FLAIR: A Metric for Liquidity Provider Competitiveness in Automated Market Makers

This paper aims to enhance the understanding of liquidity provider (LP) returns in automated market makers (AMMs). LPs face market risk as well as adverse selection due to risky asset holdings in the pool that they provide liquidity to and the informational asymmetry between informed traders (arbitr

June 15, 2023 · 2 min · thequant.space

Optimal Portfolio Execution in a Regime-switching Market with Non-linear Impact Costs: Combining Dynamic Program and Neural Network

Optimal execution of a portfolio have been a challenging problem for institutional investors. Traders face the trade-off between average trading price and uncertainty, and traditional methods suffer from the curse of dimensionality. Here, we propose a four-step numerical framework for the optimal po

June 15, 2023 · 2 min · thequant.space

A multi-agent targeted trading equilibrium with transaction costs

We prove the existence of a continuous-time Radner equilibrium with multiple agents and transaction costs. The agents are incentivized to trade towards a targeted number of shares throughout the trading period and seek to maximize their expected wealth minus a penalty for deviating from their target

June 14, 2023 · 2 min · thequant.space

Deep Policy Gradient Methods in Commodity Markets

The energy transition has increased the reliance on intermittent energy sources, destabilizing energy markets and causing unprecedented volatility, culminating in the global energy crisis of 2021. In addition to harming producers and consumers, volatile energy markets may jeopardize vital decarboniz

June 14, 2023 · 2 min · thequant.space

Failure of Fourier pricing techniques to approximate the Greeks

The Greeks Delta and Gamma of plain vanilla options play a fundamental role in finance, e.g., in hedging or risk management. These Greeks are approximated in many models such as the widely used Variance Gamma model by Fourier techniques such as the Carr-Madan formula, the COS method or the Lewis for

June 14, 2023 · 2 min · thequant.space

Using Internal Bar Strength as a Key Indicator for Trading Country ETFs

This report aims to investigate the effectiveness of using internal bar strength (IBS) as a key indicator for trading country exchange-traded funds (ETFs). The study uses a quantitative approach to analyze historical price data for a bucket of country ETFs over a period of 10 years and uses the idea

June 14, 2023 · 2 min · thequant.space

A Comparative Study of Factor Models for Different Periods of the Electricity Spot Price Market

Due to major shifts in European energy supply, a structural change can be observed in Austrian electricity spot price data starting from the second quarter of the year 2021 onward. In this work we study the performance of two different factor models for the electricity spot price in three different

June 13, 2023 · 2 min · thequant.space

Dynamic Bayesian Networks for Predicting Cryptocurrency Price Directions: Uncovering Causal Relationships

Cryptocurrencies have gained popularity across various sectors, especially in finance and investment. Despite their growing popularity, cryptocurrencies can be a high-risk investment due to their price volatility. The inherent volatility in cryptocurrency prices, coupled with the effects of external

June 13, 2023 · 2 min · thequant.space

Model-Free Market Risk Hedging Using Crowding Networks

Crowding is widely regarded as one of the most important risk factors in designing portfolio strategies. In this paper, we analyze stock crowding using network analysis of fund holdings, which is used to compute crowding scores for stocks. These scores are used to construct costless long-short portf

June 13, 2023 · 2 min · thequant.space

Combining Reinforcement Learning and Barrier Functions for Adaptive Risk Management in Portfolio Optimization

Reinforcement learning (RL) based investment strategies have been widely adopted in portfolio management (PM) in recent years. Nevertheless, most RL-based approaches may often emphasize on pursuing returns while ignoring the risks of the underlying trading strategies that may potentially lead to gre

June 12, 2023 · 2 min · thequant.space

From Portfolio Optimization to Quantum Blockchain and Security: A Systematic Review of Quantum Computing in Finance

In this paper, we provide an overview of the recent work in the quantum finance realm from various perspectives. The applications in consideration are Portfolio Optimization, Fraud Detection, and Monte Carlo methods for derivative pricing and risk calculation. Furthermore, we give a comprehensive ov

June 12, 2023 · 2 min · thequant.space

Making forecasting self-learning and adaptive -- Pilot forecasting rack

Retail sales and price projections are typically based on time series forecasting. For some product categories, the accuracy of demand forecasts achieved is low, negatively impacting inventory, transport, and replenishment planning. This paper presents our findings based on a proactive pilot exercis

June 12, 2023 · 2 min · thequant.space

Mapping Global Value Chains at the Product Level

Value chain data is crucial to navigate economic disruptions, such as those caused by the COVID-19 pandemic and the war in Ukraine. Yet, despite its importance, publicly available value chain datasets, such as the World Input-Output Database’’, Inter-Country Input-Output Tables’’, EXIOBASE’’ or the

June 12, 2023 · 2 min · thequant.space

Optimizing Investment Strategies with Lazy Factor and Probability Weighting: A Price Portfolio Forecasting and Mean-Variance Model with Transaction Costs Approach

Market traders often engage in the frequent transaction of volatile assets to optimize their total return. In this study, we introduce a novel investment strategy model, anchored on the ’lazy factor.’ Our approach bifurcates into a Price Portfolio Forecasting Model and a Mean-Variance Model with Tra

June 12, 2023 · 2 min · thequant.space

Causality between Sentiment and Cryptocurrency Prices

This study investigates the relationship between narratives conveyed through microblogging platforms, namely Twitter, and the value of crypto assets. Our study provides a unique technique to build narratives about cryptocurrency by combining topic modelling of short texts with sentiment analysis. Fi

June 9, 2023 · 2 min · thequant.space

FinGPT: Open-Source Financial Large Language Models

Large language models (LLMs) have shown the potential of revolutionizing natural language processing tasks in diverse domains, sparking great interest in finance. Accessing high-quality financial data is the first challenge for financial LLMs (FinLLMs). While proprietary models like BloombergGPT hav

June 9, 2023 · 2 min · thequant.space

Learning Not to Spoof

As intelligent trading agents based on reinforcement learning (RL) gain prevalence, it becomes more important to ensure that RL agents obey laws, regulations, and human behavioral expectations. There is substantial literature concerning the aversion of obvious catastrophes like crashing a helicopter

June 9, 2023 · 2 min · thequant.space

Liquidity takers behavior representation through a contrastive learning approach

Thanks to the access to the labeled orders on the CAC40 data from Euronext, we are able to analyze agents’ behaviors in the market based on their placed orders. In this study, we construct a self-supervised learning model using triplet loss to effectively learn the representation of agent market ord

June 9, 2023 · 1 min · thequant.space

Monte Carlo simulation for Barndorff-Nielsen and Shephard model under change of measure

The Barndorff-Nielsen and Shephard model is a representative jump-type stochastic volatility model. Still, no method exists to compute option prices numerically for the non-martingale case with infinite active jumps. We develop two simulation methods for such a case under change of measure and condu

June 9, 2023 · 2 min · thequant.space

Random matrix theory and nested clustered portfolios on Mexican markets

This work aims to deal with the optimal allocation instability problem of Markowitz’s modern portfolio theory in high dimensionality. We propose a combined strategy that considers covariance matrix estimators from Random Matrix Theory~(RMT) and the machine learning allocation methodology known as Ne

June 9, 2023 · 2 min · thequant.space