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Governance, productivity and economic development

Governance, productivity and economic development ArXiv ID: 2507.13099 “View on arXiv” Authors: Cuong Le Van, Ngoc-Sang Pham, Thi Kim Cuong Pham, Binh Tran-Nam Abstract This paper explores the interplay between transfer policies, R&D, corruption, and economic development using a general equilibrium model with heterogeneous agents and a government. The government collects taxes, redistributes fiscal revenues, and undertakes public investment (in R&D, infrastructure, etc.). Corruption is modeled as a fraction of tax revenues that is siphoned off and removed from the economy. We first establish the existence of a political-economic equilibrium. Then, using an analytically tractable framework with two private agents, we examine the effects of corruption and evaluate the impact of various policies, including redistribution and innovation-led strategies. ...

July 17, 2025 · 2 min · Research Team

Mechanisms of information communication and market price movements. The case of SP 500 market

Mechanisms of information communication and market price movements. The case of SP 500 market ArXiv ID: 2505.09625 “View on arXiv” Authors: Inga Ivanova, Grzegorz Rzadkowski Abstract In this paper we analyze how market prices change in response to information processing among the market participants and how non-linear information dynamics drive market price movement. We analyze historical data of the SP 500 market for the period 1950 -2025 using the logistic Continuous Wavelet Transformation method. This approach allows us to identify various patterns in market dynamics. These patterns are conceptualized using a new theory of reflexive communication of information in a market consisting of heterogeneous agents who assign meaning to information from different perspectives. This allows us to describe market dynamics and make forecasts of its development using the most general mechanisms of information circulation within the content-free approach. ...

April 28, 2025 · 2 min · Research Team

Can Large Language Models Trade? Testing Financial Theories with LLM Agents in Market Simulations

Can Large Language Models Trade? Testing Financial Theories with LLM Agents in Market Simulations ArXiv ID: 2504.10789 “View on arXiv” Authors: Unknown Abstract This paper presents a realistic simulated stock market where large language models (LLMs) act as heterogeneous competing trading agents. The open-source framework incorporates a persistent order book with market and limit orders, partial fills, dividends, and equilibrium clearing alongside agents with varied strategies, information sets, and endowments. Agents submit standardized decisions using structured outputs and function calls while expressing their reasoning in natural language. Three findings emerge: First, LLMs demonstrate consistent strategy adherence and can function as value investors, momentum traders, or market makers per their instructions. Second, market dynamics exhibit features of real financial markets, including price discovery, bubbles, underreaction, and strategic liquidity provision. Third, the framework enables analysis of LLMs’ responses to varying market conditions, similar to partial dependence plots in machine-learning interpretability. The framework allows simulating financial theories without closed-form solutions, creating experimental designs that would be costly with human participants, and establishing how prompts can generate correlated behaviors affecting market stability. ...

April 15, 2025 · 2 min · Research Team