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Liquidity Adjustment in Multivariate Volatility Modeling: Evidence from Portfolios of Cryptocurrencies and US Stocks

Liquidity Adjustment in Multivariate Volatility Modeling: Evidence from Portfolios of Cryptocurrencies and US Stocks ArXiv ID: 2407.00813 “View on arXiv” Authors: Unknown Abstract We develop a liquidity-sensitive multivariate volatility framework to improve the estimation of time-varying covariance structures under market frictions. We introduce two novel portfolio-level liquidity measures, liquidity jump and liquidity diffusion, which capture magnitude and volatility of liquidity fluctuation, respectively, and construct liquidity-adjusted return and volatility that reflect real-time liquidity variability. These liquidity-adjusted inputs are integrated into a VECM-DCC/ADCC-Bayesian model, allowing for conditional and posterior covariance estimation under liquidity stress. Applying this framework to portfolios of cryptocurrencies and US stocks, we find that traditional models misrepresent volatility and co-movement, while liquidity-adjusted models yield more stable and interpretable risk structures, particularly for portfolios of cryptocurrencies. The findings support the use of liquidity-adjusted multivariate models as statistically grounded tools for assessing the propagation of portfolio risk under market frictions, with implications for asset pricing, market microstructure design, and portfolio management. ...

March 30, 2024 · 2 min · Research Team

Spatial and Spatiotemporal Volatility Models: A Review

Spatial and Spatiotemporal Volatility Models: A Review ArXiv ID: 2308.13061 “View on arXiv” Authors: Unknown Abstract Spatial and spatiotemporal volatility models are a class of models designed to capture spatial dependence in the volatility of spatial and spatiotemporal data. Spatial dependence in the volatility may arise due to spatial spillovers among locations; that is, if two locations are in close proximity, they can exhibit similar volatilities. In this paper, we aim to provide a comprehensive review of the recent literature on spatial and spatiotemporal volatility models. We first briefly review time series volatility models and their multivariate extensions to motivate their spatial and spatiotemporal counterparts. We then review various spatial and spatiotemporal volatility specifications proposed in the literature along with their underlying motivations and estimation strategies. Through this analysis, we effectively compare all models and provide practical recommendations for their appropriate usage. We highlight possible extensions and conclude by outlining directions for future research. ...

August 24, 2023 · 2 min · Research Team