Variable Clustering via Distributionally Robust Nodewise Regression

We study a multi-factor block model for variable clustering and connect it to the regularized subspace clustering by formulating a distributionally robust version of the nodewise regression. To solve the latter problem, we derive a convex relaxation, provide guidance on selecting the size of the rob

December 15, 2022 · 2 min · thequant.space

AI Ethics on Blockchain: Topic Analysis on Twitter Data for Blockchain Security

Blockchain has empowered computer systems to be more secure using a distributed network. However, the current blockchain design suffers from fairness issues in transaction ordering. Miners are able to reorder transactions to generate profits, the so-called miner extractable value (MEV). Existing res

December 14, 2022 · 2 min · thequant.space

Naive Markowitz Policies

We study a continuous-time Markowitz mean-variance portfolio selection model in which a naive agent, unaware of the underlying time-inconsistency, continuously reoptimizes over time. We define the resulting naive policies through the limit of discretely naive policies that are committed only in very

December 14, 2022 · 2 min · thequant.space

Fundamentals of Perpetual Futures

Perpetual futures are the most popular cryptocurrency derivatives. Perpetuals offer leveraged exposure to their underlying without rollover or direct ownership. Unlike fixed-maturity futures, perpetuals are not guaranteed to converge to the spot price. To minimize the gap between perpetual and spot

December 13, 2022 · 2 min · thequant.space

Multi-Agent Dynamic Pricing in a Blockchain Protocol Using Gaussian Bandits

The Graph Protocol indexes historical blockchain transaction data and makes it available for querying. As the protocol is decentralized, there are many independent Indexers that index and compete with each other for serving queries to the Consumers. One dimension along which Indexers compete is pric

December 13, 2022 · 2 min · thequant.space

Profit and loss decomposition in continuous time and approximations

Financial institutions and insurance companies that analyze the evolution and sources of profits and losses often look at risk factors only at discrete reporting dates, ignoring the detailed paths. Continuous-time decompositions avoid this weakness and also make decompositions consistent across diff

December 13, 2022 · 2 min · thequant.space

Quant 4.0: Engineering Quantitative Investment with Automated, Explainable and Knowledge-driven Artificial Intelligence

Quantitative investment (``quant’’) is an interdisciplinary field combining financial engineering, computer science, mathematics, statistics, etc. Quant has become one of the mainstream investment methodologies over the past decades, and has experienced three generations: Quant 1.0, trading by mathe

December 13, 2022 · 2 min · thequant.space

Decentralized lending and its users: Insights from Compound

Permissionless blockchains offer an information environment where users can interact privately without fear of censorship. Financial services can be programmatically coded via smart contracts to automate transactions without the need for human intervention or knowing user identity. This new paradigm

December 12, 2022 · 2 min · thequant.space

Saddle-Point Approach to Large-Time Volatility Smile

We extend upon the saddle-point equation presented in [1] to derive large-time model-implied volatility smiles, providing its theoretical foundation and studying its applications in classical models. As long as characteristic function fulfills a Lévy-type scaling behavior in large time, the approach

December 12, 2022 · 1 min · thequant.space

Blockchain Network Analysis: A Comparative Study of Decentralized Banks

Decentralized finance (DeFi) is known for its unique mechanism design, which applies smart contracts to facilitate peer-to-peer transactions. The decentralized bank is a typical DeFi application. Ideally, a decentralized bank should be decentralized in the transaction. However, many recent studies h

December 11, 2022 · 2 min · thequant.space

Hierarchical Deep Reinforcement Learning for VWAP Strategy Optimization

Designing an intelligent volume-weighted average price (VWAP) strategy is a critical concern for brokers, since traditional rule-based strategies are relatively static that cannot achieve a lower transaction cost in a dynamic market. Many studies have tried to minimize the cost via reinforcement lea

December 11, 2022 · 2 min · thequant.space

Estimation and Application of the Convergence Bounds for Nonlinear Markov Chains

Nonlinear Markov Chains (nMC) are regarded as the original (linear) Markov Chains with nonlinear small perturbations. It fits real-world data better, but its associated properties are difficult to describe. A new approach is proposed to analyze the ergodicity and even estimate the convergence bounds

December 10, 2022 · 2 min · thequant.space

On a Merton Problem with Irreversible Healthcare Investment

We propose a tractable dynamic framework for the joint determination of optimal consumption, portfolio choice, and healthcare irreversible investment. Our model is based on a Merton’s portfolio and consumption problem, where, in addition, the agent can choose the time at which undertaking a costly l

December 10, 2022 · 2 min · thequant.space

Optimal Systemic Risk Bailout: A PGO Approach Based on Neural Network

In the financial system, bailout strategies play a pivotal role in mitigating substantial losses resulting from systemic risk. However, the lack of a closed-form objective function to the optimal bailout problem poses significant challenges in its resolution. This paper conceptualizes the optimal ba

December 10, 2022 · 2 min · thequant.space

Time Series Analysis in American Stock Market Recovering in Post COVID-19 Pandemic Period

Every financial crisis has caused a dual shock to the global economy. The shortage of market liquidity, such as default in debt and bonds, has led to the spread of bankruptcies, such as Lehman Brothers in 2008. Using the data for the ETFs of the S&P 500, Nasdaq 100, and Dow Jones Industrial Average

December 10, 2022 · 2 min · thequant.space

Achieving a Given Financial Goal with Optimal Deferred Term Insurance Purchasing Policy

This paper researches the problem of purchasing deferred term insurance in the context of financial planning to maximize the probability of achieving a personal financial goal. Specifically, our study starts from the perspective of hedging death risk and longevity risk, and considers the purchase of

December 9, 2022 · 2 min · thequant.space

Arbitrage theory in a market of stochastic dimension

This paper studies an equity market of stochastic dimension, where the number of assets fluctuates over time. In such a market, we develop the fundamental theorem of asset pricing, which provides the equivalence of the following statements: (i) there exists a supermartingale numéraire portfolio; (ii

December 9, 2022 · 2 min · thequant.space

Graph theoretical models and algorithms of portfolio compression

In portfolio compression, market participants (banks, organizations, companies, financial agents) sign contracts, creating liabilities between each other, which increases the systemic risk. Large, dense markets commonly can be compressed by reducing obligations without lowering the net notional of e

December 9, 2022 · 2 min · thequant.space

On evaluation of joint risk for non-negative multivariate risks under dependence uncertainty

In this paper, we propose a novel axiomatic approach to evaluating the joint risk of multiple insurance risks under dependence uncertainty. Motivated by both the theory of expected utility and the Cobb-Dauglas utility function, we establish a joint risk measure for non-negative multivariate risks, w

December 9, 2022 · 2 min · thequant.space

Robust asymptotic insurance-finance arbitrage

In most cases, insurance contracts are linked to the financial markets, such as through interest rates or equity-linked insurance products. To motivate an evaluation rule in these hybrid markets, Artzner et al. (2022) introduced the notion of insurance-finance arbitrage. In this paper we extend thei

December 9, 2022 · 2 min · thequant.space