Great year, bad Sharpe? A note on the joint distribution of performance and risk-adjusted return

Returns distributions are heavy-tailed across asset classes. In this note, I examine the implications of this well-known stylized fact for the joint statistics of performance (absolute return) and Sharpe ratio (risk-adjusted return). Using both synthetic and real data, I show that, all other things

February 17, 2023 · 2 min · thequant.space

Measuring distribution risk in discrete models

Model risk measures consequences of choosing a model in a class of possible alternatives. We find analytical and simulated bounds for payoff functions on classes of plausible alternatives of a given discrete model. We measure the impact of choosing a risk-neutral measure on convex derivative pricing

February 17, 2023 · 1 min · thequant.space

Optimal control of stochastic delay differential equations and applications to path-dependent financial and economic models

In this manuscript we consider a class optimal control problem for stochastic differential delay equations. First, we rewrite the problem in a suitable infinite-dimensional Hilbert space. Then, using the dynamic programming approach, we characterize the value function of the problem as the unique vi

February 17, 2023 · 2 min · thequant.space

Optimal management of DB pension fund under both underfunded and overfunded cases

This paper investigates the optimal management of an aggregated defined benefit pension plan in a stochastic environment. The interest rate follows the Ornstein-Uhlenbeck model, the benefits follow the geometric Brownian motion while the contribution rate is determined by the spread method of fund a

February 17, 2023 · 2 min · thequant.space

SPX, VIX and scale-invariant LSV\footnote{Local Stochastic Volatility}

Local Stochastic Volatility (LSV) models have been used for pricing and hedging derivatives positions for over twenty years. An enormous body of literature covers analytical and numerical techniques for calibrating the model to market data. However, the literature misses a potent approach commonly u

February 17, 2023 · 2 min · thequant.space

Tighter 'uniform bounds for Black-Scholes implied volatility' and the applications to root-finding

Using the option delta systematically, we derive tighter lower and upper bounds of the Black-Scholes implied volatility than those in Tehranchi [SIAM J. Financ. Math. 7 (2016), 893-916]. As an application, we propose a Newton-Raphson algorithm on the log price that converges rapidly for all price ra

February 17, 2023 · 2 min · thequant.space

A Comparison of Reinforcement Learning and Deep Trajectory Based Stochastic Control Agents for Stepwise Mean-Variance Hedging

We consider two data-driven approaches to hedging, Reinforcement Learning and Deep Trajectory-based Stochastic Optimal Control, under a stepwise mean-variance objective. We compare their performance for a European call option in the presence of transaction costs under discrete trading schedules. We

February 16, 2023 · 2 min · thequant.space

A Look at Financial Dependencies by Means of Econophysics and Financial Economics

This is a review about financial dependencies which merges efforts in econophysics and financial economics during the last few years. We focus on the most relevant contributions to the analysis of asset markets’ dependencies, especially correlational studies, which in our opinion are beneficial for

February 16, 2023 · 2 min · thequant.space

Deep Learning Enhanced Realized GARCH

We propose a new approach to volatility modeling by combining deep learning (LSTM) and realized volatility measures. This LSTM-enhanced realized GARCH framework incorporates and distills modeling advances from financial econometrics, high frequency trading data and deep learning. Bayesian inference

February 16, 2023 · 2 min · thequant.space

Forward Backward SDEs Systems for Utility Maximization in Jump Diffusion Models

We consider the classical problem of maximizing the expected utility of terminal net wealth with a final random liability in a simple jump-diffusion model. In the spirit of Horst et al. (2014) and Santacroce-Trivellato (2014), under suitable conditions the optimal strategy is expressed in implicit f

February 16, 2023 · 1 min · thequant.space

Information extraction and artwork pricing

Traditional art pricing models often lack fine measurements of painting content. This paper proposes a new content measurement: the Shannon information quantity measured by the singular value decomposition (SVD) entropy of the painting image. Using a large sample of artworks’ auction records and ima

February 16, 2023 · 2 min · thequant.space

Stochastic control problems with state-reflections arising from relaxed benchmark tracking

This paper studies stochastic control problems motivated by optimal consumption with wealth benchmark tracking. The benchmark process is modeled by a combination of a geometric Brownian motion and a running maximum process, indicating its increasing trend in the long run. We consider a relaxed track

February 16, 2023 · 2 min · thequant.space

A Comparative Predicting Stock Prices using Heston and Geometric Brownian Motion Models

This paper presents a novel approach to predicting stock prices using technical analysis. By utilizing Ito’s lemma and Euler-Maruyama methods, the researchers develop Heston and Geometric Brownian Motion models that take into account volatility, interest rate, and historical stock prices to generate

February 15, 2023 · 2 min · thequant.space

A study on Non-Performing Assets Cases and Cryptocurrency in Japan

The economic bubble bursting resulted in a large number of non-performing loans in Japanese financial institutions, which weakened their functions and prevented them from extending credit for normal economic activities. However, cryptocurrency operations are thriving in Japan. In this way, this pape

February 15, 2023 · 1 min · thequant.space

Decentralized Finance (DeFi)

Decentralized finance, powered by blockchain technology, is growing day by day. This field, which emerged a few years ago, today manages $70 billion in assets. In this study, the concept of decentralized finance is discussed and explained the differences from traditional finance. Then, compliance wi

February 15, 2023 · 2 min · thequant.space

Nonnegativity preserving convolution kernels. Application to Stochastic Volterra Equations in closed convex domains and their approximation

This work defines and studies one-dimensional convolution kernels that preserve nonnegativity. When the past dynamics of a process is integrated with a convolution kernel like in Stochastic Volterra Equations or in the jump intensity of Hawkes processes, this property allows to get the nonnegativity

February 15, 2023 · 2 min · thequant.space

On time-consistent equilibrium stopping under aggregation of diverse discount rates

This paper studies a central planner’s decision making on behalf of a group of members with diverse discount rates. In the context of optimal stopping, we work with an aggregation preference to incorporate all discount rates via an attitude function that reflects the aggregation rule chosen by the c

February 15, 2023 · 2 min · thequant.space

Regime-switching affine term structures

We consider an HJM model setting for Markov-chain modulated forward rates. The underlying Markov chain is assumed to induce regime switches on the forward curve dynamics. Our primary focus is on the interest rate and energy futures markets. After deriving HJM-drift conditions for the two markets, we

February 15, 2023 · 2 min · thequant.space

Analysis of optimal portfolio on finite and small-time horizons for a stochastic volatility model with multiple correlated assets

In this paper, we consider the portfolio optimization problem in a financial market where the underlying stochastic volatility model is driven by n-dimensional Brownian motions. At first, we derive a Hamilton-Jacobi-Bellman equation including the correlations among the standard Brownian motions. We

February 14, 2023 · 2 min · thequant.space

Control of Emerging-Market Target, Abnormal Stock Return: Evidence in Vietnam

Joining with the upward trend of Global Foreign direct investment and FDI in emerging economies and emerging Asian economies, FDI to Vietnam, especially M&As have increased significantly in both numbers and value of deals from 1995 to 2015…

February 14, 2023 · 1 min · thequant.space