024 · 2 min · thequant.space

Counter-monotonic risk allocations and distortion risk measures

In risk-sharing markets with aggregate uncertainty, characterizing Pareto-optimal allocations when agents might not be risk averse is a challenging task, and the literature has only provided limited explicit results thus far. In particular, Pareto optima in such a setting may not necessarily be como

July 22, 2024 · 2 min · thequant.space

Large-scale Time-Varying Portfolio Optimisation using Graph Attention Networks

Apart from assessing individual asset performance, investors in financial markets also need to consider how a set of firms performs collectively as a portfolio. Whereas traditional Markowitz-based mean-variance portfolios are widespread, network-based optimisation techniques offer a more flexible to

July 22, 2024 · 2 min · thequant.space

Explainable AI in Request-for-Quote

In the contemporary financial landscape, accurately predicting the probability of filling a Request-For-Quote (RFQ) is crucial for improving market efficiency for less liquid asset classes. This paper explores the application of explainable AI (XAI) models to forecast the likelihood of RFQ fulfillme

July 21, 2024 · 2 min · thequant.space

Trading Devil Final: Backdoor attack via Stock market and Bayesian Optimization

Since the advent of generative artificial intelligence, every company and researcher has been rushing to develop their own generative models, whether commercial or not. Given the large number of users of these powerful new tools, there is currently no intrinsically verifiable way to explain from the

July 21, 2024 · 2 min · thequant.space

Weak convergence implies convergence in mean within GGC

We prove that weak convergence within generalized gamma convolution (GGC) distributions implies convergence in the mean value. We use this fact to show the robustness of the expected utility maximizing optimal portfolio under exponential utility function when return vectors are modelled by hyperboli

July 21, 2024 · 1 min · thequant.space

An Integral Equation Approach for the Valuation of Finite-maturity margin-call Stock Loans

This paper examines the pricing issue of margin-call stock loans with finite maturities under the Black-Scholes-Merton framework. In particular, using a Fourier Sine transform method, we reduce the partial differential equation governing the price of a margin-call stock loan into an ordinary differe

July 20, 2024 · 2 min · thequant.space