Optimal Insurance to Maximize Exponential Utility when Premium is Computed by a Convex Functional

We find the optimal indemnity to maximize the expected utility of terminal wealth of a buyer of insurance whose preferences are modeled by an exponential utility. The insurance premium is computed by a convex functional. We obtain a necessary condition for the optimal indemnity; then, because the ca

January 16, 2024 · 2 min · thequant.space

Graph database while computationally efficient filters out quickly the ESG integrated equities in investment management

Design/methodology/approach This research evaluated the databases of SQL, No-SQL and graph databases to compare and contrast efficiency and performance. To perform this experiment the data were collected from multiple sources including stock price and financial news. Python is used as an interface t

January 15, 2024 · 2 min · thequant.space

Provisions and Economic Capital for Credit Losses

Based on supermodularity ordering properties, we show that convex risk measures of credit losses are nondecreasing w.r.t. credit-credit and, in a wrong-way risk setup, credit-market, covariances of elliptically distributed latent factors. These results support the use of such setups for computing cr

January 15, 2024 · 1 min · thequant.space

Optimal Investment with Herd Behaviour Using Rational Decision Decomposition

In this paper, we study the optimal investment problem considering the herd behaviour between two agents, including one leading expert and one following agent whose decisions are influenced by those of the leading expert. In the objective functional of the optimal investment problem, we introduce th

January 14, 2024 · 2 min · thequant.space

A deep implicit-explicit minimizing movement method for option pricing in jump-diffusion models

We develop a novel deep learning approach for pricing European basket options written on assets that follow jump-diffusion dynamics. The option pricing problem is formulated as a partial integro-differential equation, which is approximated via a new implicit-explicit minimizing movement time-steppin

January 12, 2024 · 2 min · thequant.space

Equity auction dynamics: latent liquidity models with activity acceleration

Equity auctions display several distinctive characteristics in contrast to continuous trading. As the auction time approaches, the rate of events accelerates causing a substantial liquidity buildup around the indicative price. This, in turn, results in a reduced price impact and decreased volatility

January 12, 2024 · 2 min · thequant.space

Quantum Probability Theoretic Asset Return Modeling: A Novel Schrödinger-Like Trading Equation and Multimodal Distribution

Quantum theory provides a comprehensive framework for quantifying uncertainty, often applied in quantum finance to explore the stochastic nature of asset returns. This perspective likens returns to microscopic particle motion, governed by quantum probabilities akin to physical laws. However, such ap

January 11, 2024 · 2 min · thequant.space

SpotV2Net: Multivariate Intraday Spot Volatility Forecasting via Vol-of-Vol-Informed Graph Attention Networks

This paper introduces SpotV2Net, a multivariate intraday spot volatility forecasting model based on a Graph Attention Network architecture. SpotV2Net represents assets as nodes within a graph and includes non-parametric high-frequency Fourier estimates of the spot volatility and co-volatility as nod

January 11, 2024 · 2 min · thequant.space

Super-hedging-pricing formulas and Immediate-Profit arbitrage for market models under random horizon

In this paper, we consider the discrete-time setting, and the market model described by (S,F,T)$. Herein F is the ``public" flow of information which is available to all agents overtime, S is the discounted price process of d-tradable assets, and T is an arbitrary random time whose occurrence might

January 11, 2024 · 2 min · thequant.space

A Mean Field Game between Informed Traders and a Broker

We find closed-form solutions to the stochastic game between a broker and a mean-field of informed traders. In the finite player game, the informed traders observe a common signal and a private signal. The broker, on the other hand, observes the trading speed of each of his clients and provides liqu

January 10, 2024 · 2 min · thequant.space

Boundary conditions at infinity for Black-Scholes equations

We propose a numerical procedure for computing the prices of European options, in which the underlying asset price is a Markovian strict local martingale. If the underlying process is a strict local martingale and the payoff is of linear growth, multiple solutions exist for the corresponding Black-S

January 10, 2024 · 2 min · thequant.space

CNN-DRL for Scalable Actions in Finance

The published MLP-based DRL in finance has difficulties in learning the dynamics of the environment when the action scale increases. If the buying and selling increase to one thousand shares, the MLP agent will not be able to effectively adapt to the environment. To address this, we designed a CNN a

January 10, 2024 · 2 min · thequant.space

Comparison of Markowitz Model and Single-Index Model on Portfolio Selection of Malaysian Stocks

Our article is focused on the application of Markowitz Portfolio Theory and the Single Index Model on 10-year historical monthly return data for 10 stocks included in FTSE Bursa Malaysia KLCI, which is also our market index, as well as a risk-free asset which is the monthly fixed deposit rate. We wi

January 10, 2024 · 2 min · thequant.space

Markowitz Portfolio Construction at Seventy

More than seventy years ago Harry Markowitz formulated portfolio construction as an optimization problem that trades off expected return and risk, defined as the standard deviation of the portfolio returns. Since then the method has been extended to include many practical constraints and objective t

January 10, 2024 · 2 min · thequant.space

On the Martingale Schrödinger Bridge between Two Distributions

We study a martingale Schrödinger bridge problem: given two probability distributions, find their martingale coupling with minimal relative entropy. Our main result provides Schrödinger potentials for this coupling. Namely, under certain conditions, the log-density of the optimal coupling is given b

January 10, 2024 · 1 min · thequant.space

Can ChatGPT Compute Trustworthy Sentiment Scores from Bloomberg Market Wraps?

We used a dataset of daily Bloomberg Financial Market Summaries from 2010 to 2023, reposted on large financial media, to determine how global news headlines may affect stock market movements using ChatGPT and a two-stage prompt approach. We document a statistically significant positive correlation b

January 9, 2024 · 2 min · thequant.space

Computing the Gerber-Shiu function with interest and a constant dividend barrier by physics-informed neural networks

In this paper, we propose a new efficient method for calculating the Gerber-Shiu discounted penalty function. Generally, the Gerber-Shiu function usually satisfies a class of integro-differential equation. We introduce the physics-informed neural networks (PINN) which embed a differential equation i

January 9, 2024 · 2 min · thequant.space

Expiring Assets in Automated Market Makers

An automated market maker (AMM) is a state machine that manages pools of assets, allowing parties to buy and sell those assets according to a fixed mathematical formula. AMMs are typically implemented as smart contracts on blockchains, and its prices are kept in line with the overall market price by

January 9, 2024 · 2 min · thequant.space

Proof of Efficient Liquidity: A Staking Mechanism for Capital Efficient Liquidity

The Proof of Efficient Liquidity (PoEL) protocol, designed for specialised Proof of Stake (PoS) consensus-based blockchains that incorporate intrinsic DeFi applications, aims to support sustainable liquidity bootstrapping and network security. This concept seeks to efficiently utilise budgeted staki

January 9, 2024 · 2 min · thequant.space

Scaling Laws And Statistical Properties of The Transaction Flows And Holding Times of Bitcoin

We study the temporal evolution of the holding-time distribution of bitcoins and find that the average distribution of holding-time is a heavy-tailed power law extending from one day to over at least $200$ weeks with an exponent approximately equal to $0.9$, indicating very long memory effects. We a

January 9, 2024 · 2 min · thequant.space