Equity Risk Premiums: Determinants, Estimation and Implications - The 2020 Edition ArXiv ID: ssrn-3550293 “View on arXiv”
Authors: Unknown
Abstract No abstract found
Keywords: No abstract found, Unknown
Complexity vs Empirical Score Math Complexity: 5.0/10 Empirical Rigor: 7.0/10 Quadrant: Street Traders Why: The paper centers on the estimation of the equity risk premium using established financial models (CAPM, Gordon Growth), involving algebraic and present value formulas, but focuses heavily on practical, data-driven applications like historical returns analysis, survey methods, and implied premium calculations using market data from sources like Moody’s and PRS Group. flowchart TD A["Research Goal: Determine, Estimate, and Imply Equity Risk Premiums"] --> B["Data/Inputs: Historical Market Returns, Bond Yields, Economic Indicators"] B --> C["Methodology: Decompose ERP into Risk-Free Rate + Risk Compensation"] C --> D["Computational Process: Historical & Forward-Looking Estimation"] D --> E["Key Finding 1: ERP is dynamic, varying with economic conditions"] D --> F["Key Finding 2: Valuation metrics (CAPE, Dividend Yield) are key determinants"] D --> G["Key Finding 3: ERP is sensitive to interest rates and inflation"] E --> H["Outcomes: Framework for future ERP prediction & valuation"]