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Forecasting of Bitcoin Prices Using Hashrate Features: Wavelet and Deep Stacking Approach

Forecasting of Bitcoin Prices Using Hashrate Features: Wavelet and Deep Stacking Approach ArXiv ID: 2501.13136 “View on arXiv” Authors: Unknown Abstract Digital currencies have become popular in the last decade due to their non-dependency and decentralized nature. The price of these currencies has seen a lot of fluctuations at times, which has increased the need for prediction. As their most popular, Bitcoin(BTC) has become a research hotspot. The main challenge and trend of digital currencies, especially BTC, is price fluctuations, which require studying the basic price prediction model. This research presents a classification and regression model based on stack deep learning that uses a wavelet to remove noise to predict movements and prices of BTC at different time intervals. The proposed model based on the stacking technique uses models based on deep learning, especially neural networks and transformers, for one, seven, thirty and ninety-day forecasting. Three feature selection models, Chi2, RFE and Embedded, were also applied to the data in the pre-processing stage. The classification model achieved 63% accuracy for predicting the next day and 64%, 67% and 82% for predicting the seventh, thirty and ninety days, respectively. For daily price forecasting, the percentage error was reduced to 0.58, while the error ranged from 2.72% to 2.85% for seven- to ninety-day horizons. These results show that the proposed model performed better than other models in the literature. ...

January 22, 2025 · 2 min · Research Team

Advance Detection Of Bull And Bear Phases In Cryptocurrency Markets

Advance Detection Of Bull And Bear Phases In Cryptocurrency Markets ArXiv ID: 2411.13586 “View on arXiv” Authors: Unknown Abstract Cryptocurrencies are highly volatile financial instruments with more and more new retail investors joining the scene with each passing day. Bitcoin has always proved to determine in which way the rest of the cryptocurrency market is headed towards. As of today Bitcoin has a market dominance of close to 50 percent. Bull and bear phases in cryptocurrencies are determined based on the performance of Bitcoin over the 50 Day and 200 Day Moving Averages. The aim of this paper is to foretell the performance of bitcoin in the near future by employing predictive algorithms. This predicted data will then be used to calculate the 50 Day and 200 Day Moving Averages and subsequently plotted to establish the potential bull and bear phases. ...

November 18, 2024 · 2 min · Research Team