Modeling and Analysis of Crypto-Backed Over-Collateralized Stable Derivatives in DeFi

In decentralized finance (DeFi), stablecoins like DAI are designed to offer a stable value amidst the fluctuating nature of cryptocurrencies. We examine the class of crypto-backed stable derivatives, with a focus on mechanisms for price stabilization, which is exemplified by the well-known stablecoi

February 28, 2024 · 2 min · thequant.space

Set-valued Star-Shaped Risk Measures

In this paper, we introduce a new class of set-valued risk measures, named set-valued star-shaped risk measures. Motivated by the results of scalar monetary and star-shaped risk measures, this paper investigates the representation theorems in the set-valued framework. It is demonstrated that set-val

February 28, 2024 · 2 min · thequant.space

Limit Order Book Simulations: A Review

Limit Order Books (LOBs) serve as a mechanism for buyers and sellers to interact with each other in the financial markets. Modelling and simulating LOBs is quite often necessary for calibrating and fine-tuning the automated trading strategies developed in algorithmic trading research. The recent AI

February 27, 2024 · 2 min · thequant.space

Neural Networks for Portfolio-Level Risk Management: Portfolio Compression, Static Hedging, Counterparty Credit Risk Exposures and Impact on Capital Requirement

In this paper, we present an artificial neural network framework for portfolio compression of a large portfolio of European options with varying maturities (target portfolio) by a significantly smaller portfolio of European options with shorter or same maturity (compressed portfolio), which also rep

February 27, 2024 · 2 min · thequant.space

Portfolio Analysis in High Dimensions with TE and Weight Constraints

This paper explores the statistical properties of forming constrained optimal portfolios within a high-dimensional set of assets. We examine portfolios with tracking error constraints, those with simultaneous tracking error and weight restrictions, and portfolios constrained solely by weight. Tracki

February 27, 2024 · 2 min · thequant.space

Quanto Option Pricing on a Multivariate Levy Process Model with a Generative Artificial Intelligence

In this study, we discuss a machine learning technique to price exotic options with two underlying assets based on a non-Gaussian Levy process model. We introduce a new multivariate Levy process model named the generalized normal tempered stable (gNTS) process, which is defined by time-changed multi

February 27, 2024 · 2 min · thequant.space

Stochastic Expansion for the Pricing of Asian and Basket Options

We present closed analytical approximations for the pricing of basket options, also applicable to Asian options with discrete averaging under the Black-Scholes model with time-dependent parameters. The formulae are obtained by using a stochastic Taylor expansion around a log-normal proxy model and a

February 27, 2024 · 1 min · thequant.space

The critical disordered pinning measure

In this paper, we study a disordered pinning model induced by a random walk whose increments have a finite $(2+κ)$-th moment for some $κ>0$. It is known that this model is marginally relevant, and moreover, it undergoes a phase transition in an intermediate disorder regime. We show that, in the crit

February 27, 2024 · 2 min · thequant.space

The Random Forest Model for Analyzing and Forecasting the US Stock Market in the Context of Smart Finance

The stock market is a crucial component of the financial market, playing a vital role in wealth accumulation for investors, financing costs for listed companies, and the stable development of the national macroeconomy. Significant fluctuations in the stock market can damage the interests of stock in

February 27, 2024 · 2 min · thequant.space

Time series generation for option pricing on quantum computers using tensor network

Finance, especially option pricing, is a promising industrial field that might benefit from quantum computing. While quantum algorithms for option pricing have been proposed, it is desired to devise more efficient implementations of costly operations in the algorithms, one of which is preparing a qu

February 27, 2024 · 2 min · thequant.space

Withdrawal Success Optimization in a Pooled Annuity Fund

Consider a closed pooled annuity fund investing in n assets with discrete-time rebalancing. At time 0, each annuitant makes an initial contribution to the fund, committing to a predetermined schedule of withdrawals. Require annuitants to be homogeneous in the sense that their initial contributions a

February 27, 2024 · 2 min · thequant.space

A Stationary Equilibrium Model of Green Technology Adoption with Endogenous Carbon Price

This paper proposes and analyzes a stationary equilibrium model for a competitive industry which endogenously determines the carbon price necessary to achieve a given emission target. In the model, firms are identified by their level of technology and make production, entry, and abatement decisions.

February 26, 2024 · 2 min · thequant.space

Alternative models for FX: pricing double barrier options in regime-switching Lévy models with memory

This paper is a supplement to our recent paper Alternative models for FX, arbitrage opportunities and efficient pricing of double barrier options in Lévy models". We introduce the class of regime-switching Lévy models with memory, which take into account the evolution of the stochastic parameters in

February 26, 2024 · 2 min · thequant.space

Jump detection in high-frequency order prices

We propose methods to infer jumps of a semi-martingale, which describes long-term price dynamics, based on discrete, noisy, high-frequency observations. Different to the classical model of additive, centered market microstructure noise, we consider one-sided microstructure noise for order prices in

February 26, 2024 · 2 min · thequant.space

Linear short rate model with several delays

This paper introduces a short rate model in continuous time that adds one or more memory (delay) components to the Merton model (Merton 1970, 1973) or the Vasiček model (Vasiček 1977) for the short rate. The distribution of the short rate in this model is normal, with the mean depending on past valu

February 26, 2024 · 2 min · thequant.space

On convergence of forecasts in prediction markets

We propose a dynamic model of a prediction market in which agents predict the values of a sequence of random vectors. The main result shows that if there are agents who make correct (or asymptotically correct) next-period forecasts, then the aggregated market forecasts converge to the next-period co

February 26, 2024 · 1 min · thequant.space

Student t-Lévy regression model in YUIMA

The aim of this paper is to discuss an estimation and a simulation method in the \textsf{“R”} package YUIMA for a linear regression model driven by a Student-$t$ Lévy process with constant scale and arbitrary degrees of freedom. This process finds applications in several fields, for example finance,

February 26, 2024 · 2 min · thequant.space

Valuing insurance against small probability risks: A meta-analysis

The demand for voluntary insurance against low-probability, high-impact risks is lower than expected. To assess the magnitude of the demand, we conduct a meta-analysis of contingent valuation studies using a dataset of experimentally elicited and survey-based estimates. We find that the average stat

February 26, 2024 · 2 min · thequant.space

Finding Near-Optimal Portfolios With Quality-Diversity

The majority of standard approaches to financial portfolio optimization (PO) are based on the mean-variance (MV) framework. Given a risk aversion coefficient, the MV procedure yields a single portfolio that represents the optimal trade-off between risk and return. However, the resulting optimal port

February 25, 2024 · 2 min · thequant.space

Optimizing Portfolio Management and Risk Assessment in Digital Assets Using Deep Learning for Predictive Analysis

Portfolio management issues have been extensively studied in the field of artificial intelligence in recent years, but existing deep learning-based quantitative trading methods have some areas where they could be improved. First of all, the prediction mode of stocks is singular; often, only one trad

February 25, 2024 · 2 min · thequant.space