A delayed dual risk model

In this paper, we study a dual risk model with delays in the spirit of Dassios-Zhao. When a new innovation occurs, there is a delay before the innovation turns into a profit. We obtain large initial surplus asymptotics for the ruin probability and ruin time distributions. For some special cases, we

January 16, 2023 · 1 min · thequant.space

Sequential Graph Attention Learning for Predicting Dynamic Stock Trends (Student Abstract)

The stock market is characterized by a complex relationship between companies and the market. This study combines a sequential graph structure with attention mechanisms to learn global and local information within temporal time. Specifically, our proposed “GAT-AGNN” module compares model performance

January 15, 2023 · 1 min · thequant.space

Efficient Risk Estimation for the Credit Valuation Adjustment

The valuation of over-the-counter derivatives is subject to a series of valuation adjustments known as xVA, which pose additional risks for financial institutions. Associated risk measures, such as the value-at-risk of an underlying valuation adjustment, play an important role in managing these risk

January 14, 2023 · 2 min · thequant.space

PRUDEX-Compass: Towards Systematic Evaluation of Reinforcement Learning in Financial Markets

The financial markets, which involve more than $90 trillion market capitals, attract the attention of innumerable investors around the world. Recently, reinforcement learning in financial markets (FinRL) has emerged as a promising direction to train agents for making profitable investment decisions.

January 14, 2023 · 2 min · thequant.space

Acceptable Bilateral Gamma Parameters

The purpose of this paper is to utilize statistical methodologies to infer from market prices of assets and their derivatives the magnitude of the set of a measure M that defines acceptance sets of risky future cash flows. Specifically, we estimate upper and lower boundaries of the compensation need

January 13, 2023 · 2 min · thequant.space

ChatGPT: Unlocking the Future of NLP inFinance

This paper reviews the current state of ChatGPT technology in finance and its potential to improve existing NLP-based financial applications. We discuss the eth

January 13, 2023 · 1 min · thequant.space

Price impact in equity auctions: zero, then linear

Using high-quality data, we report several statistical regularities of equity auctions in the Paris stock exchange. First, the average order book density is linear around the auction price at the time of auction clearing and has a large peak at the auction price. While the peak is due to slow trader

January 13, 2023 · 2 min · thequant.space

European baskets in discrete-time continuous-binomial market models

We consider a discrete-time incomplete multi-asset market model with continuous price jumps. For a wide class of contingent claims, including European basket call options, we compute the bounds of the interval containing the no-arbitrage prices. We prove that the lower bound coincides, in fact, with

January 12, 2023 · 2 min · thequant.space

Non-linear correlation analysis in financial markets using hierarchical clustering

Distance correlation coefficient (DCC) can be used to identify new associations and correlations between multiple variables. The distance correlation coefficient applies to variables of any dimension, can be used to determine smaller sets of variables that provide equivalent information, is zero onl

January 12, 2023 · 1 min · thequant.space

Statistical Learning with Sublinear Regret of Propagator Models

We consider a class of learning problems in which an agent liquidates a risky asset while creating both transient price impact driven by an unknown convolution propagator and linear temporary price impact with an unknown parameter. We characterize the trader’s performance as maximization of a revenu

January 12, 2023 · 2 min · thequant.space

Utilizing Technical Data to Discover Similar Companies in Dhaka Stock Exchange

Stock market investment have been an ideal form of investment for many years. Investing capitals smartly in stock market yields high profit returns. But there are many companies available in a market. Currently there are more than $345$ active companies who have stocks in Dhaka Stock Exchange (DSE).

January 11, 2023 · 2 min · thequant.space

Elastic Cash

Elastic Cash is a new decentralized mechanism for regulating the money supply. The mechanism operates by modifying the supply so that an interest rate determined by a public market is kept approximately fixed. It can be incorporated into the conventional monetary system to improve the elasticity of

January 10, 2023 · 1 min · thequant.space

Optimal randomized multilevel Monte Carlo for repeatedly nested expectations

The estimation of repeatedly nested expectations is a challenging task that arises in many real-world systems. However, existing methods generally suffer from high computational costs when the number of nestings becomes large. Fix any non-negative integer $D$ for the total number of nestings. Standa

January 10, 2023 · 2 min · thequant.space

Diversification quotients based on VaR and ES

The diversification quotient (DQ) is recently introduced for quantifying the degree of diversification of a stochastic portfolio model. It has an axiomatic foundation and can be defined through a parametric class of risk measures. Since the Value-at-Risk (VaR) and the Expected Shortfall (ES) are the

January 9, 2023 · 2 min · thequant.space

Long-Term Returns Estimation of Leveraged Indexes and ETFs

Daily leveraged exchange traded funds amplify gains and losses of their underlying benchmark indexes on a daily basis. The result of going long in a daily leveraged ETF for more than one day is less clear. Here, bounds are given for the log-returns of a leveraged ETF when going long for more than ju

January 9, 2023 · 2 min · thequant.space

Minimum Cost Super-Hedging in a Discrete Time Incomplete Multi-Asset Binomial Market

We consider a multi-asset incomplete model of the financial market, where each of $m\geq 2$ risky assets follows the binomial dynamics, and no assumptions are made on the joint distribution of the risky asset price processes. We provide explicit formulas for the minimum cost super-hedging strategies

January 7, 2023 · 2 min · thequant.space

On Frequency-Based Optimal Portfolio with Transaction Costs

The aim of this paper is to investigate the impact of rebalancing frequency and transaction costs on the log-optimal portfolio, which is a portfolio that maximizes the expected logarithmic growth rate of an investor’s wealth. We prove that the frequency-dependent log-optimal portfolio problem with c

January 7, 2023 · 2 min · thequant.space

Option pricing under the normal SABR model with Gaussian quadratures

The stochastic-alpha-beta-rho (SABR) model has been widely adopted in options trading. In particular, the normal ($β=0$) SABR model is a popular model choice for interest rates because it allows negative asset values. The option price and delta under the SABR model are typically obtained via asympto

January 7, 2023 · 2 min · thequant.space

Simulation schemes for the Heston model with Poisson conditioning

Exact simulation schemes under the Heston stochastic volatility model (e.g., Broadie-Kaya and Glasserman-Kim) suffer from computationally expensive modified Bessel function evaluations. We propose a new exact simulation scheme without the modified Bessel function, based on the observation that the c

January 7, 2023 · 2 min · thequant.space

Isotonic Recalibration under a Low Signal-to-Noise Ratio

Insurance pricing systems should fulfill the auto-calibration property to ensure that there is no systematic cross-financing between different price cohorts. Often, regression models are not auto-calibrated. We propose to apply isotonic recalibration to a given regression model to ensure auto-calibr

January 6, 2023 · 1 min · thequant.space