From Deep Filtering to Deep Econometrics

Calculating true volatility is an essential task for option pricing and risk management. However, it is made difficult by market microstructure noise. Particle filtering has been proposed to solve this problem as it favorable statistical properties, but relies on assumptions about underlying market

September 13, 2023 · 2 min · thequant.space

Harnessing Deep Q-Learning for Enhanced Statistical Arbitrage in High-Frequency Trading: A Comprehensive Exploration

The realm of High-Frequency Trading (HFT) is characterized by rapid decision-making processes that capitalize on fleeting market inefficiencies. As the financial markets become increasingly competitive, there is a pressing need for innovative strategies that can adapt and evolve with changing market

September 13, 2023 · 2 min · thequant.space

Weak Markovian Approximations of Rough Heston

The rough Heston model is a very popular recent model in mathematical finance; however, the lack of Markov and semimartingale properties poses significant challenges in both theory and practice. A way to resolve this problem is to use Markovian approximations of the model. Several previous works hav

September 13, 2023 · 2 min · thequant.space

A monotone numerical integration method for mean-variance portfolio optimization under jump-diffusion models

We develop a efficient, easy-to-implement, and strictly monotone numerical integration method for Mean-Variance (MV) portfolio optimization in realistic contexts, which involve jump-diffusion dynamics of the underlying controlled processes, discrete rebalancing, and the application of investment con

September 12, 2023 · 2 min · thequant.space

Arguably Adequate Aqueduct Algorithm: Crossing A Bridge-Less Block-Chain Chasm

We consider the problem of being a cross-chain wealth management platform with deposits, redemptions and investment assets across multiple networks. We discuss the need for blockchain bridges to facilitates fund flows across platforms. We point out several issues with existing bridges. We develop an

September 12, 2023 · 1 min · thequant.space

Dynamic relationship between XRP price and correlation tensor spectra of the transaction network

The emergence of cryptoassets has sparked a paradigm shift in the world of finance and investment, ushering in a new era of digital assets with profound implications for the future of currency and asset management. A recent study showed that during the bubble period around the year, 2018, the price

September 12, 2023 · 2 min · thequant.space

SCOP: Schrodinger Control Optimal Planning for Goal-Based Wealth Management

We consider the problem of optimization of contributions of a financial planner such as a working individual towards a financial goal such as retirement. The objective of the planner is to find an optimal and feasible schedule of periodic installments to an investment portfolio set up towards the go

September 12, 2023 · 2 min · thequant.space

The Conundrum of the Pension System in India: A Comprehensive study in the context of India's Growth Story

India is the largest democracy in the world and has recently surpassed China to be the highest-populated country, with an estimated 1.425 billion (approximately 18% of the world population). Moreover, India’s elderly population is projected to increase to 138 million by 2035. Indian economy is alrea

September 12, 2023 · 2 min · thequant.space

A New Framework to Estimate Return on Investment for Player Salaries in the National Basketball Association

The National Basketball Association (NBA) imposes a player salary cap. It is therefore useful to develop tools to measure the relative realized return of a player’s salary given their on court performance. Very few such studies exist, however. We thus present the first known framework to estimate a

September 11, 2023 · 3 min · thequant.space

An Axiomatic Risk-Reward Framework for Sustainable Investing

Continued interest in sustainable investing calls for an axiomatic approach to measures of risk and reward that focus not only on financial returns, but also on measures of environmental and social sustainability, i.e. environmental, social, and governance (ESG) scores. We propose definitions for ES

September 11, 2023 · 2 min · thequant.space

Desenvolvimento de modelo para predição de cotações de ação baseada em análise de sentimentos de tweets

Training machine learning models for predicting stock market share prices is an active area of research since the automatization of trading such papers was available in real time. While most of the work in this field of research is done by training Neural networks based on past prices of stock share

September 11, 2023 · 2 min · thequant.space

Monte Carlo Simulation for Trading Under a Lévy-Driven Mean-Reverting Framework

We present a Monte Carlo approach to pairs trading on mean-reverting spreads modeled by Lévy-driven Ornstein-Uhlenbeck processes. Specifically, we focus on using a variance gamma driving process, an infinite activity pure jump process to allow for more flexible models of the price spread than is ava

September 11, 2023 · 2 min · thequant.space

New News is Bad News

An increase in the novelty of news predicts negative stock market returns and negative macroeconomic outcomes over the next year. We quantify news novelty - changes in the distribution of news text - through an entropy measure, calculated using a recurrent neural network applied to a large news corp

September 11, 2023 · 2 min · thequant.space

Real-time VaR Calculations for Crypto Derivatives in kdb+/q

Cryptocurrency market is known for exhibiting significantly higher volatility than traditional asset classes. Efficient and adequate risk calculation is vital for managing risk exposures in such market environments where extreme price fluctuations occur in short timeframes. The objective of this the

September 11, 2023 · 2 min · thequant.space

A compendium of data sources for data science, machine learning, and artificial intelligence

Recent advances in data science, machine learning, and artificial intelligence, such as the emergence of large language models, are leading to an increasing demand for data that can be processed by such models. While data sources are application-specific, and it is impossible to produce an exhaustiv

September 10, 2023 · 2 min · thequant.space

Dimension Reduction in Martingale Optimal Transport: Geometry and Robust Option Pricing

This paper addresses the problem of robust option pricing within the framework of Vectorial Martingale Optimal Transport (VMOT). We investigate the geometry of VMOT solutions for $N$-period market models and demonstrate that, when the number of underlying assets is $d=2$ and the payoff is sub- or su

September 10, 2023 · 2 min · thequant.space

Gamma Hedging and Rough Paths

We apply rough-path theory to study the discrete-time gamma-hedging strategy. We show that if a trader knows that the market price of a set of European options will be given by a diffusive pricing model, then the discrete-time gamma-hedging strategy will enable them to replicate other European optio

September 10, 2023 · 2 min · thequant.space

Multidimensional indefinite stochastic Riccati equations and zero-sum stochastic linear-quadratic differential games with non-Markovian regime switching

This paper is concerned with zero-sum stochastic linear-quadratic differential games in a regime switching model. The coefficients of the games depend on the underlying noises, so it is a non-Markovian regime switching model. Based on the solutions of a new kind of multidimensional indefinite stocha

September 10, 2023 · 2 min · thequant.space

News-driven Expectations and Volatility Clustering

Financial volatility obeys two fascinating empirical regularities that apply to various assets, on various markets, and on various time scales: it is fat-tailed (more precisely power-law distributed) and it tends to be clustered in time. Many interesting models have been proposed to account for thes

September 9, 2023 · 2 min · thequant.space

Aggregation of financial markets

We present a formal framework for the aggregation of financial markets mediated by arbitrage. Our main tool is to characterize markets via utility functions and to employ a one-to-one correspondence to limit order book states. Inspired by the theory of thermodynamics, we argue that the arbitrage-med

September 8, 2023 · 2 min · thequant.space