Is the difference between deep hedging and delta hedging a statistical arbitrage?

The recent work of Horikawa and Nakagawa (2024) claims that under a complete market admitting statistical arbitrage, the difference between the hedging position provided by deep hedging and that of the replicating portfolio is a statistical arbitrage. This raises concerns as it entails that deep hed

July 20, 2024 · 2 min · thequant.space

Political Leanings in Web3 Betting: Decoding the Interplay of Political and Profitable Motives

Harnessing the transparent blockchain user behavior data, we construct the Political Betting Leaning Score (PBLS) to measure political leanings based on betting within Web3 prediction markets. Focusing on Polymarket and starting from the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election, we synthesize behaviors over

July 20, 2024 · 2 min · thequant.space

Super-efficiency and Stock Market Valuation: Evidence from Listed Banks in China (2006 to 2023)

This study investigates the relationship between bank efficiency and stock market valuation using an unbalanced panel dataset of 42 listed banks in China from 2006 to 2023. We employ a non-radial and non-oriented slack based super-efficiency Data Envelopment Analysis (Super-SBM-UND-VRS based DEA) mo

July 20, 2024 · 2 min · thequant.space

Applying the Nash Bargaining Solution for a Reasonable Royalty II

This paper expands on the concepts presented in Applying the Nash Bargaining Solution for a Reasonable Royalty ( arXiv:2005.10158 ). The goal is to refine the process for determining a reasonable royalty using statistical methods in cases where there is risk and uncertainty regarding each party’s di

July 19, 2024 · 2 min · thequant.space

Explainable Post hoc Portfolio Management Financial Policy of a Deep Reinforcement Learning agent

Financial portfolio management investment policies computed quantitatively by modern portfolio theory techniques like the Markowitz model rely on a set on assumptions that are not supported by data in high volatility markets. Hence, quantitative researchers are looking for alternative models to tack

July 19, 2024 · 2 min · thequant.space

Global Balance and Systemic Risk in Financial Correlation Networks

The global balance index is used in the network literature to quantify how balanced a signed network is. In this paper we show that the global balance index of financial correlation networks can be used as a systemic risk measure. We define the global balance index of a network starting from a diffu

July 19, 2024 · 2 min · thequant.space

Quantifying the Blockchain Trilemma: A Comparative Analysis of Algorand, Ethereum 2.0, and Beyond

Blockchain technology is essential for the digital economy and metaverse, supporting applications from decentralized finance to virtual assets. However, its potential is constrained by the “Blockchain Trilemma,” which necessitates balancing decentralization, security, and scalability. This study eva

July 19, 2024 · 2 min · thequant.space

Sentiment Analysis of State Bank of Pakistan's Monetary Policy Documents and its Impact on Stock Market

This research examines whether sentiments conveyed in the State Bank of Pakistan’s (SBP) communications impact financial market expectations and can act as a monetary policy tool. To achieve our goal, we first use sentiment analysis techniques to quantify the tone of SBP monetary policy documents an

July 19, 2024 · 2 min · thequant.space

Towards A Post-Quantum Cryptography in Blockchain I: Basic Review on Theoretical Cryptography and Quantum Information Theory

Recently, the invention of quantum computers was so revolutionary that they bring transformative challenges in a variety of fields, especially for the traditional cryptographic blockchain, and it may become a real thread for most of the cryptocurrencies in the market. That is, it becomes inevitable

July 19, 2024 · 1 min · thequant.space

Autonomous Money Supply Strategy Utilizing Control Theory

Decentralized Finance (DeFi) has reshaped the possibilities of reserve banking in the form of the Collateralized Debt Position (CDP). Key to the safety of CDPs is the money supply architecture that enables issued debt to maintain its value. In traditional markets, and with respect to the United Stat

July 18, 2024 · 2 min · thequant.space

Construction and Hedging of Equity Index Options Portfolios

This research presents a comprehensive evaluation of systematic index option-writing strategies, focusing on S&P500 index options. We compare the performance of hedging strategies using the Black-Scholes-Merton (BSM) model and the Variance-Gamma (VG) model, emphasizing varying moneyness levels and d

July 18, 2024 · 2 min · thequant.space

Dynamic Pricing in Securities Lending Market: Application in Revenue Optimization for an Agent Lender Portfolio

Securities lending is an important part of the financial market structure, where agent lenders help long term institutional investors to lend out their securities to short sellers in exchange for a lending fee. Agent lenders within the market seek to optimize revenue by lending out securities at the

July 18, 2024 · 2 min · thequant.space

Leveraging Machine Learning for High-Dimensional Option Pricing within the Uncertain Volatility Model

This paper explores the application of Machine Learning techniques for pricing high-dimensional options within the framework of the Uncertain Volatility Model (UVM). The UVM is a robust framework that accounts for the inherent unpredictability of market volatility by setting upper and lower bounds o

July 18, 2024 · 2 min · thequant.space

Temporal Representation Learning for Stock Similarities and Its Applications in Investment Management

In the era of rapid globalization and digitalization, accurate identification of similar stocks has become increasingly challenging due to the non-stationary nature of financial markets and the ambiguity in conventional regional and sector classifications. To address these challenges, we examine Sim

July 18, 2024 · 2 min · thequant.space

Unified Asymptotics For Investment Under Illiquidity: Transaction Costs And Search Frictions

This paper investigates the optimal investment problem in a market with two types of illiquidity: transaction costs and search frictions. Extending the framework established by arXiv:2101.09936, we analyze a power-utility maximization problem where an investor encounters proportional transaction cos

July 18, 2024 · 2 min · thequant.space

A Mean Field Game approach for pollution regulation of competitive firms

We develop a model based on mean-field games of competitive firms producing similar goods according to a standard AK model with a depreciation rate of capital generating pollution as a byproduct. Our analysis focuses on the widely-used cap-and-trade pollution regulation. Under this regulation, firms

July 17, 2024 · 2 min · thequant.space

Bonus-malus Systems vs Delays in Claims Reporting and Settlement: Analysis of Ruin Probabilities

Our paper explores a discrete-time risk model with time-varying premiums, investigating two types of correlated claims: main claims and by-claims. Settlement of the by-claims can be delayed for one time period, representing real-world insurance practices. We examine two premium principles based on r

July 17, 2024 · 2 min · thequant.space

Evaluating Microscopic and Macroscopic Models for Derivative Contracts on Commodity Indices

In this article, we analyze two modeling approaches for the pricing of derivative contracts on a commodity index. The first one is a microscopic approach, where the components of the index are modeled individually, and the index price is derived from their combination. The second one is a macroscopi

July 17, 2024 · 2 min · thequant.space

Information Flow in the FTX Bankruptcy: A Network Approach

This paper investigates the cryptocurrency network of the FTX exchange during the collapse of its native token, FTT, to understand how network structures adapt to significant financial disruptions, by exploiting vertex centrality measures. Using proprietary data on the transactional relationships be

July 17, 2024 · 2 min · thequant.space

Mean-Variance Optimization for Participating Life Insurance Contracts

This paper studies the equity holders’ mean-variance optimal portfolio choice problem for (non-)protected participating life insurance contracts. We derive explicit formulas for the optimal terminal wealth and the optimal strategy in the multi-dimensional Black-Scholes model, showing the existence o

July 16, 2024 · 2 min · thequant.space