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Deep Learning for Short Term Equity Trend Forecasting: A Behavior Driven Multi Factor Approach

Deep Learning for Short Term Equity Trend Forecasting: A Behavior Driven Multi Factor Approach ArXiv ID: 2508.14656 “View on arXiv” Authors: Yuqi Luan Abstract This study proposes a behaviorally-informed multi-factor stock selection framework that integrates short-cycle technical alpha signals with deep learning. We design a dual-task multilayer perceptron (MLP) that jointly predicts five-day future returns and directional price movements, thereby capturing nonlinear market behaviors such as volume-price divergence, momentum-driven herding, and bottom reversals. The model is trained on 40 carefully constructed factors derived from price-volume patterns and behavioral finance insights. Empirical evaluation demonstrates that the dual-task MLP achieves superior and stable performance across both predictive accuracy and economic relevance, as measured by information coefficient (IC), information ratio (IR), and portfolio backtesting results. Comparative experiments further show that deep learning methods outperform linear baselines by effectively capturing structural interactions between factors. This work highlights the potential of structure-aware deep learning in enhancing multi-factor modeling and provides a practical framework for short-horizon quantitative investment strategies. ...

August 20, 2025 · 2 min · Research Team

A multi-factor market-neutral investment strategy for New York Stock Exchange equities

A multi-factor market-neutral investment strategy for New York Stock Exchange equities ArXiv ID: 2412.12350 “View on arXiv” Authors: Unknown Abstract This report presents a systematic market-neutral, multi-factor investment strategy for New York Stock Exchange equities with the objective of delivering steady returns while minimizing correlation with the market. A robust feature set is integrated combining momentum-based indicators, fundamental factors, and analyst recommendations. Using various statistical tests for feature selection, the strategy identifies key drivers of equity performance and ranks stocks to build a balanced portfolio of long and short positions. Portfolio construction methods, including equally weighted, risk parity, and minimum variance beta-neutral approaches, were evaluated through rigorous backtesting. Risk parity demonstrated superior performance with a higher Sharpe ratio, lower beta, and smaller maximum drawdown compared to the Standard and Poor’s 500 index. Risk parity’s market neutrality, combined with its ability to maintain steady returns and mitigate large drawdowns, makes it a suitable approach for managing significant capital in equity markets. ...

December 16, 2024 · 2 min · Research Team