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Quantum Risk Analysis of Financial Derivatives

Quantum Risk Analysis of Financial Derivatives ArXiv ID: 2404.10088 “View on arXiv” Authors: Unknown Abstract We introduce two quantum algorithms to compute the Value at Risk (VaR) and Conditional Value at Risk (CVaR) of financial derivatives using quantum computers: the first by applying existing ideas from quantum risk analysis to derivative pricing, and the second based on a novel approach using Quantum Signal Processing (QSP). Previous work in the literature has shown that quantum advantage is possible in the context of individual derivative pricing and that advantage can be leveraged in a straightforward manner in the estimation of the VaR and CVaR. The algorithms we introduce in this work aim to provide an additional advantage by encoding the derivative price over multiple market scenarios in superposition and computing the desired values by applying appropriate transformations to the quantum system. We perform complexity and error analysis of both algorithms, and show that while the two algorithms have the same asymptotic scaling the QSP-based approach requires significantly fewer quantum resources for the same target accuracy. Additionally, by numerically simulating both quantum and classical VaR algorithms, we demonstrate that the quantum algorithm can extract additional advantage from a quantum computer compared to individual derivative pricing. Specifically, we show that under certain conditions VaR estimation can lower the latest published estimates of the logical clock rate required for quantum advantage in derivative pricing by up to $\sim 30$x. In light of these results, we are encouraged that our formulation of derivative pricing in the QSP framework may be further leveraged for quantum advantage in other relevant financial applications, and that quantum computers could be harnessed more efficiently by considering problems in the financial sector at a higher level. ...

April 15, 2024 · 3 min · Research Team

Derivative Pricing using Quantum Signal Processing

Derivative Pricing using Quantum Signal Processing ArXiv ID: 2307.14310 “View on arXiv” Authors: Unknown Abstract Pricing financial derivatives on quantum computers typically includes quantum arithmetic components which contribute heavily to the quantum resources required by the corresponding circuits. In this manuscript, we introduce a method based on Quantum Signal Processing (QSP) to encode financial derivative payoffs directly into quantum amplitudes, alleviating the quantum circuits from the burden of costly quantum arithmetic. Compared to current state-of-the-art approaches in the literature, we find that for derivative contracts of practical interest, the application of QSP significantly reduces the required resources across all metrics considered, most notably the total number of T-gates by $\sim 16$x and the number of logical qubits by $\sim 4$x. Additionally, we estimate that the logical clock rate needed for quantum advantage is also reduced by a factor of $\sim 5$x. Overall, we find that quantum advantage will require $4.7$k logical qubits, and quantum devices that can execute $10^9$ T-gates at a rate of $45$MHz. While in this work we focus specifically on the payoff component of the derivative pricing process where the method we present is most readily applicable, similar techniques can be employed to further reduce the resources in other applications, such as state preparation. ...

July 26, 2023 · 2 min · Research Team