Goal-based portfolio selection with fixed transaction costs

We study a goal-based portfolio selection problem in which an investor aims to meet multiple financial goals, each with a specific deadline and target amount. Trading the stock incurs a strictly positive transaction cost. Using the stochastic Perron’s method, we show that the value function is the u

October 24, 2025 · 2 min · thequant.space

Hierarchical AI Multi-Agent Fundamental Investing: Evidence from China's A-Share Market

We present a multi-agent, AI-driven framework for fundamental investing that integrates macro indicators, industry-level and firm-specific information to construct optimized equity portfolios. The architecture comprises: (i) a Macro agent that dynamically screens and weights sectors based on evolvin

October 24, 2025 · 2 min · thequant.space

Jump risk premia in the presence of clustered jumps

This paper presents an option pricing model that incorporates clustered jumps using a bivariate Hawkes process. The process captures both self- and cross-excitation of positive and negative jumps, enabling the model to generate return dynamics with asymmetric, time-varying skewness and to produce po

October 24, 2025 · 2 min · thequant.space

Personalized Chain-of-Thought Summarization of Financial News for Investor Decision Support

Financial advisors and investors struggle with information overload from financial news, where irrelevant content and noise obscure key market signals and hinder timely investment decisions. To address this, we propose a novel Chain-of-Thought (CoT) summarization framework that condenses financial n

October 24, 2025 · 2 min · thequant.space

Portfolio selection with exogenous and endogenous transaction costs under a two-factor stochastic volatility model

In this paper, we investigate a portfolio selection problem with transaction costs under a two-factor stochastic volatility structure, where volatility follows a mean-reverting process with a stochastic mean-reversion level. The model incorporates both proportional exogenous transaction costs and en

October 24, 2025 · 2 min · thequant.space

Robust Yield Curve Estimation for Mortgage Bonds Using Neural Networks

Robust yield curve estimation is crucial in fixed-income markets for accurate instrument pricing, effective risk management, and informed trading strategies. Traditional approaches, including the bootstrapping method and parametric Nelson-Siegel models, often struggle with overfitting or instability

October 24, 2025 · 2 min · thequant.space

The local Gaussian correlation networks among return tails in the Chinese stock market

Financial networks based on Pearson correlations have been intensively studied. However, previous studies may have led to misleading and catastrophic results because of several critical shortcomings of the Pearson correlation. The local Gaussian correlation coefficient, a new measurement of statisti

October 24, 2025 · 2 min · thequant.space

Branched Signature Model

In this paper, we introduce the branched signature model, motivated by the branched rough path framework of [“Gubinelli, Journal of Differential Equations, 248(4), 2010”], which generalizes the classical geometric rough path. We establish a universal approximation theorem for the branched signature

October 23, 2025 · 2 min · thequant.space

Consumption-Investment Problem in Rank-Based Models

We study a consumption-investment problem in a multi-asset market where the returns follow a generic rank-based model. Our main result derives an HJB equation with Neumann boundary conditions for the value function and proves a corresponding verification theorem. The control problem is nonstandard d

October 23, 2025 · 2 min · thequant.space

FinCARE: Financial Causal Analysis with Reasoning and Evidence

Portfolio managers rely on correlation-based analysis and heuristic methods that fail to capture true causal relationships driving performance. We present a hybrid framework that integrates statistical causal discovery algorithms with domain knowledge from two complementary sources: a financial know

October 23, 2025 · 2 min · thequant.space

Fusing Narrative Semantics for Financial Volatility Forecasting

We introduce M2VN: Multi-Modal Volatility Network, a novel deep learning-based framework for financial volatility forecasting that unifies time series features with unstructured news data. M2VN leverages the representational power of deep neural networks to address two key challenges in this domain:

October 23, 2025 · 2 min · thequant.space

Market-Implied Sustainability: Insights from Funds' Portfolio Holdings

In this work, we aim to develop a market-implied sustainability score for companies, based on the extent to which a stock is over- or under-represented in sustainable funds compared to traditional ones. To identify sustainable funds, we rely on the Sustainable Finance Disclosure Regulation (SFDR), a

October 23, 2025 · 2 min · thequant.space

Aligning Multilingual News for Stock Return Prediction

News spreads rapidly across languages and regions, but translations may lose subtle nuances. We propose a method to align sentences in multilingual news articles using optimal transport, identifying semantically similar content across languages. We apply this method to align more than 140,000 pairs

October 22, 2025 · 2 min · thequant.space

An Empirical study on Mutual fund factor-risk-shifting and its intensity on Indian Equity Mutual funds

Investment style groups investment approaches to predict portfolio return variations. This study examines the relationship between investment style, style consistency, and risk-adjusted returns of Indian equity mutual funds. The methodology involves estimating size and style beta coefficients, ident

October 22, 2025 · 2 min · thequant.space

Compensation-based risk-sharing

This paper studies the mathematical problem of allocating payouts (compensations) in an endowment contingency fund using a risk-sharing rule that satisfies full allocation. Besides the participants, an administrator manages the fund by collecting ex-ante contributions to establish the fund and distr

October 22, 2025 · 2 min · thequant.space

Multivariate Variance Swap Using Generalized Variance Method for Stochastic Volatility models

This paper develops a novel framework for modeling the variance swap of multi-asset portfolios by employing the generalized variance approach, which utilizes the determinant of the covariance matrix of the underlying assets. By specifying the distribution of the log returns of the underlying assets

October 22, 2025 · 2 min · thequant.space

News-Aware Direct Reinforcement Trading for Financial Markets

The financial market is known to be highly sensitive to news. Therefore, effectively incorporating news data into quantitative trading remains an important challenge. Existing approaches typically rely on manually designed rules and/or handcrafted features. In this work, we directly use the news sen

October 22, 2025 · 2 min · thequant.space

Overprocurement of balancing capacity may increase the welfare in the cross-zonal energy-reserve coallocation problem

When the traded energy and reserve products between zones are co-allocated to optimize the infrastructure usage, both deterministic and stochastic flows have to be accounted for on interconnector lines. We focus on allocation models, which guarantee deliverability in the context of the portfolio bid

October 22, 2025 · 2 min · thequant.space

Quantum Machine Learning methods for Fourier-based distribution estimation with application in option pricing

The ongoing progress in quantum technologies has fueled a sustained exploration of their potential applications across various domains. One particularly promising field is quantitative finance, where a central challenge is the pricing of financial derivatives-traditionally addressed through Monte Ca

October 22, 2025 · 2 min · thequant.space

Simultaneously Solving Infinitely Many LQ Mean Field Games In Hilbert Spaces: The Power of Neural Operators

Traditional mean-field game (MFG) solvers operate on an instance-by-instance basis, which becomes infeasible when many related problems must be solved (e.g., for seeking a robust description of the solution under perturbations of the dynamics or utilities, or in settings involving continuum-paramete

October 22, 2025 · 2 min · thequant.space