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PyFi: Toward Pyramid-like Financial Image Understanding for VLMs via Adversarial Agents

PyFi: Toward Pyramid-like Financial Image Understanding for VLMs via Adversarial Agents ArXiv ID: 2512.14735 “View on arXiv” Authors: Yuqun Zhang, Yuxuan Zhao, Sijia Chen Abstract This paper proposes PyFi, a novel framework for pyramid-like financial image understanding that enables vision language models (VLMs) to reason through question chains in a progressive, simple-to-complex manner. At the core of PyFi is PyFi-600K, a dataset comprising 600K financial question-answer pairs organized into a reasoning pyramid: questions at the base require only basic perception, while those toward the apex demand increasing levels of capability in financial visual understanding and expertise. This data is scalable because it is synthesized without human annotations, using PyFi-adv, a multi-agent adversarial mechanism under the Monte Carlo Tree Search (MCTS) paradigm, in which, for each image, a challenger agent competes with a solver agent by generating question chains that progressively probe deeper capability levels in financial visual reasoning. Leveraging this dataset, we present fine-grained, hierarchical, and comprehensive evaluations of advanced VLMs in the financial domain. Moreover, fine-tuning Qwen2.5-VL-3B and Qwen2.5-VL-7B on the pyramid-structured question chains enables these models to answer complex financial questions by decomposing them into sub-questions with gradually increasing reasoning demands, yielding average accuracy improvements of 19.52% and 8.06%, respectively, on the dataset. All resources of code, dataset and models are available at: https://github.com/AgenticFinLab/PyFi . ...

December 11, 2025 · 2 min · Research Team

Modeling Hawkish-Dovish Latent Beliefs in Multi-Agent Debate-Based LLMs for Monetary Policy Decision Classification

Modeling Hawkish-Dovish Latent Beliefs in Multi-Agent Debate-Based LLMs for Monetary Policy Decision Classification ArXiv ID: 2511.02469 “View on arXiv” Authors: Kaito Takano, Masanori Hirano, Kei Nakagawa Abstract Accurately forecasting central bank policy decisions, particularly those of the Federal Open Market Committee(FOMC) has become increasingly important amid heightened economic uncertainty. While prior studies have used monetary policy texts to predict rate changes, most rely on static classification models that overlook the deliberative nature of policymaking. This study proposes a novel framework that structurally imitates the FOMC’s collective decision-making process by modeling multiple large language models(LLMs) as interacting agents. Each agent begins with a distinct initial belief and produces a prediction based on both qualitative policy texts and quantitative macroeconomic indicators. Through iterative rounds, agents revise their predictions by observing the outputs of others, simulating deliberation and consensus formation. To enhance interpretability, we introduce a latent variable representing each agent’s underlying belief(e.g., hawkish or dovish), and we theoretically demonstrate how this belief mediates the perception of input information and interaction dynamics. Empirical results show that this debate-based approach significantly outperforms standard LLMs-based baselines in prediction accuracy. Furthermore, the explicit modeling of beliefs provides insights into how individual perspectives and social influence shape collective policy forecasts. ...

November 4, 2025 · 2 min · Research Team

Hierarchical AI Multi-Agent Fundamental Investing: Evidence from China's A-Share Market

Hierarchical AI Multi-Agent Fundamental Investing: Evidence from China’s A-Share Market ArXiv ID: 2510.21147 “View on arXiv” Authors: Chujun He, Zhonghao Huang, Xiangguo Li, Ye Luo, Kewei Ma, Yuxuan Xiong, Xiaowei Zhang, Mingyang Zhao Abstract We present a multi-agent, AI-driven framework for fundamental investing that integrates macro indicators, industry-level and firm-specific information to construct optimized equity portfolios. The architecture comprises: (i) a Macro agent that dynamically screens and weights sectors based on evolving economic indicators and industry performance; (ii) four firm-level agents – Fundamental, Technical, Report, and News – that conduct in-depth analyses of individual firms to ensure both breadth and depth of coverage; (iii) a Portfolio agent that uses reinforcement learning to combine the agent outputs into a unified policy to generate the trading strategy; and (iv) a Risk Control agent that adjusts portfolio positions in response to market volatility. We evaluate the system on the constituents by the CSI 300 Index of China’s A-share market and find that it consistently outperforms standard benchmarks and a state-of-the-art multi-agent trading system on risk-adjusted returns and drawdown control. Our core contribution is a hierarchical multi-agent design that links top-down macro screening with bottom-up fundamental analysis, offering a robust and extensible approach to factor-based portfolio construction. ...

October 24, 2025 · 2 min · Research Team

3S-Trader: A Multi-LLM Framework for Adaptive Stock Scoring, Strategy, and Selection in Portfolio Optimization

3S-Trader: A Multi-LLM Framework for Adaptive Stock Scoring, Strategy, and Selection in Portfolio Optimization ArXiv ID: 2510.17393 “View on arXiv” Authors: Kefan Chen, Hussain Ahmad, Diksha Goel, Claudia Szabo Abstract Large Language Models (LLMs) have recently gained popularity in stock trading for their ability to process multimodal financial data. However, most existing methods focus on single-stock trading and lack the capacity to reason over multiple candidates for portfolio construction. Moreover, they typically lack the flexibility to revise their strategies in response to market shifts, limiting their adaptability in real-world trading. To address these challenges, we propose 3S-Trader, a training-free framework that incorporates scoring, strategy, and selection modules for stock portfolio construction. The scoring module summarizes each stock’s recent signals into a concise report covering multiple scoring dimensions, enabling efficient comparison across candidates. The strategy module analyzes historical strategies and overall market conditions to iteratively generate an optimized selection strategy. Based on this strategy, the selection module identifies and assembles a portfolio by choosing stocks with higher scores in relevant dimensions. We evaluate our framework across four distinct stock universes, including the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) constituents and three sector-specific stock sets. Compared with existing multi-LLM frameworks and time-series-based baselines, 3S-Trader achieves the highest accumulated return of 131.83% on DJIA constituents with a Sharpe ratio of 0.31 and Calmar ratio of 11.84, while also delivering consistently strong results across other sectors. ...

October 20, 2025 · 2 min · Research Team

An Adaptive Multi Agent Bitcoin Trading System

An Adaptive Multi Agent Bitcoin Trading System ArXiv ID: 2510.08068 “View on arXiv” Authors: Aadi Singhi Abstract This paper presents a Multi Agent Bitcoin Trading system that utilizes Large Language Models (LLMs) for alpha generation and portfolio management in the cryptocurrencies market. Unlike equities, cryptocurrencies exhibit extreme volatility and are heavily influenced by rapidly shifting market sentiments and regulatory announcements, making them difficult to model using static regression models or neural networks trained solely on historical data. The proposed framework overcomes this by structuring LLMs into specialised agents for technical analysis, sentiment evaluation, decision-making, and performance reflection. The agents improve over time via a novel verbal feedback mechanism where a Reflect agent provides daily and weekly natural-language critiques of trading decisions. These textual evaluations are then injected into future prompts of the agents, allowing them to adjust allocation logic without weight updates or finetuning. Back-testing on Bitcoin price data from July 2024 to April 2025 shows consistent outperformance across market regimes: the Quantitative agent delivered over 30% higher returns in bullish phases and 15% overall gains versus buy-and-hold, while the sentiment-driven agent turned sideways markets from a small loss into a gain of over 100%. Adding weekly feedback further improved total performance by 31% and reduced bearish losses by 10%. The results demonstrate that verbal feedback represents a new, scalable, and low-cost approach of tuning LLMs for financial goals. ...

October 9, 2025 · 2 min · Research Team

Multi-Agent Analysis of Off-Exchange Public Information for Cryptocurrency Market Trend Prediction

Multi-Agent Analysis of Off-Exchange Public Information for Cryptocurrency Market Trend Prediction ArXiv ID: 2510.08268 “View on arXiv” Authors: Kairan Hong, Jinling Gan, Qiushi Tian, Yanglinxuan Guo, Rui Guo, Runnan Li Abstract Cryptocurrency markets present unique prediction challenges due to their extreme volatility, 24/7 operation, and hypersensitivity to news events, with existing approaches suffering from key information extraction and poor sideways market detection critical for risk management. We introduce a theoretically-grounded multi-agent cryptocurrency trend prediction framework that advances the state-of-the-art through three key innovations: (1) an information-preserving news analysis system with formal theoretical guarantees that systematically quantifies market impact, regulatory implications, volume dynamics, risk assessment, technical correlation, and temporal effects using large language models; (2) an adaptive volatility-conditional fusion mechanism with proven optimal properties that dynamically combines news sentiment and technical indicators based on market regime detection; (3) a distributed multi-agent coordination architecture with low communication complexity enabling real-time processing of heterogeneous data streams. Comprehensive experimental evaluation on Bitcoin across three prediction horizons demonstrates statistically significant improvements over state-of-the-art natural language processing baseline, establishing a new paradigm for financial machine learning with broad implications for quantitative trading and risk management systems. ...

October 9, 2025 · 2 min · Research Team

AlphaAgents: Large Language Model based Multi-Agents for Equity Portfolio Constructions

AlphaAgents: Large Language Model based Multi-Agents for Equity Portfolio Constructions ArXiv ID: 2508.11152 “View on arXiv” Authors: Tianjiao Zhao, Jingrao Lyu, Stokes Jones, Harrison Garber, Stefano Pasquali, Dhagash Mehta Abstract The field of artificial intelligence (AI) agents is evolving rapidly, driven by the capabilities of Large Language Models (LLMs) to autonomously perform and refine tasks with human-like efficiency and adaptability. In this context, multi-agent collaboration has emerged as a promising approach, enabling multiple AI agents to work together to solve complex challenges. This study investigates the application of role-based multi-agent systems to support stock selection in equity research and portfolio management. We present a comprehensive analysis performed by a team of specialized agents and evaluate their stock-picking performance against established benchmarks under varying levels of risk tolerance. Furthermore, we examine the advantages and limitations of employing multi-agent frameworks in equity analysis, offering critical insights into their practical efficacy and implementation challenges. ...

August 15, 2025 · 2 min · Research Team

ContestTrade: A Multi-Agent Trading System Based on Internal Contest Mechanism

ContestTrade: A Multi-Agent Trading System Based on Internal Contest Mechanism ArXiv ID: 2508.00554 “View on arXiv” Authors: Li Zhao, Rui Sun, Zuoyou Jiang, Bo Yang, Yuxiao Bai, Mengting Chen, Xinyang Wang, Jing Li, Zuo Bai Abstract In financial trading, large language model (LLM)-based agents demonstrate significant potential. However, the high sensitivity to market noise undermines the performance of LLM-based trading systems. To address this limitation, we propose a novel multi-agent system featuring an internal competitive mechanism inspired by modern corporate management structures. The system consists of two specialized teams: (1) Data Team - responsible for processing and condensing massive market data into diversified text factors, ensuring they fit the model’s constrained context. (2) Research Team - tasked with making parallelized multipath trading decisions based on deep research methods. The core innovation lies in implementing a real-time evaluation and ranking mechanism within each team, driven by authentic market feedback. Each agent’s performance undergoes continuous scoring and ranking, with only outputs from top-performing agents being adopted. The design enables the system to adaptively adjust to dynamic environment, enhances robustness against market noise and ultimately delivers superior trading performance. Experimental results demonstrate that our proposed system significantly outperforms prevailing multi-agent systems and traditional quantitative investment methods across diverse evaluation metrics. ContestTrade is open-sourced on GitHub at https://github.com/FinStep-AI/ContestTrade. ...

August 1, 2025 · 2 min · Research Team

Building crypto portfolios with agentic AI

Building crypto portfolios with agentic AI ArXiv ID: 2507.20468 “View on arXiv” Authors: Antonino Castelli, Paolo Giudici, Alessandro Piergallini Abstract The rapid growth of crypto markets has opened new opportunities for investors, but at the same time exposed them to high volatility. To address the challenge of managing dynamic portfolios in such an environment, this paper presents a practical application of a multi-agent system designed to autonomously construct and evaluate crypto-asset allocations. Using data on daily frequencies of the ten most capitalized cryptocurrencies from 2020 to 2025, we compare two automated investment strategies. These are a static equal weighting strategy and a rolling-window optimization strategy, both implemented to maximize the evaluation metrics of the Modern Portfolio Theory (MPT), such as Expected Return, Sharpe and Sortino ratios, while minimizing volatility. Each step of the process is handled by dedicated agents, integrated through a collaborative architecture in Crew AI. The results show that the dynamic optimization strategy achieves significantly better performance in terms of risk-adjusted returns, both in-sample and out-of-sample. This highlights the benefits of adaptive techniques in portfolio management, particularly in volatile markets such as cryptocurrency markets. The following methodology proposed also demonstrates how multi-agent systems can provide scalable, auditable, and flexible solutions in financial automation. ...

July 11, 2025 · 2 min · Research Team

FinHEAR: Human Expertise and Adaptive Risk-Aware Temporal Reasoning for Financial Decision-Making

FinHEAR: Human Expertise and Adaptive Risk-Aware Temporal Reasoning for Financial Decision-Making ArXiv ID: 2506.09080 “View on arXiv” Authors: Jiaxiang Chen, Mingxi Zou, Zhuo Wang, Qifan Wang, Dongning Sun, Chi Zhang, Zenglin Xu Abstract Financial decision-making presents unique challenges for language models, demanding temporal reasoning, adaptive risk assessment, and responsiveness to dynamic events. While large language models (LLMs) show strong general reasoning capabilities, they often fail to capture behavioral patterns central to human financial decisions-such as expert reliance under information asymmetry, loss-averse sensitivity, and feedback-driven temporal adjustment. We propose FinHEAR, a multi-agent framework for Human Expertise and Adaptive Risk-aware reasoning. FinHEAR orchestrates specialized LLM-based agents to analyze historical trends, interpret current events, and retrieve expert-informed precedents within an event-centric pipeline. Grounded in behavioral economics, it incorporates expert-guided retrieval, confidence-adjusted position sizing, and outcome-based refinement to enhance interpretability and robustness. Empirical results on curated financial datasets show that FinHEAR consistently outperforms strong baselines across trend prediction and trading tasks, achieving higher accuracy and better risk-adjusted returns. ...

June 10, 2025 · 2 min · Research Team