Learning parameter dependence for Fourier-based option pricing with tensor trains

A long-standing issue in mathematical finance is the speed-up of option pricing, especially for multi-asset options. A recent study has proposed to use tensor train learning algorithms to speed up Fourier transform (FT)-based option pricing, utilizing the ability of tensor trains to compress high-di

April 17, 2024 · 2 min · thequant.space

Optimal reinsurance in a dynamic contagion model: comparing self-exciting and externally-exciting risks

We investigate the optimal reinsurance problem in a risk model with jump clustering features. This modeling framework is inspired by the concept initially proposed in Dassios and Zhao (2011), combining Hawkes and Cox processes with shot noise intensity models. Specifically, these processes describe

April 17, 2024 · 2 min · thequant.space

Piercing the Veil of TVL: DeFi Reappraised

Total value locked (TVL) is widely used to measure the size and popularity of decentralized finance (DeFi). However, TVL can be easily manipulated and inflated through “double counting” activities such as wrapping and leveraging. As existing methodologies addressing double counting are inconsistent

April 17, 2024 · 2 min · thequant.space

Recommender Systems in Financial Trading: Using machine-based conviction analysis in an explainable AI investment framework

Traditionally, assets are selected for inclusion in a portfolio (long or short) by human analysts. Teams of human portfolio managers (PMs) seek to weigh and balance these securities using optimisation methods and other portfolio construction processes. Often, human PMs consider human analyst recomme

April 17, 2024 · 2 min · thequant.space

Allocation Mechanisms in Decentralized Exchange Markets with Frictions

The classical theory of efficient allocations of an aggregate endowment in a pure-exchange economy has hitherto primarily focused on the Pareto-efficiency of allocations, under the implicit assumption that transfers between agents are frictionless, and hence costless to the economy. In this paper, w

April 16, 2024 · 2 min · thequant.space

Construction of Domain-specified Japanese Large Language Model for Finance through Continual Pre-training

Large language models (LLMs) are now widely used in various fields, including finance. However, Japanese financial-specific LLMs have not been proposed yet. Hence, this study aims to construct a Japanese financial-specific LLM through continual pre-training. Before tuning, we constructed Japanese fi

April 16, 2024 · 2 min · thequant.space

Quantum Mechanics of Human Perception, Behaviour and Decision-Making: A Do-It-Yourself Model Kit for Modelling Optical Illusions and Opinion Formation in Social Networks

On the surface, behavioural science and physics seem to be two disparate fields of research. However, a closer examination of problems solved by them reveals that they are uniquely related to one another. Exemplified by the theories of quantum mind, cognition and decision-making, this unique relatio

April 16, 2024 · 2 min · thequant.space

Arbitrage impact on the relationship between XRP price and correlation tensor spectra of transaction networks

The increasing use of cryptoassets for international remittances has proven to be faster and more cost-effective, particularly for migrants without access to traditional banking. However, the inherent volatility of cryptoasset prices, independent of blockchain-based remittance mechanisms, introduces

April 15, 2024 · 2 min · thequant.space

Derivatives of Risk Measures

This paper provides the first and second order derivatives of any risk measures, including VaR and ES for continuous and discrete portfolio loss random variable variables. Also, we give asymptotic results of the first and second order conditional moments for heavy-tailed portfolio loss random variab

April 15, 2024 · 1 min · thequant.space

Experimental Analysis of Deep Hedging Using Artificial Market Simulations for Underlying Asset Simulators

Derivative hedging and pricing are important and continuously studied topics in financial markets. Recently, deep hedging has been proposed as a promising approach that uses deep learning to approximate the optimal hedging strategy and can handle incomplete markets. However, deep hedging usually req

April 15, 2024 · 2 min · thequant.space

Quantum Risk Analysis of Financial Derivatives

We introduce two quantum algorithms to compute the Value at Risk (VaR) and Conditional Value at Risk (CVaR) of financial derivatives using quantum computers: the first by applying existing ideas from quantum risk analysis to derivative pricing, and the second based on a novel approach using Quantum

April 15, 2024 · 2 min · thequant.space

Developing An Attention-Based Ensemble Learning Framework for Financial Portfolio Optimisation

In recent years, deep or reinforcement learning approaches have been applied to optimise investment portfolios through learning the spatial and temporal information under the dynamic financial market. Yet in most cases, the existing approaches may produce biased trading signals based on the conventi

April 13, 2024 · 2 min · thequant.space

DEX Specs: A Mean Field Approach to DeFi Currency Exchanges

We investigate the behavior of liquidity providers (LPs) by modeling a decentralized cryptocurrency exchange (DEX) based on Uniswap v3. LPs with heterogeneous characteristics choose optimal liquidity positions subject to uncertainty regarding the size of exogenous incoming transactions and the price

April 13, 2024 · 2 min · thequant.space

Enhancing path-integral approximation for non-linear diffusion with neural network

Enhancing the existing solution for pricing of fixed income instruments within Black-Karasinski model structure, with neural network at various parameterisation points to demonstrate that the method is able to achieve superior outcomes for multiple calibrations across extended projection horizons.

April 13, 2024 · 1 min · thequant.space

Voting Participation and Engagement in Blockchain-Based Fan Tokens

This paper investigates the potential of blockchain-based fan tokens, a class of crypto asset that grants holders access to voting on club decisions and other perks, as a mechanism for stimulating democratized decision-making and fan engagement in the sports and esports sectors. By utilizing an exte

April 13, 2024 · 2 min · thequant.space

A backward differential deep learning-based algorithm for solving high-dimensional nonlinear backward stochastic differential equations

In this work, we propose a novel backward differential deep learning-based algorithm for solving high-dimensional nonlinear backward stochastic differential equations (BSDEs), where the deep neural network (DNN) models are trained not only on the inputs and labels but also the differentials of the c

April 12, 2024 · 2 min · thequant.space

Factor risk measures

This paper introduces and studies factor risk measures. While risk measures only rely on the distribution of a loss random variable, in many cases risk needs to be measured relative to some major factors. In this paper, we introduce a double-argument mapping as a risk measure to assess the risk rela

April 12, 2024 · 2 min · thequant.space

Strategic Informed Trading and the Value of Private Information

We consider a market of risky financial assets whose participants are an informed trader, a representative uninformed trader, and noisy liquidity providers. We prove the existence of a market-clearing equilibrium when the insider internalizes her power to impact prices, but the uninformed trader tak

April 12, 2024 · 2 min · thequant.space

Exponentially Weighted Moving Models

An exponentially weighted moving model (EWMM) for a vector time series fits a new data model each time period, based on an exponentially fading loss function on past observed data. The well known and widely used exponentially weighted moving average (EWMA) is a special case that estimates the mean u

April 11, 2024 · 2 min · thequant.space

One Factor to Bind the Cross-Section of Returns

We propose a new non-linear single-factor asset pricing model $r_{it}=h(f_{t}λ_{i})+ε_{it}$. Despite its parsimony, this model represents exactly any non-linear model with an arbitrary number of factors and loadings – a consequence of the Kolmogorov-Arnold representation theorem. It features only o

April 11, 2024 · 2 min · thequant.space