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To Bubble or Not to Bubble: Asset Price Dynamics and Optimality in OLG Economies

To Bubble or Not to Bubble: Asset Price Dynamics and Optimality in OLG Economies ArXiv ID: 2508.03230 “View on arXiv” Authors: Stefano Bosi, Cuong Le Van, Ngoc-Sang Pham Abstract We study an overlapping generations (OLG) exchange economy with an asset that yields dividends. First, we derive general conditions, based on exogenous parameters, that give rise to three distinct scenarios: (1) only bubbleless equilibria exist, (2) a bubbleless equilibrium coexists with a continuum of bubbly equilibria, and (3) all equilibria are bubbly. Under stationary endowments and standard assumptions, we provide a complete characterization of the equilibrium set and the associated asset price dynamics. In this setting, a bubbly equilibrium exists if and only if the interest rate in the economy without the asset is strictly lower than the population growth rate and the sum of per capita dividends is finite. Second, we establish necessary and sufficient conditions for Pareto optimality. Finally, we investigate the relationship between asset price behaviors and the optimality of equilibria. ...

August 5, 2025 · 2 min · Research Team

On Finding Bi-objective Pareto-optimal Fraud Prevention Rule Sets for Fintech Applications

On Finding Bi-objective Pareto-optimal Fraud Prevention Rule Sets for Fintech Applications ArXiv ID: 2311.00964 “View on arXiv” Authors: Unknown Abstract Rules are widely used in Fintech institutions to make fraud prevention decisions, since rules are highly interpretable thanks to their intuitive if-then structure. In practice, a two-stage framework of fraud prevention decision rule set mining is usually employed in large Fintech institutions; Stage 1 generates a potentially large pool of rules and Stage 2 aims to produce a refined rule subset according to some criteria (typically based on precision and recall). This paper focuses on improving the flexibility and efficacy of this two-stage framework, and is concerned with finding high-quality rule subsets in a bi-objective space (such as precision and recall). To this end, we first introduce a novel algorithm called SpectralRules that directly generates a compact pool of rules in Stage 1 with high diversity. We empirically find such diversity improves the quality of the final rule subset. In addition, we introduce an intermediate stage between Stage 1 and 2 that adopts the concept of Pareto optimality and aims to find a set of non-dominated rule subsets, which constitutes a Pareto front. This intermediate stage greatly simplifies the selection criteria and increases the flexibility of Stage 2. For this intermediate stage, we propose a heuristic-based framework called PORS and we identify that the core of PORS is the problem of solution selection on the front (SSF). We provide a systematic categorization of the SSF problem and a thorough empirical evaluation of various SSF methods on both public and proprietary datasets. On two real application scenarios within Alipay, we demonstrate the advantages of our proposed methodology over existing work. ...

November 2, 2023 · 3 min · Research Team