A Spread-Gated Hawkes-Flocking Model for Best Bid and Ask Dynamics, with an Application to Limit Order Placement

We study the joint dynamics of the best bid and ask prices with a spread-gated Hawkes-flocking model. The model tracks four types of best-quote movements: spread-narrowing movements are switched off when the spread is at its one-tick minimum, and a cross-side excitation term, whose activation depend

September 29, 2026 · 2 min · thequant.space

Dyson-Schwinger Effective-Action Methods for Rough Volatility: A Correlation-Response Architecture for Calibration, Exotics and Risk

We develop a non-perturbative framework for stochastic-volatility option pricing organised by the two-particle-irreducible (2PI) effective action and the Dyson-Schwinger gap equations of quantum field theory. In log-price, log-volatility or Lamperti coordinates, the joint law of the state variables

September 29, 2026 · 2 min · thequant.space

Finite-Horizon Reversible Investment under Multi-Factor Dynamics

We study a finite-horizon reversible investment problem in which a risk-neutral firm adjusts capacity at a proportional purchase cost and a lower salvage value under multi-factor geometric Brownian motion. Via the singular control–optimal switching correspondence, the marginal value of capacity sol

September 29, 2026 · 2 min · thequant.space

From Intraday Orderbook to Imbalance Price: Understanding Cross-Market Interaction

Power systems with increasing variable renewable generation face greater uncertainty in scheduling and balancing. Intraday and balancing electricity markets facilitate position adjustments and real-time balancing close to delivery. As delivery approaches, continuous intraday market participants expo

September 29, 2026 · 3 min · thequant.space

Global Structure and Local Specifications in Sublinear Valuation

This work studies the relationships among sublinear valuation rules, uncertainty structures, and local specifications in a time-homogeneous Markovian framework with killing. These objects are linked, under finiteness and locality of the upper generator and a Lyapunov condition, by three maps: robust

September 29, 2026 · 2 min · thequant.space

Information Games: Strategic Crowding and Firm Repositioning in Language-Model Space

Firms follow changing economic opportunities, but rivalry changes their response. We develop ESCAPE, a rational-share game of distribution-valued positioning with heterogeneous capability costs, establish a unique equilibrium, and derive an exact reallocation restriction separating opportunity and c

September 29, 2026 · 2 min · thequant.space

Multi-Task Dynamic Pricing in Credit Market with Contextual Information

We study the dynamic pricing problem faced by a broker seeking to learn prices for a large number of credit market securities, such as corporate bonds, government bonds, loans, and other credit-related securities. A major challenge in pricing these securities stems from their infrequent trading and

September 29, 2026 · 2 min · thequant.space

Not All LPs Are Equal: The Active-Passive Gap in Automated Market Maker Liquidity Provision

Liquidity provision in automated market makers is typically analyzed at the pool level, implicitly assuming LP homogeneity. This aggregate view can hide how liquidity provision outcomes differ between LP strategies, particularly as concentrated liquidity AMM designs operating on high-performance blo

September 29, 2026 · 2 min · thequant.space

The Efficient Frontier from a LASSO Solver

In a recent paper, Schmelzer and Hastie argue that Markowitz’s Critical Line Algorithm and the LASSO path trace the same curve. Here we use that identity to compute efficient frontiers with a stock LASSO solver, \texttt{lars_path} from \texttt{scikit-learn}. It handles long–short portfolios under

September 29, 2026 · 1 min · thequant.space

Deep kernel hedging

We introduce a deep kernel hedging framework that combines the flexibility of deep learning with the structural inductive bias of kernel methods. The hedging functional is restricted to a reproducing kernel Hilbert space whose kernel is parameterized through a neural network embedding of the input f

September 28, 2026 · 2 min · thequant.space

FinAutoRubric: Expert-Guided Automatic Rubric Generation for Evaluating Financial Research Agents

Evaluating finance research agents requires rubrics that reflect expert standards and fix the values correct as of an information cutoff. Expert-reviewed finance benchmarks rely on fixed, per-item rubrics, which are costly to extend and cannot encode each institution’s own standard. In FinAutoRubric

September 28, 2026 · 2 min · thequant.space

From Cointegration to Out-of-Sample Failure: A Pairs-Trading Case Study on PEP-KO

This paper examines whether a cointegration-based pairs trading strategy between PepsiCo and The Coca-Cola Company is statistically robust and economically exploitable. We first test for cointegration and estimate the spread’s mean-reversion dynamics over 2013-2018, then hold these statistical param

September 28, 2026 · 2 min · thequant.space

From Word Counts to Context: Topic Models for Asset Pricing

News may reveal systematic risk, but whether its context enhances the construction of systematic risk factors is still unclear. We seek to test whether utilizing a sentence transformer represents an improvement over techniques such as Latent Dirichlet Allocation (LDA) in the coherence of topic term

September 28, 2026 · 2 min · thequant.space

Optimal Liquidation with Support and Resistance Levels under Multi-Skew Brownian Motion

We solve the perpetual liquidation problem for a geometric multi-skew Brownian motion carrying local-time pushes upward at a support level and downward at a resistance level, a model of technical analysis that is Markov in the price alone. Three geometries arise, separated by a closed-form criterion

September 28, 2026 · 2 min · thequant.space

Portfolio Choice with Competing Precautionary and Accumulation Goals

We study optimal portfolio choice for a household managing two goals at once. A random-deadline precautionary goal, such as a medical emergency, must be paid in full whenever it arrives and is affordable; a fixed-deadline accumulation goal, such as a target retirement lifestyle, may be declined at i

September 28, 2026 · 2 min · thequant.space

Retrieval-Augmented Diffusion Modeling for Stochastic Discount Factor Portfolios

In this work, we study portfolio optimization under the stochastic discount factor (SDF) framework by learning market state representations that capture the underlying risk structures of financial data. This is challenging due to several factors: financial markets exhibit non-stationary dynamics wit

September 28, 2026 · 2 min · thequant.space

Risk diversification for infinitely divisible distributions

In this paper, we study the diversification properties of convex combinations of iid infinitely divisible random variables. For Lévy processes with bounded variation sample paths, we characterize, in terms of subadditivity and concavity of the transformed Lévy tails, Lévy processes that exhibit the

September 28, 2026 · 2 min · thequant.space

EverMine: Dissecting the Self-Evolution of Research Capabilities in Long-Horizon Alpha Research

Self-evolving agents aim to turn research feedback into reusable skills, tools, and research rules. Whether these accumulated capabilities continue to improve later research requires controlled evaluation. Long-horizon alpha discovery provides a state-dependent setting: once a new factor enters the

September 27, 2026 · 3 min · thequant.space

Evolution of Market Microstructure in the Age of AI

Market microstructure studies how trading rules turn orders into prices and allocations. Those rules have been rebuilt repeatedly: for floor traders, electronic limit order books and high-frequency trading, batch auctions and dark pools, blockchains run by automated market makers and block builders,

September 27, 2026 · 2 min · thequant.space

LiveOption: Evaluating LLM Agents in Structured Option Trading with Nonlinear Payoffs

Large language models (LLMs) and multi-agent systems (MAS) have shown promise in financial decision-making, yet existing evaluations focus on equity trading and primarily assess directional prediction, overlooking the structural complexity of derivative markets. Option trading introduces fundamental

September 27, 2026 · 2 min · thequant.space