false

ARL-Based Multi-Action Market Making with Hawkes Processes and Variable Volatility

ARL-Based Multi-Action Market Making with Hawkes Processes and Variable Volatility ArXiv ID: 2508.16589 “View on arXiv” Authors: Ziyi Wang, Carmine Ventre, Maria Polukarov Abstract We advance market-making strategies by integrating Adversarial Reinforcement Learning (ARL), Hawkes Processes, and variable volatility levels while also expanding the action space available to market makers (MMs). To enhance the adaptability and robustness of these strategies – which can quote always, quote only on one side of the market or not quote at all – we shift from the commonly used Poisson process to the Hawkes process, which better captures real market dynamics and self-exciting behaviors. We then train and evaluate strategies under volatility levels of 2 and 200. Our findings show that the 4-action MM trained in a low-volatility environment effectively adapts to high-volatility conditions, maintaining stable performance and providing two-sided quotes at least 92% of the time. This indicates that incorporating flexible quoting mechanisms and realistic market simulations significantly enhances the effectiveness of market-making strategies. ...

August 7, 2025 · 2 min · Research Team

Robust Market Making: To Quote, or not To Quote

Robust Market Making: To Quote, or not To Quote ArXiv ID: 2508.16588 “View on arXiv” Authors: Ziyi Wang, Carmine Ventre, Maria Polukarov Abstract Market making is a popular trading strategy, which aims to generate profit from the spread between the quotes posted at either side of the market. It has been shown that training market makers (MMs) with adversarial reinforcement learning allows to overcome the risks due to changing market conditions and to lead to robust performances. Prior work assumes, however, that MMs keep quoting throughout the trading process, but in practice this is not required, even for ``registered’’ MMs (that only need to satisfy quoting ratios defined by the market rules). In this paper, we build on this line of work and enrich the strategy space of the MM by allowing to occasionally not quote or provide single-sided quotes. Towards this end, in addition to the MM agents that provide continuous bid-ask quotes, we have designed two new agents with increasingly richer action spaces. The first has the option to provide bid-ask quotes or refuse to quote. The second has the option to provide bid-ask quotes, refuse to quote, or only provide single-sided ask or bid quotes. We employ a model-driven approach to empirically compare the performance of the continuously quoting MM with the two agents above in various types of adversarial environments. We demonstrate how occasional refusal to provide bid-ask quotes improves returns and/or Sharpe ratios. The quoting ratios of well-trained MMs can basically meet any market requirements, reaching up to 99.9$%$ in some cases. ...

August 7, 2025 · 2 min · Research Team