We propose a new approach to portfolio optimization that utilizes a unique combination of synthetic data generation and a CVaR-constraint. We formulate the portfolio optimization problem as an asset allocation problem in which each asset class is accessed through a passive (index) fund. The asset-cl
This work analyzes data on all public US firms in the 50 year period 1970-2019, and presents 18 stylized facts of their scale, income, growth, return, investment, and dynamism. Special attention is given to (i) identifying distributional forms; and (ii) scale effects – systematic difference between
This article gives a probabilistic overview of the widely used method of default probability estimation proposed by K. Pluto and D. Tasche. There are listed detailed assumptions and derivation of the inequality where the probability of default is involved under the influence of systematic factor. Th
We describe a plausible probabilistic model for a blockchain queueing environment in which rational, profit-maximising schedulers impose adversarial disciplines on incoming messages containing a payload that encodes a state transition in a machine. The model can be specialised to apply to chains wit
Interest in ESG is at an all-time high. However, academic research on ESG is still relatively nascent, which often leads us to apply gut feel on the grounds tha
In this paper, we build on the analysis of Muni Toke and Yoshida (2020) and conduct several empirical studies using high-frequency financial data. Muni Toke and Yoshida (2020) showed the consistency and asymptotic behavior of the Cox-type model estimators for relative intensities of orders in the li
The debate between active and passive investment strategies has been ongoing for many years and is far from being over. In this paper, we show that the choice of an optimal portfolio management strategy depends on an investment climate, which we measure via the parameters of the Heston model calibra
NFT (Non-fungible Token) has drastically increased in its size, accounting for over $16.9B of total market capitalization. Despite the rapid growth of NFTs, this market has not been examined thoroughly from a financial perspective. In this paper, we conduct methodical analyses to identify NFT marke
We present a general framework for modelling the dynamics of limit order books, built on the combination of two modelling ingredients: the order flow, modelled as a general spatial point process, and market clearing, modelled via a deterministic mass transport operator acting on distributions of buy
This paper considers a Markovian model of a limit order book where time-dependent rates are allowed. With the objective of understanding the mechanisms through which a microscopic model of an orderbook can converge to more general diffusion than a Brownian motion with constant coefficient, a simple
We develop a method to decompose the PnL of a portfolio of assets into four parts: (a) PnL due to FX rate changes, (b) PnL due to interest rate changes, (c) carry gain due to time passing, (d) PnL due to residual market risk changes (credit risk, liquidity risk, volatility risk etc.). We demonstrate
Risk budgeting is a portfolio strategy where each asset contributes a prespecified amount to the aggregate risk of the portfolio. In this work, we propose an efficient numerical framework that uses only simulations of returns for estimating risk budgeting portfolios. Besides a general cutting planes
Signature stochastic differential equations (SDEs) constitute a large class of stochastic processes, here driven by Brownian motions, whose characteristics are linear maps of their own signature, i.e. of iterated integrals of the process with itself, and allow therefore for a generic path dependence
In this paper, we study the Euler–Maruyama scheme for a particle method to approximate the McKean–Vlasov dynamics of calibrated local-stochastic volatility (LSV) models. Given the open question of well-posedness of the original problem, we work with regularised coefficients and prove that under ce
This paper presents a data-driven interpretable machine learning algorithm for semi-static hedging of Exchange Traded options, considering transaction costs with efficient run-time. Further, we provide empirical evidence on the performance of hedging longer-term National Stock Exchange (NSE) Index o
In this paper, we build on using the class of f-divergence induced coherent risk measures for portfolio optimization and derive its necessary optimality conditions formulated in CAPM format. We derive a new f-Beta similar to the Standard Betas and also extended it to previous works in Drawdown Betas
Accurate short-term price forecasting is essential for daily operations in electricity markets. This article introduces a new method, called Smoothing Quantile Regression (SQR) Averaging, that improves upon well-performing probabilistic forecasting schemes. To demonstrate its utility, a comprehensiv
In this paper, I examine why some firms have zero leverage. I fail to find evidence that firms are unlevered because of managerial entrenchment since these firms do not have weaker corporate governance. I reject the hypothesis that firms become zero-leverage after prolonged periods of high market va
In financial markets, the market order sign exhibits strong persistence, widely known as the long-range correlation (LRC) of order flow; specifically, the sign correlation function displays long memory with power-law exponent $γ$, such that $C(τ) \propto τ^{-γ}$ for large time-lag $τ$. One of the mo
Local Volatility (LV) is a powerful tool for market modeling, enabling the generation of arbitrage-free scenarios calibrated to all European options. To implement LV, we need to interpolate and extrapolate option prices. This approach is significantly faster and more accurate than any parameterized