Asset pricing asks the field’s central question — why do some assets earn higher returns than others — and factor investing is its practical export. This hub collects the cross-sectional literature: momentum, value, carry, quality, low-volatility, the factor-zoo debates, and machine-learning approaches to the cross-section of expected returns.
The elephant in this literature is replication decay. Documented anomalies shrink dramatically after publication, and a large fraction fail replication once you correct for data mining across hundreds of tested signals. That makes publication date and multiple-testing correction the two most informative fields in any factor paper: work that applies higher t-statistic thresholds, or tests on post-publication and international samples, deserves far more weight than a fresh anomaly with a 1990-2015 US backtest. The rigor ranking below tends to surface exactly those papers.
Related hubs: Portfolio Optimization, Machine Learning for Forecasting, Fixed Income & Rates.
Value investing, as defined by the Fama–French HML factor, has underperformed growth investing since 2007, producing a drawdown of 55% as of mid-2020. The under
For nearly three decades, scientific studies have explored momentum investing strategies and observed stable excess returns in various financial markets. Howeve
This thesis develops equilibrium asset pricing models in incomplete markets with a large number of heterogeneous agents using mean field game theory. The market equilibrium is characterized by a novel form of mean field backward stochastic differential equations (BSDEs). First, we propose a theoreti
Factor models characterize the joint behavior of large sets of financial assets through a smaller number of underlying drivers. We develop a network-based framework in which factors emerge naturally from the structure of interactions among assets rather than being imposed statistically. The market i
Systematic investment strategies are exposed to a subtle but pervasive vulnerability: the progressive erosion of their effectiveness as market regimes change. Traditional risk measures, designed to capture volatility or drawdowns, overlook this form of structural fragility. This article introduces a
The deviation of the efficient market hypothesis (EMH) for the practical economic system allows us gain the arbitrary or risk premium in finance markets. We propose the triplet $(R,H,σ)$ theory to give the local and global optimal portfolio, which eneralize from the $(R,σ)$ model. We present the for
This study integrates real-time sentiment analysis from financial news, GPT-2 and FinBERT, with technical indicators and time-series models like ARIMA and ETS to optimize S&P 500 trading strategies. By merging sentiment data with momentum and trend-based metrics, including a benchmark buy-and-hold a
In the context of globalization and the rapid expansion of the digital economy, anti-money laundering (AML) has become a crucial aspect of financial oversight, particularly in cross-border transactions. The rising complexity and scale of international financial flows necessitate more intelligent and
This note discusses some of the aspects of a model for the covariance of equity returns based on a simple “isotropic” structure in which all pairwise correlations are taken to be the same value. The effect of the structure on feasible values for the common correlation of returns and on the “effectiv
We extract firms’ cyber risk with a machine learning algorithm measuring the proximity between their disclosures and a dedicated cyber corpus. Our approach outperforms dictionary methods, uses full disclosure and not devoted-only sections, and generates a cyber risk measure uncorrelated with other f
This paper presents a portfolio construction process, including mainly two parts, Factors Selection and Weight Allocations. For the factors selection part, We have chosen 20 factors by considering three aspects, the global market, different assets class, and stock idiosyncratic characteristics. Each
The introduction of OpenAI’s large language model, ChatGPT, catalyzed investor attention towards artificial intelligence (AI) technologies, including AI-related crypto assets not directly related to ChatGPT. Utilizing the synthetic difference-in-difference methodology, we identify significant ‘ChatG
This paper explores asset pricing implications of unemployment risk from sectoral shifts. I proxy for this risk using cross-industry dispersion (CID), defined as a mean absolute deviation of returns of 49 industry portfolios. CID peaks during periods of accelerated sectoral reallocation and heighten
We analyze the scaled voter model, which is a generalization of the noisy voter model with time-dependent herding behavior. We consider the case when the intensity of herding behavior grows as a power-law function of time. In this case, the scaled voter model reduces to the usual noisy voter model,
Machine learning offers a set of powerful tools that holds considerable promise for investment management. As with most quantitative applications in finance, th
Value investing has been a part of the investment lexicon for at least the better part of a century. In particular the diversified systematic “value factor” or
We present a theory of excess stock market volatility, in which market movements are due to trades by very large institutional investors in relatively illiquid
For a covariance matrix coming from a factor model of returns, we investigate the relationship between the long-only global minimum variance portfolio and the asset exposures to the factors. In the case of a 1-factor model, we provide a rigorous and explicit description of the long-only solution in
Market integrity monitoring is difficult because suspicious price/volume behavior can arise from many benign mechanisms, while modern detection systems often rely on opaque models that are hard to audit and communicate. We present AIMM-X, an explainable monitoring pipeline that combines market micro
We propose a simple yet robust unsupervised model to detect pump-and-dump events on tokens listed on the Poloniex Exchange platform. By combining threshold-based criteria with exponentially weighted moving averages (EWMA) and volatility measures, our approach effectively distinguishes genuine anomal
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