Dynamic Black-Litterman

The Black-Litterman model is a framework for incorporating forward-looking expert views in a portfolio optimization problem. Existing work focuses almost exclusively on single-period problems with the forecast horizon matching that of the investor. We consider a generalization where the investor tra

April 29, 2024 · 2 min · thequant.space

ECC Analyzer: Extract Trading Signal from Earnings Conference Calls using Large Language Model for Stock Performance Prediction

In the realm of financial analytics, leveraging unstructured data, such as earnings conference calls (ECCs), to forecast stock volatility is a critical challenge that has attracted both academics and investors. While previous studies have used multimodal deep learning-based models to obtain a genera

April 29, 2024 · 2 min · thequant.space

Application and practice of AI technology in quantitative investment

With the continuous development of artificial intelligence technology, using machine learning technology to predict market trends may no longer be out of reach. In recent years, artificial intelligence has become a research hotspot in the academic circle,and it has been widely used in image recognit

April 28, 2024 · 2 min · thequant.space

Innovative Application of Artificial Intelligence Technology in Bank Credit Risk Management

With the rapid growth of technology, especially the widespread application of artificial intelligence (AI) technology, the risk management level of commercial banks is constantly reaching new heights. In the current wave of digitalization, AI has become a key driving force for the strategic transfor

April 28, 2024 · 2 min · thequant.space

Mean Field Game of High-Frequency Anticipatory Trading

The interactions between a large population of high-frequency traders (HFTs) and a large trader (LT) who executes a certain amount of assets at discrete time points are studied. HFTs are faster in the sense that they trade continuously and predict the transactions of LT. A jump process is applied to

April 28, 2024 · 2 min · thequant.space

A novel portfolio construction strategy based on the core-periphery profile of stocks

This paper highlights the significance of mesoscale structures, particularly the core-periphery structure, in financial networks for portfolio optimization. We build portfolios of stocks belonging to the periphery part of the Planar maximally filtered subgraphs of the underlying network of stocks cr

April 27, 2024 · 2 min · thequant.space

Application of Deep Learning for Factor Timing in Asset Management

The paper examines the performance of regression models (OLS linear regression, Ridge regression, Random Forest, and Fully-connected Neural Network) on the prediction of CMA (Conservative Minus Aggressive) factor premium and the performance of factor timing investment with them. Out-of-sample R-squa

April 27, 2024 · 2 min · thequant.space

Bertrand oligopoly in insurance markets with Value at Risk Constraints

Since 2016 the operation of insurance companies in the European Union is regulated by the Solvency II directive. According to the EU directive the capital requirement should be calculated as a 99.5% of Value at Risk. In this study, we examine the impact of this capital requirement constraint on equ

April 27, 2024 · 2 min · thequant.space

Constructing an Investment Fund through Stock Clustering and Integer Programming

This paper focuses on the application of quantitative portfolio management by using integer programming and clustering techniques. Investors seek to gain the highest profits and lowest risk in capital markets. A data-oriented analysis of US stock universe is used to provide portfolio managers a devi

April 27, 2024 · 1 min · thequant.space

Quantitative Investment Diversification Strategies via Various Risk Models

This paper focuses on the developing of high-dimensional risk models to construct portfolios of securities in the US stock exchange. Investors seek to gain the highest profits and lowest risk in capital markets. We have developed various risk models and for each model different investment strategies

April 27, 2024 · 1 min · thequant.space

Value-at-Risk- and Expectile-based Systemic Risk Measures and Second-order Asymptotics: With Applications to Diversification

The systemic risk measure plays a crucial role in analyzing individual losses conditioned on extreme system-wide disasters. In this paper, we provide a unified asymptotic treatment for systemic risk measures. First, we classify them into two families of Value-at-Risk- (VaR-) and expectile-based syst

April 27, 2024 · 2 min · thequant.space

Assessing the Potential of AI for Spatially Sensitive Nature-Related Financial Risks

There is growing recognition among financial institutions, financial regulators and policy makers of the importance of addressing nature-related risks and opportunities. Evaluating and assessing nature-related risks for financial institutions is challenging due to the large volume of heterogeneous d

April 26, 2024 · 3 min · thequant.space

Trust Dynamics in Cryptocurrency Markets: Centralized vs. Decentralized Exchanges

Trust mechanisms diverge between centralized and decentralized exchanges, representing distinct sociotechnical governance paradigms. However, quantifying trust dynamics and their redistribution between these architectures remains empirically challenging, limiting understanding of how institutional s

April 26, 2024 · 2 min · thequant.space

Analysis of market efficiency in main stock markets: using Karman-Filter as an approach

In this study, we utilize the Kalman-Filter analysis to assess market efficiency in major stock markets. The Kalman-Filter operates in two stages, assuming that the data contains a consistent trendline representing the true market value prior to being affected by noise. Unlike traditional methods, i

April 25, 2024 · 1 min · thequant.space

Joint Pricing in SPX and VIX Derivative Markets with Composite Change of Time Models

The Chicago Board Options Exchange Volatility Index (VIX) is calculated from SPX options and derivatives of VIX are also traded in market, which leads to the so-called ``consistent modeling" problem. This paper proposes a time-changed Lévy model for log price with a composite change of time structur

April 25, 2024 · 2 min · thequant.space

Riding Wavelets: A Method to Discover New Classes of Price Jumps

Cascades of events and extreme occurrences have garnered significant attention across diverse domains such as financial markets, seismology, and social physics. Such events can stem either from the internal dynamics inherent to the system (endogenous), or from external shocks (exogenous). The possib

April 25, 2024 · 2 min · thequant.space

Subset second-order stochastic dominance for enhanced indexation with diversification enforced by sector constraints

In this paper we apply second-order stochastic dominance (SSD) to the problem of enhanced indexation with asset subset (sector) constraints. The problem we consider is how to construct a portfolio that is designed to outperform a given market index whilst having regard to the proportion of the portf

April 25, 2024 · 2 min · thequant.space

Systematic Comparable Company Analysis and Computation of Cost of Equity using Clustering

Computing cost of equity for private corporations and performing comparable company analysis (comps) for both public and private corporations is an integral but tedious and time-consuming task, with important applications spanning the finance world, from valuations to internal planning. Performing c

April 25, 2024 · 2 min · thequant.space

The TruEnd-procedure: Treating trailing zero-valued balances in credit data

A novel procedure is presented for finding the true but latent endpoints within the repayment histories of individual loans. The monthly observations beyond these true endpoints are false, largely due to operational failures that delay account closure, thereby corrupting some loans. Detecting these

April 25, 2024 · 2 min · thequant.space

BERT vs GPT for financial engineering

The paper benchmarks several Transformer models [“4”], to show how these models can judge sentiment from a news event. This signal can then be used for downstream modelling and signal identification for commodity trading. We find that fine-tuned BERT models outperform fine-tuned or vanilla GPT model

April 24, 2024 · 2 min · thequant.space