Nash Equilibrium

High-Frequency Analysis of a Trading Game with Transient Price Impact ArXiv ID: 2512.11765 “View on arXiv” Authors: Marcel Nutz, Alessandro Prosperi Abstract We study the high-frequency limit of an $n$-trader optimal execution game in discrete time. Traders face transient price impact of Obizhaeva–Wang type in addition to quadratic instantaneous trading costs $θ(ΔX_t)^2$ on each transaction $ΔX_t$. There is a unique Nash equilibrium in which traders choose liquidation strategies minimizing expected execution costs. In the high-frequency limit where the grid of trading dates converges to the continuous interval $[“0,T”]$, the discrete equilibrium inventories converge at rate $1/N$ to the continuous-time equilibrium of an Obizhaeva–Wang model with additional quadratic costs $\vartheta_0(ΔX_0)^2$ and $\vartheta_T(ΔX_T)^2$ on initial and terminal block trades, where $\vartheta_0=(n-1)/2$ and $\vartheta_T=1/2$. The latter model was introduced by Campbell and Nutz as the limit of continuous-time equilibria with vanishing instantaneous costs. Our results extend and refine previous results of Schied, Strehle, and Zhang for the particular case $n=2$ where $\vartheta_0=\vartheta_T=1/2$. In particular, we show how the coefficients $\vartheta_0=(n-1)/2$ and $\vartheta_T=1/2$ arise endogenously in the high-frequency limit: the initial and terminal block costs of the continuous-time model are identified as the limits of the cumulative discrete instantaneous costs incurred over small neighborhoods of $0$ and $T$, respectively, and these limits are independent of $θ>0$. By contrast, when $θ=0$ the discrete-time equilibrium strategies and costs exhibit persistent oscillations and admit no high-frequency limit, mirroring the non-existence of continuous-time equilibria without boundary block costs. Our results show that two different types of trading frictions – a fine time discretization and small instantaneous costs in continuous time – have similar regularizing effects and select a canonical model in the limit. ...

Competitive optimal portfolio selection under mean-variance criterion ArXiv ID: 2511.05270 “View on arXiv” Authors: Guojiang Shao, Zuo Quan Xu, Qi Zhang Abstract We investigate a portfolio selection problem involving multi competitive agents, each exhibiting mean-variance preferences. Unlike classical models, each agent’s utility is determined by their relative wealth compared to the average wealth of all agents, introducing a competitive dynamic into the optimization framework. To address this game-theoretic problem, we first reformulate the mean-variance criterion as a constrained, non-homogeneous stochastic linear-quadratic control problem and derive the corresponding optimal feedback strategies. The existence of Nash equilibria is shown to depend on the well-posedness of a complex, coupled system of equations. Employing decoupling techniques, we reduce the well-posedness analysis to the solvability of a novel class of multi-dimensional linear backward stochastic differential equations (BSDEs). We solve a new type of nonlinear BSDEs (including the above linear one as a special case) using fixed-point theory. Depending on the interplay between market and competition parameters, three distinct scenarios arise: (i) the existence of a unique Nash equilibrium, (ii) the absence of any Nash equilibrium, and (iii) the existence of infinitely many Nash equilibria. These scenarios are rigorously characterized and discussed in detail. ...

Competition and Incentives in a Shared Order Book ArXiv ID: 2509.10094 “View on arXiv” Authors: René Aïd, Philippe Bergault, Mathieu Rosenbaum Abstract Recent regulation on intraday electricity markets has led to the development of shared order books with the intention to foster competition and increase market liquidity. In this paper, we address the question of the efficiency of such regulations by analysing the situation of two exchanges sharing a single limit order book, i.e. a quote by a market maker can be hit by a trade arriving on the other exchange. We develop a Principal-Agent model where each exchange acts as the Principal of her own market maker acting as her Agent. Exchanges and market makers have all CARA utility functions with potentially different risk-aversion parameters. In terms of mathematical result, we show existence and uniqueness of the resulting Nash equilibrium between exchanges, give the optimal incentive contracts and provide numerical solution to the PDE satisfied by the certainty equivalent of the exchanges. From an economic standpoint, our model demonstrates that incentive provision constitutes a public good. More precisely, it highlights the presence of a competitiveness spillover effect: when one exchange optimally incentivizes its market maker, the competing exchange also reaps indirect benefits. This interdependence gives rise to a free-rider problem. Given that providing incentives entails a cost, the strategic interaction between exchanges may lead to an equilibrium in which neither platform offers incentives – ultimately resulting in diminished overall competition. ...

Arbitrage on Decentralized Exchanges ArXiv ID: 2507.08302 “View on arXiv” Authors: Xue Dong He, Chen Yang, Yutian Zhou Abstract Decentralized exchanges (DEXs) are alternative venues to centralized exchanges (CEXs) for trading cryptocurrencies and have become increasingly popular. An arbitrage opportunity arises when the exchange rate of two cryptocurrencies in a DEX differs from that in a CEX. Arbitrageurs can then trade on the DEX and CEX to make a profit. Trading on the DEX incurs a gas fee, which determines the priority of the trade being executed. We study a gas-fee competition game between two arbitrageurs who maximize their expected profit from trading. We derive the unique symmetric mixed Nash equilibrium and find that (i) the arbitrageurs may choose not to trade when the arbitrage opportunity and liquidity is small; (ii) the probability of the arbitrageurs choosing a higher gas fee is lower; (iii) the arbitrageurs pay a higher gas fee and trade more when the arbitrage opportunity becomes larger and when liquidity becomes higher; (iv) the arbitrageurs’ expected profit could increase with arbitrage opportunity and liquidity. The above findings are consistent with our empirical study. ...

Optimal Execution and Macroscopic Market Making ArXiv ID: 2504.06717 “View on arXiv” Authors: Unknown Abstract We propose a stochastic game modelling the strategic interaction between market makers and traders of optimal execution type. For traders, the permanent price impact commonly attributed to them is replaced by quoting strategies implemented by market makers. For market makers, order flows become endogenous, driven by tactical traders rather than assumed exogenously. Using the forward-backward stochastic differential equation (FBSDE) characterization of Nash equilibria, we establish a local well-posedness result for the general game. In the specific Almgren-Chriss-Avellaneda-Stoikov model, a decoupling approach guarantees the global well-posedness of the FBSDE system via the well-posedness of an associated backward stochastic Riccati equation. Finally, by introducing small diffusion terms into the inventory processes, global well-posedness is achieved for the approximation game. ...

Relative portfolio optimization via a value at risk based constraint ArXiv ID: 2503.20340 “View on arXiv” Authors: Unknown Abstract In this paper, we consider $n$ agents who invest in a general financial market that is free of arbitrage and complete. The aim of each investor is to maximize her expected utility while ensuring, with a specified probability, that her terminal wealth exceeds a benchmark defined by her competitors’ performance. This setup introduces an interdependence between agents, leading to a search for Nash equilibria. In the case of two agents and CRRA utility, we are able to derive all Nash equilibria in terms of terminal wealth. For $n>2$ agents and logarithmic utility we distinguish two cases. In the first case, the probabilities in the constraint are small and we can characterize all Nash equilibria. In the second case, the probabilities are larger and we look for Nash equilibria in a certain set. We also discuss the impact of the competition using some numerical examples. As a by-product, we solve some portfolio optimization problems with probability constraints. ...

Randomization in Optimal Execution Games ArXiv ID: 2503.08833 “View on arXiv” Authors: Unknown Abstract We study optimal execution in markets with transient price impact in a competitive setting with $N$ traders. Motivated by prior negative results on the existence of pure Nash equilibria, we consider randomized strategies for the traders and whether allowing such strategies can restore the existence of equilibria. We show that given a randomized strategy, there is a non-randomized strategy with strictly lower expected execution cost, and moreover this de-randomization can be achieved by a simple averaging procedure. As a consequence, Nash equilibria cannot contain randomized strategies, and non-existence of pure equilibria implies non-existence of randomized equilibria. Separately, we also establish uniqueness of equilibria. Both results hold in a general transaction cost model given by a strictly positive definite impact decay kernel and a convex trading cost. ...

N-player and mean field games among fund managers considering excess logarithmic returns ArXiv ID: 2503.02722 “View on arXiv” Authors: Unknown Abstract This paper studies the competition among multiple fund managers with relative performance over the excess logarithmic return. Fund managers compete with each other and have expected utility or mean-variance criteria for excess logarithmic return. Each fund manager possesses a unique risky asset, and all fund managers can also invest in a public risk-free asset and a public risk asset. We construct both an $n$-player game and a mean field game (MFG) to address the competition problem under these two criteria. We explicitly define and rigorously solve the equilibrium and mean field equilibrium (MFE) for each criteria. In the four models, the excess logarithmic return as the evaluation criterion of the fund leads to the {" allocation fractions"} being constant. The introduction of the public risky asset yields different outcomes, with competition primarily affecting the investment in public assets, particularly evident in the MFG. We demonstrate that the MFE of the MFG represents the limit of the $n$-player game’s equilibrium as the competitive scale $n$ approaches infinity. Finally, the sensitivity analyses of the equilibrium are given. ...

Time-consistent portfolio selection with strictly monotone mean-variance preference ArXiv ID: 2502.11052 “View on arXiv” Authors: Unknown Abstract This paper is devoted to time-consistent control problems of portfolio selection with strictly monotone mean-variance preferences. These preferences are variational modifications of the conventional mean-variance preferences, and remain time-inconsistent as in mean-variance optimization problems. To tackle the time-inconsistency, we study the Nash equilibrium controls of both the open-loop type and the closed-loop type, and characterize them within a random parameter setting. The problem is reduced to solving a flow of forward-backward stochastic differential equations for open-loop equilibria, and to solving extended Hamilton-Jacobi-Bellman equations for closed-loop equilibria. In particular, we derive semi-closed-form solutions for these two types of equilibria under a deterministic parameter setting. Both solutions are represented by the same function, which is independent of wealth state and random path. This function can be expressed as the conventional time-consistent mean-variance portfolio strategy multiplied by a factor greater than one. Furthermore, we find that the state-independent closed-loop Nash equilibrium control is a strong equilibrium strategy in a constant parameter setting only when the interest rate is sufficiently large. ...

Optimal Rebate Design: Incentives, Competition and Efficiency in Auction Markets ArXiv ID: 2501.12591 “View on arXiv” Authors: Unknown Abstract This study explores the design of an efficient rebate policy in auction markets, focusing on a continuous-time setting with competition among market participants. In this model, a stock exchange collects transaction fees from auction investors executing block trades to buy or sell a risky asset, then redistributes these fees as rebates to competing market makers submitting limit orders. Market makers influence both the price at which the asset trades and their arrival intensity in the auction. We frame this problem as a principal-multi-agent problem and provide necessary and sufficient conditions to characterize the Nash equilibrium among market makers. The exchange’s optimization problem is formulated as a high-dimensional Hamilton-Jacobi-Bellman equation with Poisson jump processes, which is solved using a verification result. To numerically compute the optimal rebate and transaction fee policies, we apply the Deep BSDE method. Our results show that optimal transaction fees and rebate structures improve market efficiency by narrowing the spread between the auction clearing price and the asset’s fundamental value, while ensuring a minimal gain for both market makers indexed on the price of the asset on a coexisting limit order book. ...