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Risk-Neutral Pricing of Random-Expiry Options Using Trinomial Trees

Risk-Neutral Pricing of Random-Expiry Options Using Trinomial Trees ArXiv ID: 2508.17014 “View on arXiv” Authors: Sebastien Bossu, Michael Grabchak Abstract Random-expiry options are nontraditional derivative contracts that may expire early based on a random event. We develop a methodology for pricing these options using a trinomial tree, where the middle path is interpreted as early expiry. We establish that this approach is free of arbitrage, derive its continuous-time limit, and show how it may be implemented numerically in an efficient manner. ...

August 23, 2025 · 1 min · Research Team