Derivatives pricing is quantitative finance’s oldest deep-math tradition, and this hub holds the collection’s densest concentration of stochastic calculus. The research spans pricing models (jump diffusions, stochastic volatility, rough volatility), numerical methods (Monte Carlo variants, PDE solvers, ML surrogates for high-dimensional pricing), and the newer deep hedging literature that learns hedge ratios directly under transaction costs.
The quadrant system earns its keep here: much of this work is mathematically airtight but empirically untested (“Lab Rats” in our scoring), which is fine for pricing engines and dangerous for trading claims. When a paper proposes a new model, the questions that matter are calibration stability — does it fit today’s surface without absurd parameters tomorrow — and hedging performance out of sample, not merely in-sample fit to option quotes.
Related hubs: Volatility Modeling, Fixed Income & Rates, Machine Learning for Forecasting.
Semi-analytical pricing of American options in a time-dependent Ornstein-Uhlenbeck model was presented in [“Carr, Itkin, 2020”]. It was shown that to obtain these prices one needs to solve (numerically) a nonlinear Volterra integral equation of the second kind to find the exercise boundary (which is
In this work, we introduce a novel pricing methodology in general, possibly non-Markovian local stochastic volatility (LSV) models. We observe that by conditioning the LSV dynamics on the Brownian motion that drives the volatility, one obtains a time-inhomogeneous Markov process. Using tools from ro
The variance gamma model is a widely popular model for option pricing in both academia and industry. In this paper, we provide a new perspective for pricing European style options for the variance gamma model by deriving closed-form formulas combining the randomization method and fractional derivati
Motivated by the Corns-Satchell, continuous time, option pricing model, we develop a binary tree pricing model with underlying asset price dynamics following Itô-Mckean skew Brownian motion. While the Corns-Satchell market model is incomplete, our discrete time market model is defined in the natural
We develop a method to decompose the PnL of a portfolio of assets into four parts: (a) PnL due to FX rate changes, (b) PnL due to interest rate changes, (c) carry gain due to time passing, (d) PnL due to residual market risk changes (credit risk, liquidity risk, volatility risk etc.). We demonstrate
The Brazilian stock exchange (B3) has long used a strike-only adjustment to account for dividends in its listed equity options. This adjustment still makes it necessary to account for discrete dividends when pricing either calls or puts. This work presents a numerical procedure, based on the fast La
Quantum computing may speed up numerical problems involving large matrices that are demanding for classical computers, and active research on this possibility is ongoing. In this work, we propose quantum algorithms for the exact simulation of a normalised correlated Gaussian random vector $|x\rangle
We study the error arising in the numerical approximation of FBSDEs and related PIDEs by means of a deep learning-based method. Our results focus on decoupled FBSDEs with jumps and extend the seminal work of HAn and Long (2020) analyzing the numerical error of the deep BSDE solver proposed in E et a
We train neural networks to learn optimal replication strategies for an option when two replicating instruments are available, namely the underlying and a hedging option. If the price of the hedging option matches that of the Black–Scholes model then we find the network will successfully learn the B
This paper explores advancements in quantum algorithms for derivative pricing of exotics, a computational pipeline of fundamental importance in quantitative finance. For such cases, the classical Monte Carlo integration procedure provides the state-of-the-art provable, asymptotic performance: polyno
In incomplete financial markets, pricing and hedging European options lack a unique no-arbitrage solution due to unhedgeable risks. This paper introduces a constrained deep learning approach to determine option prices and hedging strategies that minimize the Profit and Loss (P&L) distribution around
Dynamic hedging is the practice of periodically transacting financial instruments to offset the risk caused by an investment or a liability. Dynamic hedging optimization can be framed as a sequential decision problem; thus, Reinforcement Learning (RL) models were recently proposed to tackle this tas
In this paper, a multidimensional system of parabolic partial differential equations arising in European option pricing under a regime-switching market model is studied in details. For solving that numerically, one must truncate the domain and impose an artificial boundary data. By deriving an estim
We present an approximation method based on the mixing formula (Hull & White 1987, Romano & Touzi 1997) for pricing European options in Barndorff-Nielsen and Shephard models. This approximation is based on a Taylor expansion of the option price. It is implemented using a recursive algorithm that all
We consider the hedging of European options when the price of the underlying asset follows a single-factor Markovian framework. By working in such a setting, Carr and Wu \cite{carr2014static} derived a spanning relation between a given option and a continuum of shorter-term options written on the sa
Finding the hedge ratios for a portfolio and risk compression is the same mathematical problem. Traditionally, regression is used for this purpose. However, regression has its own limitations. For example, in a regression model, we can’t use highly correlated independent variables due to multicollin
We derive an explicit asymptotic approximation for implied volatilities of caplets under the assumption that the short-rate is described by a generic quadratic term-structure model. In addition to providing an asymptotic accuracy result, we perform experiments in order to gauge the numerical accurac
Short-horizon option book management relies on P&L expansions in a small set of risk factors. In practice, the quadratic term and common desk adjustments (smile corrections, execution cost add-ons) depend on the chosen factor coordinates, so predicted second-order P&L can change when moving between
The covariance between the return of an asset and its realized volatility can be approximated as the difference between two specific implied volatilities. In this paper it is proved that in the small time-to-maturity limit the approximation error tends to zero. In addition a direct relation between
This paper provides a unique approach with AI algorithms to predict emerging stock markets volatility. Traditionally, stock volatility is derived from historical volatility,Monte Carlo simulation and implied volatility as well. In this paper, the writer designs a consolidated model with back-propaga