Fundamental theorem for quantum asset pricing

Quantum computers have the potential to provide an advantage for financial pricing problems by the use of quantum estimation. In a broader context, it is reasonable to ask about situations where the market and the assets traded on the market themselves have quantum properties. In this work, we consi

December 28, 2022 · 2 min · thequant.space

Robustifying Markowitz

Markowitz mean-variance portfolios with sample mean and covariance as input parameters feature numerous issues in practice. They perform poorly out of sample due to estimation error, they experience extreme weights together with high sensitivity to change in input parameters. The heavy-tail characte

December 28, 2022 · 2 min · thequant.space

The limitations of comonotonic additive risk measures: a literature review

Risk measures satisfying the axiom of comonotonic additivity are extensively studied, arguably because of the plethora of results indicating interesting aspects of such risk measures. Recent research, however, has shown that this axiom is incompatible with central properties in specific contexts. In

December 28, 2022 · 1 min · thequant.space

Functional Expansions

Path dependence is omnipresent in many disciplines such as engineering, system theory and finance. It reflects the influence of the past on the future, often expressed through functionals. However, non-Markovian problems are often infinite-dimensional, thus challenging from a conceptual and computat

December 27, 2022 · 2 min · thequant.space

An Axiomatic Viewpoint on the Rogers--Veraart and Suzuki--Elsinger Models of Systemic Risk

We study a model of clearing in an interbank network with crossholdings and default charges. Following the Eisenberg–Noe approach, we define the model via a set of natural financial regulations including those related with eventual default charges and derive a finite family of fixpoint problems. Th

December 26, 2022 · 2 min · thequant.space

Vulnerable European and American Options in a Market Model with Optional Hazard Process

We study the upper and lower bounds for prices of European and American style options with the possibility of an external termination, meaning that the contract may be terminated at some random time. Under the assumption that the underlying market model is incomplete and frictionless, we obtain dual

December 25, 2022 · 2 min · thequant.space

Well-posedness and penalization schemes for generalized BSDEs and reflected generalized BSDEs

The paper is directly motivated by the pricing of vulnerable European and American options in a general hazard process setup and a related study of the corresponding pre-default backward stochastic differential equations (BSDE) and pre-default reflected backward stochastic differential equations (RB

December 25, 2022 · 2 min · thequant.space

Deep Quadratic Hedging

We propose a novel computational procedure for quadratic hedging in high-dimensional incomplete markets, covering mean-variance hedging and local risk minimization. Starting from the observation that both quadratic approaches can be treated from the point of view of backward stochastic differential

December 24, 2022 · 2 min · thequant.space

Measuring price impact and information content of trades in a time-varying setting

We propose a non-linear observation-driven version of the Hasbrouck (1991) model for dynamically estimating trades’ market impact and information content. We find that market impact displays an intraday pattern superimposed with large fluctuations. Some of them are exogenous, and, as an example, we

December 24, 2022 · 2 min · thequant.space

Multi-step-ahead Stock Price Prediction Using Recurrent Fuzzy Neural Network and Variational Mode Decomposition

Financial time series prediction, a growing research topic, has attracted considerable interest from scholars, and several approaches have been developed. Among them, decomposition-based methods have achieved promising results. Most decomposition-based methods approximate a single function, which is

December 24, 2022 · 2 min · thequant.space

Stock Market Prediction via Deep Learning Techniques: A Survey

Existing surveys on stock market prediction often focus on traditional machine learning methods instead of deep learning methods. This motivates us to provide a structured and comprehensive overview of the research on stock market prediction. We present four elaborated subtasks of stock market predi

December 24, 2022 · 2 min · thequant.space

CDO calibration via Magnus Expansion and Deep Learning

In this paper, we improve the performance of the large basket approximation developed by Reisinger et al. to calibrate Collateralized Debt Obligations (CDO) to iTraxx market data. The iTraxx tranches and index are computed using a basket of size $K= 125$. In the context of the large basket approxima

December 23, 2022 · 2 min · thequant.space

Cross-Domain Shopping and Stock Trend Analysis

This paper presents a cross-domain trend analysis that aims to identify and analyze the relationships between stock prices, stock news on Twitter, and users’ behaviors on e-commerce websites. The analysis is based on three datasets: a US stock dataset, a stock tweets dataset, and an e-commerce behav

December 23, 2022 · 2 min · thequant.space

Benchmarking Machine Learning Models to Predict Corporate Bankruptcy

Using a comprehensive sample of 2,585 bankruptcies from 1990 to 2019, we benchmark the performance of various machine learning models in predicting financial distress of publicly traded U.S. firms. We find that gradient boosted trees outperform other models in one-year-ahead forecasts. Variable perm

December 22, 2022 · 2 min · thequant.space

Convergence of particles and tree based scheme for singular FBSDEs

We study an implementation of the theoretical splitting scheme introduced in [Chassagneux and Yang, 2022] for singular FBSDEs [Carmona and Delarue 2013] and their associated quasi-linear degenerate PDEs. The fully implementable algorithm is based on particles approximation of the transport operator

December 22, 2022 · 2 min · thequant.space

Efficient Sampling for Realized Variance Estimation in Time-Changed Diffusion Models

This paper analyzes the benefits of sampling intraday returns in intrinsic time for the realized variance (RV) estimator. We theoretically show in finite samples that depending on the permitted sampling information, the RV estimator is most efficient under either hitting time sampling that samples w

December 22, 2022 · 2 min · thequant.space

Langevin algorithms for Markovian Neural Networks and Deep Stochastic control

Stochastic Gradient Descent Langevin Dynamics (SGLD) algorithms, which add noise to the classic gradient descent, are known to improve the training of neural networks in some cases where the neural network is very deep. In this paper we study the possibilities of training acceleration for the numeri

December 22, 2022 · 2 min · thequant.space

Mean-field neural networks-based algorithms for McKean-Vlasov control problems *

This paper is devoted to the numerical resolution of McKean-Vlasov control problems via the class of mean-field neural networks introduced in our companion paper [25] in order to learn the solution on the Wasserstein space. We propose several algorithms either based on dynamic programming with contr

December 22, 2022 · 2 min · thequant.space

Reduced-order autoregressive dynamics of a complex financial system: a PCA-based approach

This study analyzes the dynamic interactions among the NASDAQ index, crude oil, gold, and the US dollar using a reduced-order modeling approach. Time-delay embedding and principal component analysis are employed to encode high-dimensional financial dynamics, followed by linear regression in the redu

December 22, 2022 · 2 min · thequant.space

Risk Sharing with Deep Neural Networks

We consider the problem of optimally sharing a financial position among agents with potentially different reference risk measures. The problem is equivalent to computing the infimal convolution of the risk metrics and finding the so-called optimal allocations. We propose a neural network-based frame

December 22, 2022 · 2 min · thequant.space