This research examines the correlations between the return volatility of cryptocurrencies, global stock market indices, and the spillover effects of the COVID-19 pandemic. For this purpose, we employed a two-stage multivariate volatility exponential GARCH (EGARCH) model with an integrated dynamic co
We delve into the intricate world of share buy-backs, a strategic corporate capital allocation tool that has gained significant prominence over the past few decades. Despite being the subject of extensive research and debate, the execution phase of these transactions remains an underexplored area. T
We study the impacts of regime changes and related rule implementations on IPOs initial return for China entrepreneurial boards (ChiNext and STAR). We propose that an initial return contains the issuer fair value and an investors overreaction and examine their magnitudes and determinants. Our findin
This study analyzes the transmission of market uncertainty on key European financial markets and the cryptocurrency market over an extended period, encompassing the pre, during, and post-pandemic periods. Daily financial market indices and price observations are used to assess the forecasting models
Prediction markets allow traders to bet on potential future outcomes. These markets exist for weather, political, sports, and economic forecasting. Within this work we consider a decentralized framework for prediction markets using automated market makers (AMMs). Specifically, we construct a liquidi
We study the real economic activity in the Bitcoin blockchain that involves transactions from/to retail users rather than between organizations such as marketplaces, exchanges, or other services. We first introduce a heuristic method to classify Bitcoin players into three main categories: Frequent R
In July 2023, Nasdaq announced a `Special Rebalance’ of the Nasdaq-100 index to reduce the index weights of its large constituents. A rebalance as suggested currently by Nasdaq index methodology may have several undesirable effects. These effects can be avoided by a different, but simple rebalancing
There seems to exist significant similarities between a reactor system and a supply chain from collection to delivery. In the reactor case, neutrons are continuously produced and absorbed in nuclear fuel. In a supply system case, items are continuously collected and continuously delivered to destina
Our research aims to find the best model that uses companies projections and sector performances and how the given company fares accordingly to correctly predict equity share prices for both short and long term goals.
We evaluate benchmark deep reinforcement learning algorithms on the task of portfolio optimisation using simulated data. The simulator to generate the data is based on correlated geometric Brownian motion with the Bertsimas-Lo market impact model. Using the Kelly criterion (log utility) as the objec
This paper proposes a novel meta-learning approach to optimize a robust portfolio ensemble. The method uses a deep generative model to generate diverse and high-quality sub-portfolios combined to form the ensemble portfolio. The generative model consists of a convolutional layer, a stateful LSTM mod
This paper proposes a novel dynamic forecasting method using a new supervised Principal Component Analysis (PCA) when a large number of predictors are available. The new supervised PCA provides an effective way to bridge the gap between predictors and the target variable of interest by scaling and c
Monroe (1978) demonstrates that any local semimartingale can be represented as a time-changed Brownian Motion (BM). A natural question arises: does this representation theorem hold when the BM and the time-change are independent? We prove that a local semimartingale is not equivalent to a BM with a
We consider the supervised learning problem of learning the price of an option or the implied volatility given appropriate input data (model parameters) and corresponding output data (option prices or implied volatilities). The majority of articles in this literature considers a (plain) feed forward
In a fixed time horizon, appropriately executing a large amount of a particular asset – meaning a considerable portion of the volume traded within this frame – is challenging. Especially for illiquid or even highly liquid but also highly volatile ones, the role of “market quality” is quite relevan
In a natural market environment, the price prediction model needs to be updated in real time according to the data obtained by the system to ensure the accuracy of the prediction. In order to improve the user experience of the system, the price prediction function needs to use the fastest training m
The open availability of the entire history of the Bitcoin transactions opens up the possibility to study this system at an unprecedented level of detail. This contribution is devoted to the analysis of the mesoscale structural properties of the Bitcoin User Network (BUN), across its entire history
In this paper we show how the relaxation techniques can be used to establish the existence of an optimal contract in presence of information asymmetry. The method we illustrate was initially motivated by the problem of designing optimal brokerage fees, but it does apply to other optimal contract pro
The role of cryptocurrencies within the financial systems has been expanding rapidly in recent years among investors and institutions. It is therefore crucial to investigate the phenomena and develop statistical methods able to capture their interrelationships, the links with other global systems, a
Financial portfolio construction problems are often formulated as quadratic and discrete (combinatorial) optimization that belong to the nondeterministic polynomial time (NP)-hard class in computational complexity theory. Ising machines are hardware devices that work in quantum-mechanical/quantum-in