Axiomatic characterization of pointwise Shapley decompositions

A common problem in various applications is the additive decomposition of the output of a function with respect to its input variables. Functions with binary arguments can be axiomatically decomposed by the famous Shapley value. For the decomposition of functions with real arguments, a popular metho

March 14, 2023 · 1 min · thequant.space

Deep incremental learning models for financial temporal tabular datasets with distribution shifts

We present a robust deep incremental learning framework for regression tasks on financial temporal tabular datasets which is built upon the incremental use of commonly available tabular and time series prediction models to adapt to distributional shifts typical of financial datasets. The framework u

March 14, 2023 · 2 min · thequant.space

Improving CNN-base Stock Trading By Considering Data Heterogeneity and Burst

In recent years, there have been quite a few attempts to apply intelligent techniques to financial trading, i.e., constructing automatic and intelligent trading framework based on historical stock price. Due to the unpredictable, uncertainty and volatile nature of financial market, researchers have

March 14, 2023 · 2 min · thequant.space

Mean field game of mutual holding with defaultable agents, and systemic risk

We introduce the possibility of default in the mean field game of mutual holding of Djete and Touzi [11]. This is modeled by introducing absorption at the origin of the equity process. We provide an explicit solution of this mean field game. Moreover, we provide a particle system approximation, and

March 14, 2023 · 2 min · thequant.space

Relative performance criteria of multiplicative form in complete markets

We consider existence and uniqueness of Nash equilibria in an $N$-player game of utility maximization under relative performance criteria of multiplicative form in complete semimartingale markets. For a large class of players’ utility functions, a general characterization of Nash equilibria for a gi

March 14, 2023 · 2 min · thequant.space

Ruin probability for the quota share model with~phase-type distributed claims

In this paper, we generalise the results presented in the literature for the ruin probability for the insurer–reinsurer model under a pro-rata reinsurance contract. We consider claim amounts that are described by a phase-type distribution that includes exponential, mixture of exponential, Erlang, a

March 14, 2023 · 2 min · thequant.space

Many learning agents interacting with an agent-based market model

We consider the dynamics and the interactions of multiple reinforcement learning optimal execution trading agents interacting with a reactive Agent-Based Model (ABM) of a financial market in event time. The model represents a market ecology with 3-trophic levels represented by: optimal execution lea

March 13, 2023 · 2 min · thequant.space

Reconciling rough volatility with jumps

We reconcile rough volatility models and jump models using a class of reversionary Heston models with fast mean reversions and large vol-of-vols. Starting from hyper-rough Heston models with a Hurst index $H \in (-1/2,1/2)$, we derive a Markovian approximating class of one dimensional reversionary H

March 13, 2023 · 2 min · thequant.space

The Stock Price Relationship between Holding Companies and Subsidiaries: A Case study of Indonesia Multiholding Companies

This study aimed to examine the correlation between the stock prices of two major Indonesian holding companies, MNC Group and Elang Mahkota Teknologi (Emtek) Group, and their respective subsidiaries as case studies. The data for the analysis were collected from 2013 to 2022, and Spearman correlation

March 13, 2023 · 3 min · thequant.space

TM-vector: A Novel Forecasting Approach for Market stock movement with a Rich Representation of Twitter and Market data

Stock market forecasting has been a challenging part for many analysts and researchers. Trend analysis, statistical techniques, and movement indicators have traditionally been used to predict stock price movements, but text extraction has emerged as a promising method in recent years. The use of neu

March 13, 2023 · 2 min · thequant.space

Correlation between upstreamness and downstreamness in random global value chains

This paper is concerned with upstreamness and downstreamness of industries and countries. Upstreamness and downstreamness measure respectively the average distance of an industrial sector from final consumption and from primary inputs. Recently, Antràs and Chor reported a puzzling and counter-intuit

March 12, 2023 · 3 min · thequant.space

Cost of Implementation of Basel III reforms in Bangladesh -- A Panel data analysis

Inspired by the recent debate on the macroeconomic implications of the new bank regulatory standards known as Basel III, we tried to find out in this study that the impact of Basel III liquidity and capital requirements in Bangladesh proposed by Basel Committee on Banking Supervision (BCBS, 2010a).

March 11, 2023 · 2 min · thequant.space

Mean-Field Liquidation Games with Market Drop-out

We consider a novel class of portfolio liquidation games with market drop-out (“absorption”). More precisely, we consider mean-field and finite player liquidation games where a player drops out of the market when her position hits zero. In particular round-trips are not admissible. This can be viewe

March 10, 2023 · 2 min · thequant.space

NFT Bubbles

By investigating nonfungible tokens (NFTs), we provide the first systematic study of retail investor behavior through asset bubbles. Given that NFTs are recorded in public blockchains, we are able to track investor behavior over time, leading to the identification of numerous price run-ups and crash

March 10, 2023 · 2 min · thequant.space

Real Option Pricing using Quantum Computers

In this work we present an alternative methodology to the standard Quantum Accelerated Monte Carlo (QAMC) applied to derivatives pricing. Our pipeline benefits from the combination of a new encoding protocol, referred to as the direct encoding, and a amplitude estimation algorithm, the modified Real

March 10, 2023 · 2 min · thequant.space

The Financial Market of Indices of Socioeconomic Wellbeing

The financial industry should be involved in mitigating the risk of downturns in the financial wellbeing indices around the world by implementing well-developed financial tools such as insurance instruments on the underlying wellbeing indices. We define a new quantitative measure of the wellbeing of

March 10, 2023 · 2 min · thequant.space

A fixed point approach for computing actuarially fair Pareto optimal risk-sharing rules

Risk-sharing is one way to pool risks without the need for a third party. To ensure the attractiveness of such a system, the rule should be accepted and understood by all participants. A desirable risk-sharing rule should fulfill actuarial fairness and Pareto optimality while being easy to compute.

March 9, 2023 · 2 min · thequant.space

Stock Trend Prediction: A Semantic Segmentation Approach

Market financial forecasting is a trending area in deep learning. Deep learning models are capable of tackling the classic challenges in stock market data, such as its extremely complicated dynamics as well as long-term temporal correlation. To capture the temporal relationship among these time seri

March 9, 2023 · 2 min · thequant.space

The Impact of Feature Selection and Transformation on Machine Learning Methods in Determining the Credit Scoring

Banks utilize credit scoring as an important indicator of financial strength and eligibility for credit. Scoring models aim to assign statistical odds or probabilities for predicting if there is a risk of nonpayment in relation to many other factors which may be involved in. This paper aims to illus

March 9, 2023 · 2 min · thequant.space

Application of supervised learning models in the Chinese futures market

Based on the characteristics of the Chinese futures market, this paper builds a supervised learning model to predict the trend of futures prices and then designs a trading strategy based on the prediction results. The Precision, Recall and F1-score of the classification problem show that our model c

March 8, 2023 · 1 min · thequant.space