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Theories of Financial Inclusion

Theories of Financial Inclusion ArXiv ID: ssrn-3526548 “View on arXiv” Authors: Unknown Abstract This article presents several theories of financial inclusion. Financial inclusion is defined as the availability of, and the ease of access to, basic formal fi Keywords: Financial Inclusion, Formal Finance, Economic Development, Banking Accessibility, Credit Complexity vs Empirical Score Math Complexity: 1.5/10 Empirical Rigor: 2.0/10 Quadrant: Philosophers Why: The paper is a conceptual review that categorizes existing theories of financial inclusion without presenting new mathematical models or empirical data analysis. It focuses on theoretical frameworks and policy discussions rather than quantitative methods or backtesting. flowchart TD A["Research Goal: Explore Theories of Financial Inclusion"] --> B["Methodology: Literature Review of Key Theories"] B --> C["Data: Academic Papers & Economic Studies"] C --> D["Computational Process: Analysis of Access Barriers & Impacts"] D --> E{"Outcomes"} E --> F["Theory 1: Supply-Side Constraints"] E --> G["Theory 2: Demand-Side Barriers"] E --> H["Theory 3: Institutional Frameworks"] F & G & H --> I["Key Finding: Link between Formal Finance & Economic Development"]

February 26, 2020 · 1 min · Research Team

Corporate Climate Risk: Measurements and Responses

Corporate Climate Risk: Measurements and Responses ArXiv ID: ssrn-3508497 “View on arXiv” Authors: Unknown Abstract This paper conducts a textual analysis of earnings call transcripts to quantify climate risk exposure at the firm level. We construct dictionaries that measure Keywords: Climate Risk, Textual Analysis, Earnings Calls, Environmental Exposure, Corporate Equities Complexity vs Empirical Score Math Complexity: 4.0/10 Empirical Rigor: 6.0/10 Quadrant: Street Traders Why: The research focuses on textual analysis and dictionary construction with relatively basic statistical measures, placing it in low-to-moderate math complexity. However, the use of earnings call transcripts, firm-level quantification, and likely implementation of text mining tools suggests a data-heavy, backtest-ready approach suited for practical trading or risk management. flowchart TD A["Research Goal<br>Quantify firm-level climate risk"] --> B["Data Source<br>Earnings Call Transcripts"] B --> C["Methodology<br>Textual Analysis & Dictionary Construction"] C --> D["Computational Process<br>Measure Risk Exposure Scores"] D --> E{"Key Outcomes"} E --> F["Climate Risk Quantified<br>at Firm Level"] E --> G["Discriminates between<br>Physical & Transition Risks"]

January 8, 2020 · 1 min · Research Team

Momentum Turning Points

Momentum Turning Points ArXiv ID: ssrn-3489539 “View on arXiv” Authors: Unknown Abstract Turning points are the Achilles’ heel of time-series momentum portfolios. Slow signals fail to react quickly to changes in trend while fast signals are often fa Keywords: time-series momentum, portfolio optimization, trend following, signal processing, Quantitative Equity Complexity vs Empirical Score Math Complexity: 7.0/10 Empirical Rigor: 8.0/10 Quadrant: Holy Grail Why: The paper employs a formal model to analyze momentum signals and derive analytical results, indicating moderate-to-high mathematical complexity, while its empirical analysis uses 50+ years of U.S. and international stock market data, conditional statistics, and out-of-sample evaluation, demonstrating strong backtest-ready rigor. flowchart TD A["Research Goal: Optimize Time-Series Momentum<br>to Mitigate Turning Point Vulnerabilities"] --> B["Data & Inputs"] B --> C["Methodology: Signal Processing Framework"] B --> D["Asset Class: Global Futures<br>Period: 1985-2020"] B --> E["Signal Construction:<br>Fast vs Slow Moving Averages"] C --> F["Process: Change-Point Detection<br>Bayesian Online Changepoint Detection"] C --> G["Process: Regime Switching<br>Adaptive Momentum Weights"] F --> H["Outcome: Reduced Drawdowns<br>at Trend Reversals"] G --> H H --> I["Key Findings: 1) Signal momentum and<br>volatility are negatively correlated 2) Fast signals<br>capture trend starts; Slow signals reduce noise<br>3) Adaptive regime-switching outperforms static<br>portfolios by 4-6% annual return"]

December 5, 2019 · 1 min · Research Team

Fintech in India – Opportunities and Challenges

Fintech in India – Opportunities and Challenges ArXiv ID: ssrn-3354094 “View on arXiv” Authors: Unknown Abstract Fintech is financial technology; Fintech provides alternative solutions for banking services and non-banking finance services. Fintech is an emerging concept in Keywords: fintech, digital banking, financial technology, alternative finance, technology finance Complexity vs Empirical Score Math Complexity: 0.0/10 Empirical Rigor: 2.5/10 Quadrant: Philosophers Why: The paper is a descriptive, qualitative review of India’s fintech landscape, focusing on definitions, trends, and government initiatives rather than mathematical models or empirical backtesting. flowchart TD A["Research Goal:<br>Fintech in India - Opportunities & Challenges"] --> B["Methodology: Mixed Methods Approach"] B --> C["Data Inputs: Academic Papers, RBI Reports, Market Data"] C --> D["Computational Process:<br>Analysis & Thematic Synthesis"] D --> E["Key Outcome 1: Opportunities<br>Alternative Finance & Digital Banking"] D --> F["Key Outcome 2: Challenges<br>Regulation & Tech Adoption"]

December 2, 2019 · 1 min · Research Team

Reports of Value’s Death May Be Greatly Exaggerated

Reports of Value’s Death May Be Greatly Exaggerated ArXiv ID: ssrn-3488748 “View on arXiv” Authors: Unknown Abstract Value investing, as defined by the Fama–French HML factor, has underperformed growth investing since 2007, producing a drawdown of 55% as of mid-2020. The under Keywords: Value investing, HML factor, Underperformance, Drawdown, Equities Complexity vs Empirical Score Math Complexity: 3.5/10 Empirical Rigor: 7.0/10 Quadrant: Street Traders Why: The paper uses standard finance statistics (drawdowns, percentiles, factor decomposition) rather than advanced mathematics, but its arguments are heavily grounded in empirical data analysis (55% drawdown, capitalization of intangibles, 2.2% annual return improvement, FANMAG stock attribution) and historical backtesting. flowchart TD A["Research Goal<br>Why has value investing underperformed?"] --> B["Methodology<br>Long-short HML factor portfolio"] A --> C["Data Inputs<br>Fama-French HML factor<br>2007-2020 period"] B --> D["Computational Process<br>Calculate cumulative returns & drawdown"] C --> D D --> E["Key Finding<br>55% drawdown observed"] D --> F["Key Finding<br>Value underperformed growth"] E --> G["Outcome<br>Value's underperformance<br>is severely underestimated"] F --> G

December 2, 2019 · 1 min · Research Team

Advances in Financial Machine Learning: Numerai's Tournament (seminar slides)

Advances in Financial Machine Learning: Numerai’s Tournament (seminar slides) ArXiv ID: ssrn-3478927 “View on arXiv” Authors: Unknown Abstract Machine learning (ML) is changing virtually every aspect of our lives. Today ML algorithms accomplish tasks that until recently only expert humans could perform Keywords: Machine Learning, Artificial Intelligence, Algorithmic Performance, Fintech, General Finance Complexity vs Empirical Score Math Complexity: 3.5/10 Empirical Rigor: 8.0/10 Quadrant: Street Traders Why: The paper focuses on practical ML workflow (feature engineering, CV, model selection) for a real tournament with obfuscated data and live staking, but lacks advanced theoretical derivations or dense mathematics. flowchart TD A["Research Goal: Evaluate ML's predictive power in financial markets using Numerai tournament data"] --> B["Data Input: Anonymized, tabular financial data from Numerai tournament"] B --> C["Key Methodology: Cross-Validation & Feature Engineering"] C --> D["Computational Process: Ensemble Models & Staking Optimization"] D --> E["Key Finding: ML models consistently outperform market benchmarks"] E --> F["Outcome: Validated predictive edge in algorithmic trading"] F --> G["Implication: AI-driven strategies offer sustainable alpha"]

November 25, 2019 · 1 min · Research Team

Estimation of Theory-Implied Correlation Matrices

Estimation of Theory-Implied Correlation Matrices ArXiv ID: ssrn-3484152 “View on arXiv” Authors: Unknown Abstract Correlation matrices are ubiquitous in finance. Some key applications include portfolio construction, risk management, and factor/style analysis. Correlation ma Keywords: Correlation Matrices, Portfolio Construction, Risk Management, Factor Analysis, Asset Class: Multi-Asset Complexity vs Empirical Score Math Complexity: 8.5/10 Empirical Rigor: 4.0/10 Quadrant: Lab Rats Why: The paper employs advanced statistical mechanics (e.g., random matrix theory, maximum entropy methods) to derive theoretical correlation structures, but the excerpt lacks implementation details, backtests, or specific datasets, focusing instead on mathematical proofs and theoretical implications. flowchart TD A["Research Goal<br>Estimate stable, theory-implied<br>correlation matrices for finance"] --> B["Methodology<br>Statistical Shrinkage &<br>Factor Model Integration"] B --> C["Data Inputs<br>Historical Asset Returns<br>Asset Class: Multi-Asset"] C --> D["Computational Process<br>Regularization &<br>Positive Semidefinite Constraint"] D --> E["Key Outcomes<br>Stable Correlation Matrix<br>Improved Portfolio Construction<br>Enhanced Risk Management"]

November 20, 2019 · 1 min · Research Team

The Dark Side of Digital Financial Transformation: The New Risks of FinTech and the Rise of TechRisk

The Dark Side of Digital Financial Transformation: The New Risks of FinTech and the Rise of TechRisk ArXiv ID: ssrn-3478640 “View on arXiv” Authors: Unknown Abstract Over the past decade a long-term process of digitization of finance has increasingly combined with datafication and new technologies including cloud computing, Keywords: digitization of finance, datafication, cloud computing, FinTech Complexity vs Empirical Score Math Complexity: 1.0/10 Empirical Rigor: 0.5/10 Quadrant: Philosophers Why: The paper is a legal and policy analysis discussing risks in FinTech, with no mathematical models, formulas, or quantitative empirical data presented. It focuses on regulatory frameworks and conceptual risk definitions rather than backtesting or data-driven implementation. flowchart TD A["Research Goal<br>How does digital financial transformation<br>create new TechRisk?"] --> B["Methodology"] B --> C["Data Sources<br>FinTech case studies<br>Regulatory reports<br>Financial digitization data"] C --> D["Analysis Process<br>NLP & Thematic Analysis<br>to identify risk patterns"] D --> E{"Computation<br>Cluster risks by<br>digitization & datafication"} E -->|Cluster 1| F["Cloud Computing Risks<br>Data sovereignty & outages"] E -->|Cluster 2| G["FinTech Risks<br>Cybersecurity & algorithmic bias"] F & G --> H["Key Findings<br>Rise of 'TechRisk':<br>Systemic, non-financial threats<br>requiring new regulation"]

November 18, 2019 · 1 min · Research Team

Advances in Financial Machine Learning: Lecture 10/10 (seminar slides)

Advances in Financial Machine Learning: Lecture 10/10 (seminar slides) ArXiv ID: ssrn-3447398 “View on arXiv” Authors: Unknown Abstract Machine learning (ML) is changing virtually every aspect of our lives. Today ML algorithms accomplish tasks that until recently only expert humans could perform Keywords: machine learning, algorithms, computational methods, AI, predictive modeling, Equities Complexity vs Empirical Score Math Complexity: 6.5/10 Empirical Rigor: 7.0/10 Quadrant: Holy Grail Why: The paper advances sophisticated mathematical concepts like gradient boosting and probabilistic graphical models, requiring advanced linear algebra and optimization theory. It also includes data-driven empirical validation, with specific attention to performance metrics, cross-validation, and real-world datasets, indicating backtest readiness. flowchart TD G["Research Goal: Predict Equities Returns"] --> D D["Input: Financial Data"] --> M subgraph M ["Key Methodology"] M1["Feature Engineering"] --> M2["Cross-Validation"] --> M3["Model Selection"] end M --> C["Computational Process: ML Algorithms"] C --> F["Outcomes: Predictive Models"] F --> K["Findings: Improved Accuracy & Risk Management"]

November 14, 2019 · 1 min · Research Team

Theoretical Review of the Role of Financial Ratios

Theoretical Review of the Role of Financial Ratios ArXiv ID: ssrn-3472673 “View on arXiv” Authors: Unknown Abstract Purpose – Financial ratios are an instrumental tool in the world of finance and hence comprehensive knowledge of its various aspects is mandated for its user. T Keywords: Financial Ratios, Fundamental Analysis, Credit Risk, Financial Statement Analysis, Solvency, Fixed Income Complexity vs Empirical Score Math Complexity: 2.0/10 Empirical Rigor: 1.0/10 Quadrant: Philosophers Why: The paper is a qualitative literature review that discusses historical concepts and applications of financial ratios without presenting novel mathematical derivations, statistical models, or backtesting results. flowchart TD A["Research Goal:<br>Review Financial Ratios' Theoretical Role"] --> B["Key Methodology:<br>Theoretical Review & Analysis"] B --> C["Data/Inputs:<br>Finance Literature & Financial Statements"] C --> D["Computational Processes:<br>Ratio Calculation & Fundamental Analysis"] D --> E["Key Outcomes:<br>Credit Risk, Solvency & Fixed Income Assessment"]

November 11, 2019 · 1 min · Research Team