The Trend is Our Friend: Risk Parity, Momentum and Trend Following in Global Asset Allocation
The Trend is Our Friend: Risk Parity, Momentum and Trend Following in Global Asset Allocation ArXiv ID: ssrn-2275745 “View on arXiv” Authors: Unknown Abstract We examine the effectiveness of applying a trend following methodology to global asset allocation between equities, bonds, commodities and real estate. The appl Keywords: Trend Following, Global Asset Allocation, Multi-Asset Strategies, Time-Series Momentum, Portfolio Optimization, Multi-Asset Complexity vs Empirical Score Math Complexity: 4.0/10 Empirical Rigor: 7.5/10 Quadrant: Street Traders Why: The paper employs relatively straightforward statistical analysis and portfolio construction rules (trend following, momentum, risk parity) rather than advanced mathematical theory, but it is heavily empirical with extensive backtesting across multiple asset classes, Sharpe ratios, and drawdown analysis over long historical periods. flowchart TD A["Research Goal<br/>Apply trend following to global multi-asset allocation<br/>(Equities, Bonds, Commodities, Real Estate)"] --> B["Data & Methodology"] B --> C["Compute Time-Series Momentum<br/>Signals for each asset"] C --> D["Portfolio Optimization<br/>Risk Parity weighting of signals"] D --> E["Backtesting & Validation"] E --> F["Key Findings & Outcomes"] F --> G["Out-of-sample: Trend-following <br/>enhances risk-adjusted returns"] F --> H["Strategies show <br/>strong diversification benefits"] F --> I["Performance persists across <br/>different market regimes"]