Asymptotic methods for transaction costs

We propose a general approximation method for determining optimal trading strategies in markets with proportional transaction costs, with a polynomial approximation of the residual value function. The method is exemplified by several problems from optimally tracking benchmarks, hedging the Log contr

June 20, 2024 · 1 min · thequant.space

Lessons From Model Risk Management in Financial Institutions for Academic Research

In this paper, we discuss aspects of model risk management in financial institutions which could be adopted by academic institutions to improve the process of conducting academic research, identify and mitigate existing limitations, decrease the possibility of erroneous results, and prevent fraudule

June 20, 2024 · 1 min · thequant.space

MacroHFT: Memory Augmented Context-aware Reinforcement Learning On High Frequency Trading

High-frequency trading (HFT) that executes algorithmic trading in short time scales, has recently occupied the majority of cryptocurrency market. Besides traditional quantitative trading methods, reinforcement learning (RL) has become another appealing approach for HFT due to its terrific ability of

June 20, 2024 · 2 min · thequant.space

Strong existence and uniqueness of a calibrated local stochastic volatility model

We study a two-dimensional McKean-Vlasov stochastic differential equation, whose volatility coefficient depends on the conditional distribution of the second component with respect to the first component. We prove the strong existence and uniqueness of the solution, establishing the well-posedness o

June 20, 2024 · 2 min · thequant.space

What Teaches Robots to Walk, Teaches Them to Trade too -- Regime Adaptive Execution using Informed Data and LLMs

Machine learning techniques applied to the problem of financial market forecasting struggle with dynamic regime switching, or underlying correlation and covariance shifts in true (hidden) market variables. Drawing inspiration from the success of reinforcement learning in robotics, particularly in ag

June 20, 2024 · 2 min · thequant.space

Adaptive Curves for Optimally Efficient Market Making

Automated Market Makers (AMMs) are essential in Decentralized Finance (DeFi) as they match liquidity supply with demand. They function through liquidity providers (LPs) who deposit assets into liquidity pools. However, the asset trading prices in these pools often trail behind those in more dynamic,

June 19, 2024 · 2 min · thequant.space

Death, Taxes, and Inequality. Can a Minimal Model Explain Real Economic Inequality?

Income inequality and redistribution policies are modeled with a minimal, endogenous model of a simple foraging economy. Significant income inequalities emerge from the model for populations of equally capable individuals presented with equal opportunities. Stochastic income distributions from the m

June 19, 2024 · 2 min · thequant.space

Integral Betti signature confirms the hyperbolic geometry of brain, climate, and financial networks

This paper extends the possibility to examine the underlying curvature of data through the lens of topology by using the Betti curves, tools of Persistent Homology, as key topological descriptors, building on the clique topology approach. It was previously shown that Betti curves distinguish random

June 19, 2024 · 3 min · thequant.space

Mean-Variance Portfolio Selection in Long-Term Investments with Unknown Distribution: Online Estimation, Risk Aversion under Ambiguity, and Universality of Algorithms

The standard approach for constructing a Mean-Variance portfolio involves estimating parameters for the model using collected samples. However, since the distribution of future data may not resemble that of the training set, the out-of-sample performance of the estimated portfolio is worse than one

June 19, 2024 · 2 min · thequant.space

Pricing VIX options under the Heston-Hawkes stochastic volatility model

We derive a semi-analytical pricing formula for European VIX call options under the Heston-Hawkes stochastic volatility model introduced in arXiv:2210.15343. This arbitrage-free model incorporates the volatility clustering feature by adding an independent compound Hawkes process to the Heston volati

June 19, 2024 · 2 min · thequant.space

Robust Lambda-quantiles and extremal distributions

In this paper, we investigate the robust models for $Λ$-quantiles with partial information regarding the loss distribution, where $Λ$-quantiles extend the classical quantiles by replacing the fixed probability level with a probability/loss function $Λ$. We find that, under some assumptions, the robu

June 19, 2024 · 2 min · thequant.space

Stock Volume Forecasting with Advanced Information by Conditional Variational Auto-Encoder

We demonstrate the use of Conditional Variational Encoder (CVAE) to improve the forecasts of daily stock volume time series in both short and long term forecasting tasks, with the use of advanced information of input variables such as rebalancing dates. CVAE generates non-linear time series as out-o

June 19, 2024 · 2 min · thequant.space

A note on robust convex risk measures

In this paper, we refine and generalize closed forms for worst-case law invariant convex risk measures with uncertainty sets based on: i) closed balls under $p$-norms and Wasserstein distance; and ii) moment constraints involving mean and variance. We also characterize the argmax of the worst-case p

June 18, 2024 · 2 min · thequant.space

Essays on Responsible and Sustainable Finance

The dissertation consists of three essays on responsible and sustainable finance. I show that local communities should be seen as stakeholders to decisions made by corporations. In the first essay, I examine whether the imposition of fiduciary duty on municipal advisors affects bond yields and advis

June 18, 2024 · 2 min · thequant.space

Fees in AMMs: A quantitative study

In the ever evolving landscape of decentralized finance automated market makers (AMMs) play a key role: they provide a market place for trading assets in a decentralized manner. For so-called bluechip pairs, arbitrage activity provides a major part of the revenue generation of AMMs but also a major

June 18, 2024 · 2 min · thequant.space

Reinforcement Learning for Corporate Bond Trading: A Sell Side Perspective

A corporate bond trader in a typical sell side institution such as a bank provides liquidity to the market participants by buying/selling securities and maintaining an inventory. Upon receiving a request for a buy/sell price quote (RFQ), the trader provides a quote by adding a spread over a \textit{

June 18, 2024 · 2 min · thequant.space

Robust dividend policy: Equivalence of Epstein-Zin and Maenhout preferences

In a continuous-time economy, this paper formulates the Epstein-Zin preference for discounted dividends received by an investor as an Epstein-Zin singular control utility. We introduce a backward stochastic differential equation with an aggregator integrated with respect to a singular control, prove

June 18, 2024 · 2 min · thequant.space

Circular transformation of the European steel industry renders scrap metal a strategic resource

The steel industry is a major contributor to CO2 emissions, accounting for 7% of global emissions. The European steel industry is seeking to reduce its emissions by increasing the use of electric arc furnaces (EAFs), which can produce steel from scrap, marking a major shift towards a circular steel

June 17, 2024 · 2 min · thequant.space

Dynamically Consistent Analysis of Realized Covariations in Term Structure Models

In this article we show how to analyze the covariation of bond prices nonparametrically and robustly, staying consistent with a general no-arbitrage setting. This is, in particular, motivated by the problem of identifying the number of statistically relevant factors in the bond market under minimal

June 17, 2024 · 1 min · thequant.space

Operator Deep Smoothing for Implied Volatility

We devise a novel method for nowcasting implied volatility based on neural operators. Better known as implied volatility smoothing in the financial industry, nowcasting of implied volatility means constructing a smooth surface that is consistent with the prices presently observed on a given option m

June 17, 2024 · 2 min · thequant.space