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Quantum-Enhanced Forecasting: Leveraging Quantum Gramian Angular Field and CNNs for Stock Return Predictions

Quantum-Enhanced Forecasting: Leveraging Quantum Gramian Angular Field and CNNs for Stock Return Predictions ArXiv ID: 2310.07427 “View on arXiv” Authors: Unknown Abstract We propose a time series forecasting method named Quantum Gramian Angular Field (QGAF). This approach merges the advantages of quantum computing technology with deep learning, aiming to enhance the precision of time series classification and forecasting. We successfully transformed stock return time series data into two-dimensional images suitable for Convolutional Neural Network (CNN) training by designing specific quantum circuits. Distinct from the classical Gramian Angular Field (GAF) approach, QGAF’s uniqueness lies in eliminating the need for data normalization and inverse cosine calculations, simplifying the transformation process from time series data to two-dimensional images. To validate the effectiveness of this method, we conducted experiments on datasets from three major stock markets: the China A-share market, the Hong Kong stock market, and the US stock market. Experimental results revealed that compared to the classical GAF method, the QGAF approach significantly improved time series prediction accuracy, reducing prediction errors by an average of 25% for Mean Absolute Error (MAE) and 48% for Mean Squared Error (MSE). This research confirms the potential and promising prospects of integrating quantum computing with deep learning techniques in financial time series forecasting. ...

October 11, 2023 · 2 min · Research Team

Grover Search for Portfolio Selection

Grover Search for Portfolio Selection ArXiv ID: 2308.13063 “View on arXiv” Authors: Unknown Abstract We present explicit oracles designed to be used in Grover’s algorithm to match investor preferences. Specifically, the oracles select portfolios with returns and standard deviations exceeding and falling below certain thresholds, respectively. One potential use case for the oracles is selecting portfolios with the best Sharpe ratios. We have implemented these algorithms using quantum simulators. Keywords: Grover’s Algorithm, Portfolio Selection, Quantum Oracles, Sharpe Ratio, Quantum Computing ...

August 24, 2023 · 1 min · Research Team

Efficient option pricing with unary-based photonic computing chip and generative adversarial learning

Efficient option pricing with unary-based photonic computing chip and generative adversarial learning ArXiv ID: 2308.04493 “View on arXiv” Authors: Unknown Abstract In the modern financial industry system, the structure of products has become more and more complex, and the bottleneck constraint of classical computing power has already restricted the development of the financial industry. Here, we present a photonic chip that implements the unary approach to European option pricing, in combination with the quantum amplitude estimation algorithm, to achieve a quadratic speedup compared to classical Monte Carlo methods. The circuit consists of three modules: a module loading the distribution of asset prices, a module computing the expected payoff, and a module performing the quantum amplitude estimation algorithm to introduce speed-ups. In the distribution module, a generative adversarial network is embedded for efficient learning and loading of asset distributions, which precisely capture the market trends. This work is a step forward in the development of specialized photonic processors for applications in finance, with the potential to improve the efficiency and quality of financial services. ...

August 8, 2023 · 2 min · Research Team

A novel approach for quantum financial simulation and quantum state preparation

A novel approach for quantum financial simulation and quantum state preparation ArXiv ID: 2308.01844 “View on arXiv” Authors: Unknown Abstract Quantum state preparation is vital in quantum computing and information processing. The ability to accurately and reliably prepare specific quantum states is essential for various applications. One of the promising applications of quantum computers is quantum simulation. This requires preparing a quantum state representing the system we are trying to simulate. This research introduces a novel simulation algorithm, the multi-Split-Steps Quantum Walk (multi-SSQW), designed to learn and load complicated probability distributions using parameterized quantum circuits (PQC) with a variational solver on classical simulators. The multi-SSQW algorithm is a modified version of the split-steps quantum walk, enhanced to incorporate a multi-agent decision-making process, rendering it suitable for modeling financial markets. The study provides theoretical descriptions and empirical investigations of the multi-SSQW algorithm to demonstrate its promising capabilities in probability distribution simulation and financial market modeling. Harnessing the advantages of quantum computation, the multi-SSQW models complex financial distributions and scenarios with high accuracy, providing valuable insights and mechanisms for financial analysis and decision-making. The multi-SSQW’s key benefits include its modeling flexibility, stable convergence, and instantaneous computation. These advantages underscore its rapid modeling and prediction potential in dynamic financial markets. ...

August 3, 2023 · 2 min · Research Team

Derivative Pricing using Quantum Signal Processing

Derivative Pricing using Quantum Signal Processing ArXiv ID: 2307.14310 “View on arXiv” Authors: Unknown Abstract Pricing financial derivatives on quantum computers typically includes quantum arithmetic components which contribute heavily to the quantum resources required by the corresponding circuits. In this manuscript, we introduce a method based on Quantum Signal Processing (QSP) to encode financial derivative payoffs directly into quantum amplitudes, alleviating the quantum circuits from the burden of costly quantum arithmetic. Compared to current state-of-the-art approaches in the literature, we find that for derivative contracts of practical interest, the application of QSP significantly reduces the required resources across all metrics considered, most notably the total number of T-gates by $\sim 16$x and the number of logical qubits by $\sim 4$x. Additionally, we estimate that the logical clock rate needed for quantum advantage is also reduced by a factor of $\sim 5$x. Overall, we find that quantum advantage will require $4.7$k logical qubits, and quantum devices that can execute $10^9$ T-gates at a rate of $45$MHz. While in this work we focus specifically on the payoff component of the derivative pricing process where the method we present is most readily applicable, similar techniques can be employed to further reduce the resources in other applications, such as state preparation. ...

July 26, 2023 · 2 min · Research Team

Quantum computer based Feature Selection in Machine Learning

Quantum computer based Feature Selection in Machine Learning ArXiv ID: 2306.10591 “View on arXiv” Authors: Unknown Abstract The problem of selecting an appropriate number of features in supervised learning problems is investigated in this paper. Starting with common methods in machine learning, we treat the feature selection task as a quadratic unconstrained optimization problem (QUBO), which can be tackled with classical numerical methods as well as within a quantum computing framework. We compare the different results in small-sized problem setups. According to the results of our study, whether the QUBO method outperforms other feature selection methods depends on the data set. In an extension to a larger data set with 27 features, we compare the convergence behavior of the QUBO methods via quantum computing with classical stochastic optimization methods. Due to persisting error rates, the classical stochastic optimization methods are still superior. ...

June 18, 2023 · 2 min · Research Team

From Portfolio Optimization to Quantum Blockchain and Security: A Systematic Review of Quantum Computing in Finance

From Portfolio Optimization to Quantum Blockchain and Security: A Systematic Review of Quantum Computing in Finance ArXiv ID: 2307.01155 “View on arXiv” Authors: Unknown Abstract In this paper, we provide an overview of the recent work in the quantum finance realm from various perspectives. The applications in consideration are Portfolio Optimization, Fraud Detection, and Monte Carlo methods for derivative pricing and risk calculation. Furthermore, we give a comprehensive overview of the applications of quantum computing in the field of blockchain technology which is a main concept in fintech. In that sense, we first introduce the general overview of blockchain with its main cryptographic primitives such as digital signature algorithms, hash functions, and random number generators as well as the security vulnerabilities of blockchain technologies after the merge of quantum computers considering Shor’s quantum factoring and Grover’s quantum search algorithms. We then discuss the privacy preserving quantum-resistant blockchain systems via threshold signatures, ring signatures, and zero-knowledge proof systems i.e. ZK-SNARKs in quantum resistant blockchains. After emphasizing the difference between the quantum-resistant blockchain and quantum-safe blockchain we mention the security countermeasures to take against the possible quantumized attacks aiming these systems. We finalize our discussion with quantum blockchain, efficient quantum mining and necessary infrastructures for constructing such systems based on quantum computing. This review has the intention to be a bridge to fill the gap between quantum computing and one of its most prominent application realms: Finance. We provide the state-of-the-art results in the intersection of finance and quantum technology for both industrial practitioners and academicians. ...

June 12, 2023 · 2 min · Research Team

Hybrid Quantum Algorithms integrating QAOA, Penalty Dephasing and Zeno Effect for Solving Binary Optimization Problems with Multiple Constraints

Hybrid Quantum Algorithms integrating QAOA, Penalty Dephasing and Zeno Effect for Solving Binary Optimization Problems with Multiple Constraints ArXiv ID: 2305.08056 “View on arXiv” Authors: Unknown Abstract When tackling binary optimization problems using quantum algorithms, the conventional Ising representation and Quantum Approximate Optimization Algorithm (QAOA) encounter difficulties in efficiently handling errors for large-scale problems involving multiple constraints. To address these challenges, this paper presents a hybrid framework that combines the use of standard Ising Hamiltonians to solve a subset of the constraints, while employing non-Ising formulations to represent and address the remaining constraints. The resolution of these non-Ising constraints is achieved through either penalty dephasing or the quantum Zeno effect. This innovative approach leads to a collection of quantum circuits with adaptable structures, depending on the chosen representation for each constraint. Furthermore, this paper introduces a novel technique that utilizes the quantum Zeno effect by frequently measuring the constraint flag, enabling the resolution of any optimization constraint. Theoretical properties of these algorithms are discussed, and their performance in addressing practical aircraft loading problems is highly promising, showcasing significant potential for a wide range of industrial applications. ...

May 14, 2023 · 2 min · Research Team