Stochastic Dominance

Stochastic Dominance Constrained Optimization with S-shaped Utilities: Poor-Performance-Region Algorithm and Neural Network ArXiv ID: 2512.00299 “View on arXiv” Authors: Zeyun Hu, Yang Liu Abstract We investigate the static portfolio selection problem of S-shaped and non-concave utility maximization under first-order and second-order stochastic dominance (SD) constraints. In many S-shaped utility optimization problems, one should require a liquidation boundary to guarantee the existence of a finite concave envelope function. A first-order SD (FSD) constraint can replace this requirement and provide an alternative for risk management. We explicitly solve the optimal solution under a general S-shaped utility function with a first-order stochastic dominance constraint. However, the second-order SD (SSD) constrained problem under non-concave utilities is difficult to solve analytically due to the invalidity of Sion’s maxmin theorem. For this sake, we propose a numerical algorithm to obtain a plausible and sub-optimal solution for general non-concave utilities. The key idea is to detect the poor performance region with respect to the SSD constraints, characterize its structure and modify the distribution on that region to obtain (sub-)optimality. A key financial insight is that the decision maker should follow the SD constraint on the poor performance scenario while conducting the unconstrained optimal strategy otherwise. We provide numerical experiments to show that our algorithm effectively finds a sub-optimal solution in many cases. Finally, we develop an algorithm-guided piecewise-neural-network framework to learn the solution of the SSD problem, which demonstrates accelerated convergence compared to standard neural network approaches. ...

Enhanced indexation using both equity assets and index options ArXiv ID: 2508.21192 “View on arXiv” Authors: Cristiano Arbex Valle, John E Beasley Abstract In this paper we consider how we can include index options in enhanced indexation. We present the concept of an \enquote{“option strategy”} which enables us to treat options as an artificial asset. An option strategy for a known set of options is a specified set of rules which detail how these options are to be traded (i.e.bought, rolled over, sold) depending upon market conditions. We consider option strategies in the context of enhanced indexation, but we discuss how they have much wider applicability in terms of portfolio optimisation. We use an enhanced indexation approach based on second-order stochastic dominance. We consider index options for the S&P500, using a dataset of daily stock prices over the period 2017-2025 that has been manually adjusted to account for survivorship bias. This dataset is made publicly available for use by future researchers. Our computational results indicate that introducing option strategies in an enhanced indexation setting offers clear benefits in terms of improved out-of-sample performance. This applies whether we use equities or an exchange-traded fund as part of the enhanced indexation portfolio. ...

Smart leverage? Rethinking the role of Leveraged Exchange Traded Funds in constructing portfolios to beat a benchmark ArXiv ID: 2412.05431 “View on arXiv” Authors: Unknown Abstract Leveraged Exchange Traded Funds (LETFs), while extremely controversial in the literature, remain stubbornly popular with both institutional and retail investors in practice. While the criticisms of LETFs are certainly valid, we argue that their potential has been underestimated in the literature due to the use of very simple investment strategies involving LETFs. In this paper, we systematically investigate the potential of including a broad stock market index LETF in long-term, dynamically-optimal investment strategies designed to maximize the outperformance over standard investment benchmarks in the sense of the information ratio (IR). Our results exploit the observation that positions in a LETF deliver call-like payoffs, so that the addition of a LETF to a portfolio can be a convenient way to add inexpensive leverage while providing downside protection. Under stylized assumptions, we present and analyze closed-form IR-optimal investment strategies using either a LETF or standard/vanilla ETF (VETF) on the same equity index, which provides the necessary intuition for the potential and benefits of LETFs. In more realistic settings, we use a neural network-based approach to determine the IR-optimal strategies, trained on bootstrapped historical data. We find that IR-optimal strategies with a broad stock market LETF are not only more likely to outperform the benchmark than IR-optimal strategies derived using the corresponding VETF, but are able to achieve partial stochastic dominance over the benchmark and VETF-based strategies in terms of terminal wealth. ...

Loss Aversion and State-Dependent Linear Utility Functions for Monetary Returns ArXiv ID: 2410.19030 “View on arXiv” Authors: Unknown Abstract We present a theory of expected utility with state-dependent linear utility functions for monetary returns, that incorporates the possibility of loss-aversion. Our results relate to first order stochastic dominance, mean-preserving spread, increasing-concave linear utility profiles and risk aversion. As an application of the expected utility theory developed here, we analyze the contract that a monopolist would offer in an insurance market that allowed for partial coverage of loss. ...

Diversification for infinite-mean Pareto models without risk aversion ArXiv ID: 2404.18467 “View on arXiv” Authors: Unknown Abstract We study stochastic dominance between portfolios of independent and identically distributed (iid) extremely heavy-tailed (i.e., infinite-mean) Pareto random variables. With the notion of majorization order, we show that a more diversified portfolio of iid extremely heavy-tailed Pareto random variables is larger in the sense of first-order stochastic dominance. This result is further generalized for Pareto random variables caused by triggering events, random variables with tails being Pareto, bounded Pareto random variables, and positively dependent Pareto random variables. These results provide an important implication in investment: Diversification of extremely heavy-tailed Pareto profits uniformly increases investors’ profitability, leading to a diversification benefit. Remarkably, different from the finite-mean setting, such a diversification benefit does not depend on the decision maker’s risk aversion. ...

Higher order measures of risk and stochastic dominance ArXiv ID: 2402.15387 “View on arXiv” Authors: Unknown Abstract Higher order risk measures are stochastic optimization problems by design, and for this reason they enjoy valuable properties in optimization under uncertainties. They nicely integrate with stochastic optimization problems, as has been observed by the intriguing concept of the risk quadrangles, for example. Stochastic dominance is a binary relation for random variables to compare random outcomes. It is demonstrated that the concepts of higher order risk measures and stochastic dominance are equivalent, they can be employed to characterize the other. The paper explores these relations and connects stochastic orders, higher order risk measures and the risk quadrangle. Expectiles are employed to exemplify the relations obtained. ...