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Bankruptcy analysis using images and convolutional neural networks (CNN)

Bankruptcy analysis using images and convolutional neural networks (CNN) ArXiv ID: 2502.15726 “View on arXiv” Authors: Unknown Abstract The marketing departments of financial institutions strive to craft products and services that cater to the diverse needs of businesses of all sizes. However, it is evident upon analysis that larger corporations often receive a more substantial portion of available funds. This disparity arises from the relative ease of assessing the risk of default and bankruptcy in these more prominent companies. Historically, risk analysis studies have focused on data from publicly traded or stock exchange-listed companies, leaving a gap in knowledge about small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs). Addressing this gap, this study introduces a method for evaluating SMEs by generating images for processing via a convolutional neural network (CNN). To this end, more than 10,000 images, one for each company in the sample, were created to identify scenarios in which the CNN can operate with higher assertiveness and reduced training error probability. The findings demonstrate a significant predictive capacity, achieving 97.8% accuracy, when a substantial number of images are utilized. Moreover, the image creation method paves the way for potential applications of this technique in various sectors and for different analytical purposes. ...

January 29, 2025 · 2 min · Research Team

A Stock Price Prediction Approach Based on Time Series Decomposition and Multi-Scale CNN using OHLCT Images

A Stock Price Prediction Approach Based on Time Series Decomposition and Multi-Scale CNN using OHLCT Images ArXiv ID: 2410.19291 “View on arXiv” Authors: Unknown Abstract Recently, deep learning in stock prediction has become an important branch. Image-based methods show potential by capturing complex visual patterns and spatial correlations, offering advantages in interpretability over time series models. However, image-based approaches are more prone to overfitting, hindering robust predictive performance. To improve accuracy, this paper proposes a novel method, named Sequence-based Multi-scale Fusion Regression Convolutional Neural Network (SMSFR-CNN), for predicting stock price movements in the China A-share market. By utilizing CNN to learn sequential features and combining them with image features, we improve the accuracy of stock trend prediction on the A-share market stock dataset. This approach reduces the search space for image features, stabilizes, and accelerates the training process. Extensive comparative experiments on 4,454 A-share stocks show that the model achieves a 61.15% positive predictive value and a 63.37% negative predictive value for the next 5 days, resulting in a total profit of 165.09%. ...

October 25, 2024 · 2 min · Research Team

A Deep Reinforcement Learning Framework For Financial Portfolio Management

A Deep Reinforcement Learning Framework For Financial Portfolio Management ArXiv ID: 2409.08426 “View on arXiv” Authors: Unknown Abstract In this research paper, we investigate into a paper named “A Deep Reinforcement Learning Framework for the Financial Portfolio Management Problem” [“arXiv:1706.10059”]. It is a portfolio management problem which is solved by deep learning techniques. The original paper proposes a financial-model-free reinforcement learning framework, which consists of the Ensemble of Identical Independent Evaluators (EIIE) topology, a Portfolio-Vector Memory (PVM), an Online Stochastic Batch Learning (OSBL) scheme, and a fully exploiting and explicit reward function. Three different instants are used to realize this framework, namely a Convolutional Neural Network (CNN), a basic Recurrent Neural Network (RNN), and a Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM). The performance is then examined by comparing to a number of recently reviewed or published portfolio-selection strategies. We have successfully replicated their implementations and evaluations. Besides, we further apply this framework in the stock market, instead of the cryptocurrency market that the original paper uses. The experiment in the cryptocurrency market is consistent with the original paper, which achieve superior returns. But it doesn’t perform as well when applied in the stock market. ...

September 3, 2024 · 2 min · Research Team