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Potential Customer Lifetime Value in Financial Institutions: The Usage Of Open Banking Data to Improve CLV Estimation

Potential Customer Lifetime Value in Financial Institutions: The Usage Of Open Banking Data to Improve CLV Estimation ArXiv ID: 2506.22711 “View on arXiv” Authors: João B. G. de Brito, Rodrigo Heldt, Cleo S. Silveira, Matthias Bogaert, Guilherme B. Bucco, Fernando B. Luce, João L. Becker, Filipe J. Zabala, Michel J. Anzanello Abstract Financial institutions increasingly adopt customer-centric strategies to enhance profitability and build long-term relationships. While Customer Lifetime Value (CLV) is a core metric, its calculations often rely solely on single-entity data, missing insights from customer activities across multiple firms. This study introduces the Potential Customer Lifetime Value (PCLV) framework, leveraging Open Banking (OB) data to estimate customer value comprehensively. We predict retention probability and estimate Potential Contribution Margins (PCM) from competitor data, enabling PCLV calculation. Results show that OB data can be used to estimate PCLV per competitor, indicating a potential upside of 21.06% over the Actual CLV. PCLV offers a strategic tool for managers to strengthen competitiveness by leveraging OB data and boost profitability by driving marketing efforts at the individual customer level to increase the Actual CLV. ...

June 28, 2025 · 2 min · Research Team

Towards Financially Inclusive Credit Products Through Financial Time Series Clustering

Towards Financially Inclusive Credit Products Through Financial Time Series Clustering ArXiv ID: 2402.11066 “View on arXiv” Authors: Unknown Abstract Financial inclusion ensures that individuals have access to financial products and services that meet their needs. As a key contributing factor to economic growth and investment opportunity, financial inclusion increases consumer spending and consequently business development. It has been shown that institutions are more profitable when they provide marginalised social groups access to financial services. Customer segmentation based on consumer transaction data is a well-known strategy used to promote financial inclusion. While the required data is available to modern institutions, the challenge remains that segment annotations are usually difficult and/or expensive to obtain. This prevents the usage of time series classification models for customer segmentation based on domain expert knowledge. As a result, clustering is an attractive alternative to partition customers into homogeneous groups based on the spending behaviour encoded within their transaction data. In this paper, we present a solution to one of the key challenges preventing modern financial institutions from providing financially inclusive credit, savings and insurance products: the inability to understand consumer financial behaviour, and hence risk, without the introduction of restrictive conventional credit scoring techniques. We present a novel time series clustering algorithm that allows institutions to understand the financial behaviour of their customers. This enables unique product offerings to be provided based on the needs of the customer, without reliance on restrictive credit practices. ...

February 16, 2024 · 3 min · Research Team