Deep Value
Deep Value ArXiv ID: ssrn-3122327 “View on arXiv” Authors: Unknown Abstract We define “deep value” as episodes where the valuation spread between cheap and expensive securities is wide relative to its history. Examining deep v Keywords: Deep Value, Value Investing, Valuation Spreads, Asset Pricing Anomalies, Quantitative Equity, Equity Complexity vs Empirical Score Math Complexity: 2.0/10 Empirical Rigor: 7.0/10 Quadrant: Street Traders Why: The paper uses straightforward descriptive statistics and historical analysis of valuation spreads, with minimal advanced mathematics, but appears heavily reliant on real market data and backtesting scenarios for its conclusions. flowchart TD A["Research Goal: Identify & model "Deep Value" episodes<br>widest valuation spreads relative to history"] --> B["Data & Inputs"] B --> B1["Panel of US Stocks"] B --> B2["Valuation Metrics<br>e.g., B/M, E/P"] B --> B3["Historical Time Series<br>for spread distribution"] B --> B4["Market Cap & Returns"] B --> C["Key Methodology: Deep Value Definition"] C --> C1["Compute cross-sectional valuation spread<br>e.g., Value - Growth spread"] C --> C2["Define Deep Value episodes<br>periods where spread > 90th percentile of history"] C --> D["Computational Process: Portfolio Construction"] D --> D1["Sort stocks into Value quantiles"] D --> D2["Go long Cheapest (Deep Value) decile<br>Short Expensive decile"] D --> D3["Calculate factor returns & alphas<br>controlling for momentum/quality"] D --> E["Key Findings & Outcomes"] E --> E1["Deep Value spreads are cyclical & persistent<br>predicting long-term returns"] E --> E2["Value factor returns significantly higher<br>during Deep Value episodes"] E --> E3["Returns decay over short horizons<br>but rebound over 3-5 years"] E --> E4["Out-of-sample performance robust<br>across regions and time"]