Multi-dimensional fractional Brownian motion in the G-setting

In this paper we introduce a definition of a multi-dimensional fractional Brownian motion of Hurst index $H \in (0, 1)$ under volatility uncertainty (in short G-fBm). We study the properties of such a process and provide first results about stochastic calculus with respect to a fractional G-Brownian

December 19, 2023 · 1 min · thequant.space

RIVCoin: an alternative, integrated, CeFi/DeFi-Vaulted Cryptocurrency

This whitepaper introduces RIV Coin, a cryptocurrency that is fully stabilized by a diversified portfolio of invested reserves that are evaluated by professional independent third parties, and auditable and provable by the protocol. It is born and managed as a decentralized token, minted by a Decent

December 19, 2023 · 2 min · thequant.space

Root-finding: from Newton to Halley and beyond

We give a new improvement over Newton’s method for root-finding, when the function in question is doubly differentiable. It generally exhibits faster and more reliable convergence. It can be also be thought of as a correction to Halley’s method, as this can exhibit undesirable behaviour.

December 19, 2023 · 1 min · thequant.space

Asset and Factor Risk Budgeting: A Balanced Approach

Portfolio optimization methods have evolved significantly since Markowitz introduced the mean-variance framework in 1952. While the theoretical appeal of this approach is undeniable, its practical implementation poses important challenges, primarily revolving around the intricate task of estimating

December 18, 2023 · 2 min · thequant.space

Linear and nonlinear causality in financial markets

Identifying and quantifying co-dependence between financial instruments is a key challenge for researchers and practitioners in the financial industry. Linear measures such as the Pearson correlation are still widely used today, although their limited explanatory power is well known. In this paper w

December 18, 2023 · 2 min · thequant.space

A new behavioral model for portfolio selection using the Half-Full/Half-Empty approach

We focus on a behavioral model, that has been recently proposed in the literature, whose rational can be traced back to the Half-Full/Half-Empty glass metaphor. More precisely, we generalize the Half-Full/Half-Empty approach to the context of positive and negative lotteries and give financial and be

December 17, 2023 · 2 min · thequant.space

Managing ESG Ratings Disagreement in Sustainable Portfolio Selection

Sustainable Investing identifies the approach of investors whose aim is twofold: on the one hand, they want to achieve the best compromise between portfolio risk and return, but they also want to take into account the sustainability of their investment, assessed through some Environmental, Social, a

December 17, 2023 · 2 min · thequant.space

A return-diversification approach to portfolio selection

In this paper, we propose a general bi-objective model for portfolio selection, aiming to maximize both a diversification measure and the portfolio expected return. Within this general framework, we focus on maximizing a diversification measure recently proposed by Choueifaty and Coignard for the ca

December 15, 2023 · 2 min · thequant.space

European Football Player Valuation: Integrating Financial Models and Network Theory

This paper presents a new framework for player valuation in European football, by fusing principles from financial mathematics and network theory. The valuation model leverages a “passing matrix” to encapsulate player interactions on the field, utilizing centrality measures to quantify individual in

December 15, 2023 · 2 min · thequant.space

The cost of artificial latency in the PBS context

We present a comprehensive analysis of the implications of artificial latency in the Proposer-Builder Separation framework on the Ethereum network. Focusing on the MEV-Boost auction system, we analyze how strategic latency manipulation affects Maximum Extractable Value yields and network integrity.

December 15, 2023 · 2 min · thequant.space

Convergence of Heavy-Tailed Hawkes Processes and the Microstructure of Rough Volatility

We establish the weak convergence of the intensity of a nearly-unstable Hawkes process with heavy-tailed kernel. Our result is used to derive a scaling limit for a financial market model where orders to buy or sell an asset arrive according to a Hawkes process with power-law kernel. After suitable r

December 14, 2023 · 2 min · thequant.space

Limit Order Book Dynamics and Order Size Modelling Using Compound Hawkes Process

Hawkes Process has been used to model Limit Order Book (LOB) dynamics in several ways in the literature however the focus has been limited to capturing the inter-event times while the order size is usually assumed to be constant. We propose a novel methodology of using Compound Hawkes Process for th

December 14, 2023 · 2 min · thequant.space

Residual U-net with Self-Attention to Solve Multi-Agent Time-Consistent Optimal Trade Execution

In this paper, we explore the use of a deep residual U-net with self-attention to solve the the continuous time time-consistent mean variance optimal trade execution problem for multiple agents and assets. Given a finite horizon we formulate the time-consistent mean-variance optimal trade execution

December 14, 2023 · 2 min · thequant.space

Robust option pricing with volatility term structure -- An empirical study for variance options

The robust option pricing problem is to find upper and lower bounds on fair prices of financial claims using only the most minimal assumptions. It contrasts with the classical, model-based approach and gained prominence in the wake of the 2008 financial crisis, and can be used to understand the exte

December 14, 2023 · 2 min · thequant.space

The irruption of cryptocurrencies into Twitter cashtags: a classifying solution

There is a consensus about the good sensing characteristics of Twitter to mine and uncover knowledge in financial markets, being considered a relevant feeder for taking decisions about buying or holding stock shares and even for detecting stock manipulation. Although Twitter hashtags allow to aggreg

December 14, 2023 · 2 min · thequant.space

Twitter Permeability to financial events: an experiment towards a model for sensing irregularities

There is a general consensus of the good sensing and novelty characteristics of Twitter as an information media for the complex financial market. This paper investigates the permeability of Twittersphere, the total universe of Twitter users and their habits, towards relevant events in the financial

December 14, 2023 · 2 min · thequant.space

Least-Cost Structuring of 24/7 Carbon-Free Electricity Procurements

We consider the construction of renewable portfolios targeting specified carbon-free (CFE) hourly performance scores. We work in a probabilistic framework that uses a collection of simulation scenarios and imposes probability constraints on achieving the desired CFE score. In our approach there is a

December 12, 2023 · 1 min · thequant.space

Nash equilibria for dividend distribution with competition

We construct Nash equilibria in feedback form for a class of two-person stochastic games of singular control with absorption, arising from a stylized model for corporate finance. More precisely, the paper focusses on a strategic dynamic game in which two financially-constrained firms operate in the

December 12, 2023 · 2 min · thequant.space

A Decadal Analysis of the Lead-Lag Effect in the NYSE

As is widely known, the stock market is a complex system in which a multitude of factors influence the performance of individual stocks and the market as a whole. One method for comprehending – and potentially predicting – stock market behavior is through network analysis, which can offer insights i

December 11, 2023 · 2 min · thequant.space

Intergenerational Equitable Climate Change Mitigation: Negative Effects of Stochastic Interest Rates; Positive Effects of Financing

Climate mitigation decisions today affect future generations, raising questions of intergenerational equity. Integrated assessment models (IAMs) rely on discounting to evaluate long-term policy costs and benefits. Using the DICE model, we quantify how optimal pathways distribute abatement and damage

December 11, 2023 · 2 min · thequant.space