Propagation of a carbon price in a credit portfolio through macroeconomic factors

We study how the climate transition through a low-carbon economy, implemented by carbon pricing, propagates in a credit portfolio and precisely describe how carbon price dynamics affects credit risk measures such as probability of default, expected and unexpected losses. We adapt a stochastic multis

July 24, 2023 · 3 min · thequant.space

Leveraging Deep Learning and Online Source Sentiment for Financial Portfolio Management

Financial portfolio management describes the task of distributing funds and conducting trading operations on a set of financial assets, such as stocks, index funds, foreign exchange or cryptocurrencies, aiming to maximize the profit while minimizing the loss incurred by said operations. Deep Learnin

July 23, 2023 · 2 min · thequant.space

FinPT: Financial Risk Prediction with Profile Tuning on Pretrained Foundation Models

Financial risk prediction plays a crucial role in the financial sector. Machine learning methods have been widely applied for automatically detecting potential risks and thus saving the cost of labor. However, the development in this field is lagging behind in recent years by the following two facts

July 22, 2023 · 2 min · thequant.space

Sparse Index Tracking: Simultaneous Asset Selection and Capital Allocation via $ll_0$-Constrained Portfolio

Sparse index tracking is a prominent passive portfolio management strategy that constructs a sparse portfolio to track a financial index. A sparse portfolio is preferable to a full portfolio in terms of reducing transaction costs and avoiding illiquid assets. To achieve portfolio sparsity, conventio

July 22, 2023 · 2 min · thequant.space

Unraveling the Trade-off between Sustainability and Returns: A Multivariate Utility Analysis

This paper proposes an expected multivariate utility analysis for ESG investors in which green stocks, brown stocks, and a market index are modeled in a one-factor, CAPM-type structure. This setting allows investors to accommodate their preferences for green investments according to proper risk aver

July 22, 2023 · 2 min · thequant.space

Discrete time optimal investment under model uncertainty

We study a robust utility maximization problem in a general discrete-time frictionless market under quasi-sure no-arbitrage. The investor is assumed to have a random and concave utility function defined on the whole real-line. She also faces model ambiguity on her beliefs about the market, which is

July 21, 2023 · 2 min · thequant.space

ESG Reputation Risk Matters: An Event Study Based on Social Media Data

We investigate the response of shareholders to Environmental, Social, and Governance-related reputational risk (ESG-risk), focusing exclusively on the impact of social media. Using a dataset of 114 million tweets about firms listed on the S&P100 index between 2016 and 2022, we extract conversations

July 21, 2023 · 2 min · thequant.space

Multimodal Document Analytics for Banking Process Automation

Traditional banks face increasing competition from FinTechs in the rapidly evolving financial ecosystem. Raising operational efficiency is vital to address this challenge. Our study aims to improve the efficiency of document-intensive business processes in banking. To that end, we first review the l

July 21, 2023 · 2 min · thequant.space

Optimal Bubble Riding with Price-dependent Entry: a Mean Field Game of Controls with Common Noise

In this paper we further extend the optimal bubble riding model proposed by Tangpi and Wang by allowing for price-dependent entry times. Agents are characterized by their individual entry threshold that represents their belief in the strength of the bubble. Conversely, the growth dynamics of the bub

July 21, 2023 · 2 min · thequant.space

Social and individual learning in the Minority Game

We study the roles of social and individual learning on outcomes of the Minority Game model of a financial market. Social learning occurs via agents adopting the strategies of their neighbours within a social network, while individual learning results in agents changing their strategies without inpu

July 21, 2023 · 2 min · thequant.space

An Adaptive Dual-level Reinforcement Learning Approach for Optimal Trade Execution

The purpose of this research is to devise a tactic that can closely track the daily cumulative volume-weighted average price (VWAP) using reinforcement learning. Previous studies often choose a relatively short trading horizon to implement their models, making it difficult to accurately track the da

July 20, 2023 · 2 min · thequant.space

Fast and Furious: A High-Frequency Analysis of Robinhood Users' Trading Behavior

We analyze Robinhood (RH) investors’ trading reactions to intraday hourly and overnight price changes. Contrasting with recent studies focusing on daily behaviors, we find that RH users strongly favor big losers over big gainers. We also uncover that they react rapidly, typically within an hour, whe

July 20, 2023 · 1 min · thequant.space

Mean Field Games for Optimal Investment Under Relative Performance Criteria

In this paper, we study the portfolio optimization problem formulated by Lacker and Soret. They formulate a finite time horizon model that allows agents to be competitive, measuring their utility not only by their absolute wealth but also relative performance compared to the average of other agents.

July 20, 2023 · 2 min · thequant.space

On intermediate Marginals in Martingale Optimal Transportation

We study the influence of additional intermediate marginal distributions on the value of the martingale optimal transport problem. From a financial point of view, this corresponds to taking into account call option prices not only, as usual, for those call options where the respective future maturit

July 19, 2023 · 2 min · thequant.space

Reinforcement Learning for Credit Index Option Hedging

In this paper, we focus on finding the optimal hedging strategy of a credit index option using reinforcement learning. We take a practical approach, where the focus is on realism i.e. discrete time, transaction costs; even testing our policy on real market data. We apply a state of the art algorithm

July 19, 2023 · 1 min · thequant.space

Sig-Splines: universal approximation and convex calibration of time series generative models

We propose a novel generative model for multivariate discrete-time time series data. Drawing inspiration from the construction of neural spline flows, our algorithm incorporates linear transformations and the signature transform as a seamless substitution for traditional neural networks. This approa

July 19, 2023 · 1 min · thequant.space

Company2Vec -- German Company Embeddings based on Corporate Websites

With Company2Vec, the paper proposes a novel application in representation learning. The model analyzes business activities from unstructured company website data using Word2Vec and dimensionality reduction. Company2Vec maintains semantic language structures and thus creates efficient company embedd

July 18, 2023 · 2 min · thequant.space

Estimation of an Order Book Dependent Hawkes Process for Large Datasets

A point process for event arrivals in high frequency trading is presented. The intensity is the product of a Hawkes process and high dimensional functions of covariates derived from the order book. Conditions for stationarity of the process are stated. An algorithm is presented to estimate the model

July 18, 2023 · 2 min · thequant.space

Is Kyle's equilibrium model stable?

In the dynamic discrete-time trading setting of Kyle (1985), we prove that Kyle’s equilibrium model is stable when there are one or two trading times. For three or more trading times, we prove that Kyle’s equilibrium is not stable. These theoretical results are proven to hold irrespectively of all K

July 18, 2023 · 1 min · thequant.space

Rough PDEs for local stochastic volatility models

In this work, we introduce a novel pricing methodology in general, possibly non-Markovian local stochastic volatility (LSV) models. We observe that by conditioning the LSV dynamics on the Brownian motion that drives the volatility, one obtains a time-inhomogeneous Markov process. Using tools from ro

July 18, 2023 · 2 min · thequant.space