Equity Risk Premiums (ERP): Determinants, Estimation and Implications - The 2010 Edition
Equity Risk Premiums (ERP): Determinants, Estimation and Implications - The 2010 Edition ArXiv ID: ssrn-1556382 “View on arXiv” Authors: Unknown Abstract Equity risk premiums are a central component of every risk and return model in finance and are a key input into estimating costs of equity and capital in both c Keywords: equity risk premium, risk and return models, cost of equity, capital budgeting, valuation, Equities Complexity vs Empirical Score Math Complexity: 3.5/10 Empirical Rigor: 4.0/10 Quadrant: Philosophers Why: The paper uses standard financial mathematics like beta in the CAPM but avoids heavy derivations, focusing more on conceptual discussion and comparative analysis of estimation approaches. It discusses historical, survey, and implied methods for determining the equity risk premium, but the excerpt lacks concrete backtesting results, specific datasets, or detailed implementation protocols. flowchart TD A["Research Goal:<br>Estimate & Analyze ERP for Valuation & Cost of Equity"] B["Methodology:<br>Historical & Implied ERP Analysis"] C["Data Inputs:<br>Equity Returns, Bond Yields, Inflation, Credit Spreads"] D["Computation:<br>Build-up & Regression Models<br>Forward-Looking Adjustments"] E["Key Findings:<br>ERP > Historical Gov Bond Yields<br>ERP decreases as P/E increases<br>Higher ERP for Emerging Markets"] A --> B --> C --> D --> E