Equity Risk Premiums (ERP): Determinants, Estimation and Implications - The 2023 Edition
Equity Risk Premiums (ERP): Determinants, Estimation and Implications - The 2023 Edition ArXiv ID: ssrn-4398884 “View on arXiv” Authors: Unknown Abstract No abstract found Keywords: N/A, Insufficient Data, No Abstract Complexity vs Empirical Score Math Complexity: 6.5/10 Empirical Rigor: 7.0/10 Quadrant: Holy Grail Why: The paper employs sophisticated financial models (DCF, option pricing, risk decomposition) requiring advanced math, and its empirical component is data-heavy, featuring historical time-series analysis, implied premium calculations from market prices, and country-specific risk scores, making it backtest-ready despite lacking explicit code or GitHub links. flowchart TD A["Research Goal: Determine & Estimate Equity Risk Premiums for 2023"] --> B{"Data Inputs: Historical Market & Government Bond Returns"} B --> C["Methodology: Cross-Sectional & Time-Series Analysis"] C --> D["Computation: Discounted Cash Flow & Risk Models"] D --> E["Outcome 1: Estimated Equity Risk Premium for 2023"] D --> F["Outcome 2: Key Determinants of ERP Identified"] D --> G["Outcome 3: Implications for Investors & Valuation"]